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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    2015 NFL playoff thread...

    «First Previous 345 ... 91011 Next Last»
    johnkar3
    vanzack
    Hoyasaxa
    jimmythejap
    dyamarik
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    «First Previous 345 ... 91011 Next Last»
     
    johnkar3
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2015 - 10:17 PM ET #51

    Van appreciate the post.  
    I get it with all the pub on the boys and the road record, the Peyton factor and Carolina has trouble scoring with the rookies at wr.  
    Do u not think Brady has heard enough of the flaco vs pats record? Or do u cap by the numbers only?  
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    Van appreciate the post.  
    I get it with all the pub on the boys and the road record, the Peyton factor and Carolina has trouble scoring with the rookies at wr.  
    Do u not think Brady has heard enough of the flaco vs pats record? Or do u cap by the numbers only?  
     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 9:13 AM ET #52

    Quote Originally Posted by johnkar3:

    Van appreciate the post.  
    I get it with all the pub on the boys and the road record, the Peyton factor and Carolina has trouble scoring with the rookies at wr.  
    Do u not think Brady has heard enough of the flaco vs pats record? Or do u cap by the numbers only?  

    I don't love Balt today.  In fact, my bottom line number has them covering the +6.5 at 52%.  Considering the line at 6.5 +105 is 48.7%, my edge is not very big.

    The narrative I will go with is that Balts defense is enough to slow down NE offense, and keep it lower scoring.  Flacco isn't on his a ss all day, and they are able to run the ball.

    Better games later though....

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnkar3:

    Van appreciate the post.  
    I get it with all the pub on the boys and the road record, the Peyton factor and Carolina has trouble scoring with the rookies at wr.  
    Do u not think Brady has heard enough of the flaco vs pats record? Or do u cap by the numbers only?  

    I don't love Balt today.  In fact, my bottom line number has them covering the +6.5 at 52%.  Considering the line at 6.5 +105 is 48.7%, my edge is not very big.

    The narrative I will go with is that Balts defense is enough to slow down NE offense, and keep it lower scoring.  Flacco isn't on his a ss all day, and they are able to run the ball.

    Better games later though....

     
    Hoyasaxa
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 9:22 AM ET #53

    How do you feel Indy's defense will be able to stop Denver enough to cover? I have seen nothing from that unit on the road this year and even at home...Peyton  still has multiple options, a great running game and with a growing lead....
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    How do you feel Indy's defense will be able to stop Denver enough to cover? I have seen nothing from that unit on the road this year and even at home...Peyton  still has multiple options, a great running game and with a growing lead....
     
    jimmythejap
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 10:19 AM ET #54

    GL van u da man
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    GL van u da man
     
    dyamarik
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 12:27 PM ET #55

    GL Van - throwing a nickel on Pats -7 for kicks, but agree this is not a game to go big on.

    Seattle is a big play.  I like them to roll, and I doubt Carolina will get past 13 points.

    With you on GB, and not sure on Den/Indy - taking over in that one, as I don't think Indy can stop Denver, and Luck could get a lot of air time playing from behind.

    Appreciate you posting your plays - good luck to all.

    People who can afford to gamble don't need money, and those who need money can't afford to
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    GL Van - throwing a nickel on Pats -7 for kicks, but agree this is not a game to go big on.

    Seattle is a big play.  I like them to roll, and I doubt Carolina will get past 13 points.

    With you on GB, and not sure on Den/Indy - taking over in that one, as I don't think Indy can stop Denver, and Luck could get a lot of air time playing from behind.

    Appreciate you posting your plays - good luck to all.

     
    mafia13
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 2:29 PM ET #56

    Van, Is Seattle still a 3 units play at -12.5? 
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    Van, Is Seattle still a 3 units play at -12.5? 
     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 3:12 PM ET #57

    Quote Originally Posted by mafia13:

    Van, Is Seattle still a 3 units play at -12.5? 

    Of course I like 11 better than 12.5, but yes - still 3 units.

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    Quote Originally Posted by mafia13:

    Van, Is Seattle still a 3 units play at -12.5? 

    Of course I like 11 better than 12.5, but yes - still 3 units.

     
    Jose_Reyes
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 3:35 PM ET #58

    Good luck van       
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    Good luck van       
     
    Crusher13
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 3:40 PM ET #59

    Now we are down to final 8....any forecasting on who makes it from each conference to SB?

     

    Good luck these playoffs Van

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    Now we are down to final 8....any forecasting on who makes it from each conference to SB?

     

    Good luck these playoffs Van

     
    mafia13
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 3:51 PM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    Of course I like 11 better than 12.5, but yes - still 3 units.


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    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    Of course I like 11 better than 12.5, but yes - still 3 units.


     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 5:00 PM ET #61

    Good start.

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    Good start.

     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 5:07 PM ET #62

    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    Good start.


    Yes, a start. Credit to Harbaugh and his staff for tweaking the game plan and showing the Pats things they didn't prepare for. I'll still stand by the Patriots (my -7 bet says I have to) but New England seems to get more conservative in the playoffs while their opponents get more creative. I'm concerned but not worried...yet.
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    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    Good start.


