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🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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Posted: #1451

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

continued... Colts @RAVENS This one is easy for me to pick (but I do NOT guarantee the results) A Colts team rated in the bottom quarter of the league traveling to face a team skirting the edges of the top 6 elite teams. Colts will be without the skill set AND dual-threat legs of Richardson at QB and settle for moustache Minshew. Colts were outplayed and lost AT HOME to mediocre Jags, then hit the road to face a weakling and win. But now they are still on the road but facing a much, much, MUCH tougher opponent then either Houston of Jacksonville! Ravens whacked Houston and then beatup Cincinnati! They should be 3 - 0 after Sunday. Sure they could be upset. Sht happens sometimes, and we never know about the "lucky breaks." But I'm fine with the moneyline risk here...Adding RAVENS -375

Sh!t

 
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Posted: #1452

Live bet....scored tied at 3....Seattle driving

Adding Seattle -1.5 -225   *BEST BET

 
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Posted: #1453

Curious what your thoughts are on raiders -3. I wish i got them when they are dogs. But theres alot of factors going in their direction this game

 
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Posted: #1454

Adding LIVE bet on Dallas:  Cards lead 9 - 3.... 

Top rated team @ near bottom rated team.....line was too high to grab pre-game.....this sets up nicely for a bet on the better team to rebound

K'Boys -200  *BEST BET

 

 

 
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Posted: #1455

Quote Originally Posted by Merle_iv:

Curious what your thoughts are on raiders -3. I wish i got them when they are dogs. But theres alot of factors going in their direction this game

Hi!

It is my firm belief the Steelers are riding a bogus high after a VERY fortuitous win  AT HOME against the BROWNS playing without CHUBB.... Meanwhile Garoppolo and the Raiders are primed for a bounceback from 2 consecutive road games - the last one an embarrassing rout albeit to a TOP 6 elite team in their park..... I dunno we should put too much into that rout-loss!  It's deceiving imo.   Raiders have a SOLID QB, and finally at home the Raider D will make likely noise all over the luckyass Steelers...... of course more lucky breaks and Ts can flip a game, but I believe Raiders win -- by 3 or more...... My opinion then is I would rather you got a smaller number because having a bit of a cushion is desirable, but 3 might be ok here...

cool  Is that more or less the way you were thinking too?

 

 
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Posted: #1456

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Live bet....scored tied at 3....Seattle driving Adding Seattle -1.5 -225   *BEST BET

Oh man!! an_brick

Shithawks leading 9 - 3 and allow an easy TD to trail 9 - 10........then they immediately toss an INT into coverage (lucky Panthers!) at their own 32......this is likely to yield more points

 
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Posted: #1457

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Adding LIVE bet on Dallas:  Cards lead 9 - 3....  Top rated team @ near bottom rated team.....line was too high to grab pre-game.....this sets up nicely for a bet on the better team to rebound

K'Boys -200  *BEST BET

K'boys are trailing now  10 - 15 but for such a powerful offense this shouldn't be a problem.....in theory, anyway.....

 
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Posted: #1458

@fubah2

 Yes sir,

The bounceback game at home sunday night, i also had this game after handicapping the rankings almost even. Steelers barely won and also are coming off a monday game, travelling far for this game. I agree with you, i would have liked a smaller number, but I agree -3 is not bad

 
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Posted: #1459

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Live bet....scored tied at 3....Seattle driving Adding Seattle -1.5 -225   *BEST BET Oh man!! Shithawks leading 9 - 3 and allow an easy TD to trail 9 - 10........then they immediately toss an INT into coverage (lucky Panthers!) at their own 32......this is likely to yield more points

Yup!  Lucky Panthers can't move the ball but still get an easy 3 to go up 13 - 9 on the homies.....otherwise play is about dead even

 
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Posted: #1460

Quote Originally Posted by mandy1:

Covers will not let me log in so I can't see my E-mails from you. I put the money line bets in. Thanks for sharing you are one of the best on covers

BOL with your bets today!  clover an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #1461

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Adding LIVE bet on Dallas:  Cards lead 9 - 3....  Top rated team @ near bottom rated team.....line was too high to grab pre-game.....this sets up nicely for a bet on the better team to rebound K'Boys -200  *BEST BET K'boys are trailing now  10 - 15 but for such a powerful offense this shouldn't be a problem.....in theory, anyway.....

