2015 NFL playoff thread...

Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

I bet the Packers made you cringe with the multiple player & coaching errors throughout the game.....

Just getting back to covers and this thread...

They made me cringe because I also had the ML.  I couldn't resist - got +350 by gametime.  Needless to say, the result is sickening - because it was all avoidable.  An unbelievable series of events in the last 5 minutes of that game, then the coinflip, then the OT - it was really incredible.  At the time of the GB interception with about 5 mins left I would have said it was about 1000-1.

But if I had time to write up the game, I would have said that Seattle is surprisingly not great at QB sacks and QB hurries.  The perception is that they are at the top of the league - but their defense is best from back to front - with their line and pass rush being the real weakness (if it can be called that).  I just thought that Rodgers would have time and his injury wouldn't matter.

The other game was a wire to wire blowout - which also didn't surprise me too much.  Never would have predicted it, but not entirely surprised.

Was really hoping that GB would have made the SB, because my guess is that NE would have been -3, and I would be betting the Pack real big.  It is a good matchup for them.

Anyway....

That being said - the way you beat the Patriots is by hurrying Brady and being able to cover and shut down the short hot routes.  Really, it is that simple - but very hard to execute.  This to me - at a very high level - is the key to handicapping this one.

I do like a side, but will do a full writeup and pick soon.

So far in the playoffs 7-3 (including GB marked as a loss against Dallas), +14.225 units (including juice)

GL all.

What is this line going to do?

Don't know whether to start dripping in now or to wait it out.

Thanks.

Although adding value to this site is not a high bar 

Chewbacca

Kevinkim

Feedmecappers

QMich

ChoiOi

Quote Originally Posted by Fuushy:

Just going to put my three cents in:

I know Van from entering the  LV Supercontest this year and been getting his thoughts throughout the year.  

Van, Always enjoy reading your posts whether I have a  in the race or not.  Congrats on another great year in LVSC!  

Excellent Capper and insights!!  

Good Luck Van in SB and See ya next year in Supercontest

   

Thanks for the nice words.

Think I might be out in Vegas for the SB!  Still have some strings to pull but it might happen.

But the contest for sure next year.

Agree with every word of this.

Quote Originally Posted by mafia13:

Looking forward to your pick and i hope it's Seattle. 

Hey mafia - I know you have participated in my threads all season - thanks for that.  Hope at some point you were tailing me.  It was a good year.

GL in the SB.  Will post my pick soon.

1.  NE might not have to run it at all.  I agree they will have trouble running the ball - but their pass will set up their run.  They are not in a run to pass situation here - they will need to consistently be hitting their short routes for the run to work.  Will they be able to do that?

2.  It only makes NE one dimensional if they cant throw.  I think your analysis is correct - but backwards - in that I don't think NE will come out and try to "establish the run".  They will run if the pass is working early.

3.  Seattles running game gets progressively better during the game than any team in the NFL.  Seattle will do the opposite of NE - they will run to pass - and the barrage gets better and better as the game goes on.  Can NE withstand it?

I am going to write up my thoughts soon....

GL