    Yes, a start. Credit to Harbaugh and his staff for tweaking the game plan and showing the Pats things they didn't prepare for. I'll still stand by the Patriots (my -7 bet says I have to) but New England seems to get more conservative in the playoffs while their opponents get more creative. I'm concerned but not worried...yet.
     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 5:13 PM ET #63

    Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:


    Yes, a start. Credit to Harbaugh and his staff for tweaking the game plan and showing the Pats things they didn't prepare for. I'll still stand by the Patriots (my -7 bet says I have to) but New England seems to get more conservative in the playoffs while their opponents get more creative. I'm concerned but not worried...yet.

    Very early.  No reason for any concern or celebrations yet...

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:


    Yes, a start. Credit to Harbaugh and his staff for tweaking the game plan and showing the Pats things they didn't prepare for. I'll still stand by the Patriots (my -7 bet says I have to) but New England seems to get more conservative in the playoffs while their opponents get more creative. I'm concerned but not worried...yet.

    Very early.  No reason for any concern or celebrations yet...

     
    stats1
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 5:16 PM ET #64

    Balt. is running the ball with ease 
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    Balt. is running the ball with ease 
     
    mafia13
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 6:42 PM ET #65

    Balty        
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    Balty        
     
    mafia13
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 11:49 PM ET #66

    VAN  
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    VAN  
     
    Skipster
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 12:35 AM ET #67

    Hawks
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    Hawks
     
    Michfan15
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 1:23 AM ET #68

    nice start to this round....thinking over in the denver/colts game (weather permitting) should be the play.  Denvers been off in their offense last few weeks but I think they shred this colts D.  Add to the fact Luck never quits (KC last year, Pit game this year) and you have the makings of nice over.  BOL
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    nice start to this round....thinking over in the denver/colts game (weather permitting) should be the play.  Denvers been off in their offense last few weeks but I think they shred this colts D.  Add to the fact Luck never quits (KC last year, Pit game this year) and you have the makings of nice over.  BOL
     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 2:05 AM ET #69

    So fortunate in the Seahawks game...

    There were a lot more minutes during that game that I thought I was going to lose than I thought I was going to win.

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    So fortunate in the Seahawks game...

    There were a lot more minutes during that game that I thought I was going to lose than I thought I was going to win.

     
    Skipster
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 2:21 AM ET #70

    matter of time before cam tossed the P6
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    matter of time before cam tossed the P6
     
    mafia13
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 2:57 AM ET #71

    Kam Chancellor 
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    Kam Chancellor 
     
    BigPapa21
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 9:22 AM ET #72

    Quote Originally Posted by mafia13:

    Kam Chancellor 

    What a player.

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    Quote Originally Posted by mafia13:

    Kam Chancellor 

    What a player.

     
    1pumpchump
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 11:20 AM ET #73

    Van, what are your thoughts about the Denver line going to 8.5? would you bet more at that #?
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    Van, what are your thoughts about the Denver line going to 8.5? would you bet more at that #?
     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 11:26 AM ET #74

    Quote Originally Posted by 1pumpchump:

    Van, what are your thoughts about the Denver line going to 8.5? would you bet more at that #?

    Yeah - just looking at that...

    I am going to add a half unit at 8.5. 

    In real life.... I did already buy the Colts at +7, so I am pissed that I missed this good number with all of it, but will add a little bit.

    So my bets are now:

    1.  Balt +6.5 +105 (1.5 units) (win)
    2.  Sea -11 -102 (3 units) (win)


    3.  Packers -5.5 -105 (2 units)
    4.  Colts +7 -108 (3 units), Colts +8.5 -105 (.5 unit)

    GL

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1pumpchump:

    Van, what are your thoughts about the Denver line going to 8.5? would you bet more at that #?

    Yeah - just looking at that...

    I am going to add a half unit at 8.5. 

    In real life.... I did already buy the Colts at +7, so I am pissed that I missed this good number with all of it, but will add a little bit.

    So my bets are now:

    1.  Balt +6.5 +105 (1.5 units) (win)
    2.  Sea -11 -102 (3 units) (win)


    3.  Packers -5.5 -105 (2 units)
    4.  Colts +7 -108 (3 units), Colts +8.5 -105 (.5 unit)

    GL

     
     
    1pumpchump
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 11:50 AM ET #75

      Agreed on Indy...but this move happened with sea last night as well, and sea covered..Im having SUCH a hard time with the GB game.....In my mind the value seems to be with Dallas, but my hatred for them is keeping me away (Not a good thing when gambling..I know)....Please just tell me why GB again...lol..
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      Agreed on Indy...but this move happened with sea last night as well, and sea covered..Im having SUCH a hard time with the GB game.....In my mind the value seems to be with Dallas, but my hatred for them is keeping me away (Not a good thing when gambling..I know)....Please just tell me why GB again...lol..
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