The K'Boys are OUTPLAYING the lucky Cards but just squandered a TD opp deep.... Then allow AZ to escape up to their own 3o on 3rd and long.....

 
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Posted: #1462

Quote Originally Posted by Merle_iv:

@fubah2  Yes sir, The bounceback game at home sunday night, i also had this game after handicapping the rankings almost even. Steelers barely won and also are coming off a monday game, travelling far for this game. I agree with you, i would have liked a smaller number, but I agree -3 is not bad

@Merle_iv

I'll be pulling for you to win that Raiders bet! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #1463

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

Start week YTD   9 - 5
WEEK 3 NFL:

W     Niners -555            *BEST BET winner
W     Buffalo -240
W     Lions -1 -165
W     Miami -2 -270
W     Dolphins -260
Loss Vikings -110
Loss Ravens -375
W    Packers -125          *BEST BET winner
p     GreenBay -1
Loss Dallas -200            *BEST BET loss
W    Seattle -215
W     Seattle -1.5 -225    *BEST BET winner

pending LV Raiders +1 -115 *BEST BET
pending Las Vegas -125 ml *BEST BET


an_light*Caveat: nothing is a sure thing! Beware: These might lose... Which is why I NEVER ask members to tail my bets.....

PS. I will respect the forum by NOT cluttering-it-up with a whole bunch of unnecessary new threads every week, but instead I post all my bets conveniently in just THIS thread.

 
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Posted: #1464

So we have to ask ourselves - in a totally OBJECTIVE & LOGICAL manner - with all emotion/euphoria set aside,  was the top rated Cowboys loss to the bottom dwelling Cardinals a "one-off"  OR  was the final score truly indicative of the strength of the teams?

 

And how much do we raise Arizona in our ratings and how much should we drop Dallas, so we can then use those new ratings effectively for the next game....

 

Next week, Dallas will be at home to Patriots....Cardinals travel to Frisco

 
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Posted: #1465

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Live bet....scored tied at 3....Seattle driving Adding Seattle -1.5 -225   *BEST BET

good call with the seahawks thumbs_up

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
 
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Posted: #1466

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

 

Well there ya go.......

Browns 20 first downs  vs  Steelers only  9

Browns 408 net yards  vs  Steelers only 255

Browns flagged for 50 more yds in pens

Lucky Steelers gain net of +2 turnovers, both for TDs (unearned pts)

 

We all shall remember these key PERFORMANCE stats when assessing next week's matchups when Browns are at home to Titans and the outplayed and VERY LUCKY STEELERS travel to Vegas.....

 

Oh yes......and one other important point about how incredibly LUCKY the Steelers were to be outplayed badly and still win....All-star RB for Cleveland, Nick Chubb was carted off the field just one minute into the 2ndQ........that early in the game and he had already AMASSED 64 yds rushing on just 10 carries!!!  IN ONE QUARTER!!! 

 

Cleveland led 11 - 7 at the time he exited.   Obviously THAT hampered the Browns and helped the Steelers. But despite that loss of production the Browns still managed all those stats shown above against the bumbling Steeler D...

Remember, the opening pts of the game - just 10 seconds into the game - was a defensive TD after a DOUBLE-TIPPED fluky bounce ball for a pick 6

i did grab the raiders after watching the game then reading that .  thanks peace_5

 

u got a badbeat with your ravens pick but i think quite fortunate to get the packers win

gl tonite clover         raiders roll win

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
 
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Posted: #1467

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:   Well there ya go....... Browns 20 first downs  vs  Steelers only  9 Browns 408 net yards  vs  Steelers only 255 Browns flagged for 50 more yds in pens Lucky Steelers gain net of +2 turnovers, both for TDs (unearned pts)   We all shall remember these key PERFORMANCE stats when assessing next week's matchups when Browns are at home to Titans and the outplayed and VERY LUCKY STEELERS travel to Vegas.....   Oh yes......and one other important point about how incredibly LUCKY the Steelers were to be outplayed badly and still win....All-star RB for Cleveland, Nick Chubb was carted off the field just one minute into the 2ndQ........that early in the game and he had already AMASSED 64 yds rushing on just 10 carries!!!  IN ONE QUARTER!!!    Cleveland led 11 - 7 at the time he exited.   Obviously THAT hampered the Browns and helped the Steelers. But despite that loss of production the Browns still managed all those stats shown above against the bumbling Steeler D... Remember, the opening pts of the game - just 10 seconds into the game - was a defensive TD after a DOUBLE-TIPPED fluky bounce ball for a pick 6 i did grab the raiders after watching the game then reading that .  thanks    u got a badbeat with your ravens pick but i think quite fortunate to get the packers win gl tonite          raiders roll
In that case I really hope YOu win your bet!  an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #1468

S  L  O  W  start tonight.....

Keep in mind for the statsheet that Steelers began with the first drive so if they finish the half in possession that means their stats may be skewed in comparison

 
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Posted: #1469

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Well there ya go.......

Browns 20 first downs  vs  Steelers only  9

Browns 408 net yards  vs  Steelers only 255

Browns flagged for 50 more yds in pens

Lucky Steelers gain net of +2 turnovers, both for TDs (unearned pts)

 

We all shall remember these key PERFORMANCE stats when assessing next week's matchups when Browns are at home to Titans and the outplayed and VERY LUCKY STEELERS travel to Vegas.....

Oh yes......and one other important point about how incredibly LUCKY the Steelers were to be outplayed badly and still win....All-star RB for Cleveland, Nick Chubb was carted off the field just one minute into the 2ndQ........that early in the game and he had already AMASSED 64 yds rushing on just 10 carries!!!  IN ONE QUARTER!!! 

Cleveland led 11 - 7 at the time he exited.  

Obviously THAT hampered the Browns and helped the Steelers. But despite that loss of production the Browns still managed all those stats shown above against the bumbling Steeler D...

Remember, the opening pts of the game - just 10 seconds into the game - was a defensive TD after a DOUBLE-TIPPED fluky bounce ball for a pick 6

an_lightRaiders played EVEN with the Broncos in Denver, but got steamrolled by an elite angry BILLS team coming off a horrible performance.Both those games were on the road but Sunday Night primetime they get the spotlight at home against the very lucky Steelers. Steelers had the luxury of playing 2 consecutive HOME games. They got steamrolled by an elite team, the Niners....then we all witnessed their performance on Monday night - being badly outplayed but getting incredibly lucky..... When they meet Sunday night in primetime, the Raiders will have their #2 WR back in the lineup!! And like any decent QB, I fully expect Garroppolo to bounce back with a SOLID outing! When my books put the lines up I will be all over duuhh Raaaayyyduuuhhhs for a *BEST BET

For a moment it looked like the very lucky Steelers woulg gain the first big lucky break on a fumble.

Nope.  Instead both teams EARNED their 7 points.

 
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Posted: #1470

Strange the way covers message boxes are working here

 
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Posted: #1471

LOL an_roll_laugh

 
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Posted: #1472

WOW!  FIRST BIG LUCKY BREAK goes to Pittsburgh as DB Marcus Peters drops a wide open guaranteed pick 6.

 
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Posted: #1473

SECOND significant break also goes to the very lucky Steelers with an INT at their own 30 to snuff a scoring drive...

So that plus the dropped pick 6 by Peters.

Steelers should be down 7 pts right now....instead, as luck often has it, most likely now the lucky Steelers will march downfield and score

 
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Posted: #1474

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Start week YTD   9 - 5WEEK 3 NFL: W     Niners -555            *BEST BET winnerW     Buffalo -240W     Lions -1 -165 W     Miami -2 -270 W     Dolphins -260Loss Vikings -110Loss Ravens -375 W    Packers -125          *BEST BET winnerp     GreenBay -1Loss Dallas -200            *BEST BET lossW    Seattle -215 W     Seattle -1.5 -225    *BEST BET winner pending LV Raiders +1 -115 *BEST BETpending Las Vegas -125 ml *BEST BET *Caveat: nothing is a sure thing! Beware: These might lose... Which is why I NEVER ask members to tail my bets..... PS. I will respect the forum by NOT cluttering-it-up with a whole bunch of unnecessary new threads every week, but instead I post all my bets conveniently in just THIS thread.

Two more losing bets. Turns an  8 - 5 week into a small loss overall with juice.

 
 
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Posted: #1475

Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

GL today @fubah2
Thanks.  You too!

Some UNDECIDED early leans for NFL week 4 pending injury updates:

Titans ?? - maybe not as bad as they looked @Cleveland

 

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