Posted:
#1501
2 Wayne 
Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
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🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets
Posted:
#1502
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
WOW! Seconds after I write that, RAMS toss deep to Bengals 30 for first down!
BUT...
HUGE LUCKY BREAK for Bengals, gaining a LUCKY unearned INT off a tipped ball...preventing a likely score.
And that HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to Bengals after a lucky tipped ball INT results in another 3 for Cincinnati...
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Posted:
#1503
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WOW! Seconds after I write that, RAMS toss deep to Bengals 30 for first down! BUT... HUGE LUCKY BREAK for Bengals, gaining a LUCKY unearned INT off a tipped ball...preventing a likely score. And that HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to Bengals after a lucky tipped ball INT results in another 3 for Cincinnati...
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WOW! Seconds after I write that, RAMS toss deep to Bengals 30 for first down! BUT... HUGE LUCKY BREAK for Bengals, gaining a LUCKY unearned INT off a tipped ball...preventing a likely score. And that HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to Bengals after a lucky tipped ball INT results in another 3 for Cincinnati...
And another big lucky break for Bengals....as 0 - 6 srd down conversions by RAMS....and they convert!! BUT lucky for the Bengals, as that gain is wiped out by an UNforced error for facemask grab by OL
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Posted:
#1504
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WOW! Seconds after I write that, RAMS toss deep to Bengals 30 for first down! BUT... HUGE LUCKY BREAK for Bengals, gaining a LUCKY unearned INT off a tipped ball...preventing a likely score. And that HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to Bengals after a lucky tipped ball INT results in another 3 for Cincinnati... And another big lucky break for Bengals....as 0 - 6 srd down conversions by RAMS....and they convert!! BUT lucky for the Bengals, as that gain is wiped out by an UNforced error for facemask grab by OL
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WOW! Seconds after I write that, RAMS toss deep to Bengals 30 for first down! BUT... HUGE LUCKY BREAK for Bengals, gaining a LUCKY unearned INT off a tipped ball...preventing a likely score. And that HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to Bengals after a lucky tipped ball INT results in another 3 for Cincinnati... And another big lucky break for Bengals....as 0 - 6 srd down conversions by RAMS....and they convert!! BUT lucky for the Bengals, as that gain is wiped out by an UNforced error for facemask grab by OL
RAMS just got back one of those 2 lucky breaks favoring Bengals....with a well-earned INT at their own 20 to snuff out a drive.
Not as "LUCKY" as a tipped-ball INT, but still good fortune to prevent a score.....BUT....can the RAMS do anything about it??
IMO, they are having a "one-off" performance.... not looking sharp offensively AT ALL!
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Posted:
#1505
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WOW! Seconds after I write that, RAMS toss deep to Bengals 30 for first down! BUT... HUGE LUCKY BREAK for Bengals, gaining a LUCKY unearned INT off a tipped ball...preventing a likely score. And that HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to Bengals after a lucky tipped ball INT results in another 3 for Cincinnati... And another big lucky break for Bengals....as 0 - 6 srd down conversions by RAMS....and they convert!! BUT lucky for the Bengals, as that gain is wiped out by an UNforced error for facemask grab by OL RAMS just got back one of those 2 lucky breaks favoring Bengals....with a well-earned INT at their own 20 to snuff out a drive. Not as "LUCKY" as a tipped-ball INT, but still good fortune to prevent a score.....BUT....can the RAMS do anything about it?? IMO, they are having a "one-off" performance.... not looking sharp offensively AT ALL!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WOW! Seconds after I write that, RAMS toss deep to Bengals 30 for first down! BUT... HUGE LUCKY BREAK for Bengals, gaining a LUCKY unearned INT off a tipped ball...preventing a likely score. And that HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to Bengals after a lucky tipped ball INT results in another 3 for Cincinnati... And another big lucky break for Bengals....as 0 - 6 srd down conversions by RAMS....and they convert!! BUT lucky for the Bengals, as that gain is wiped out by an UNforced error for facemask grab by OL RAMS just got back one of those 2 lucky breaks favoring Bengals....with a well-earned INT at their own 20 to snuff out a drive. Not as "LUCKY" as a tipped-ball INT, but still good fortune to prevent a score.....BUT....can the RAMS do anything about it?? IMO, they are having a "one-off" performance.... not looking sharp offensively AT ALL!
DEFINITELY goes down as a "one-off" performance by the RAMS......they are way better than this, though taking nothing away from Bengals.....
A fieldgoal here would ice the game for Cincinnati...
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Posted:
#1506
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
IMO, they are having a "one-off" performance.... not looking sharp offensively AT ALL! DEFINITELY goes down as a "one-off" performance by the RAMS......they are way better than this, though taking nothing away from Bengals.....
IMO, they are having a "one-off" performance.... not looking sharp offensively AT ALL! DEFINITELY goes down as a "one-off" performance by the RAMS......they are way better than this, though taking nothing away from Bengals.....
0 - 10 on 3rd downs and 0 - 3 in the redzone....THAT's a "one-off" without taking anything away from the Bengals in front of their home crowd...
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Posted:
#1507
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: IMO, they are having a "one-off" performance.... not looking sharp offensively AT ALL! DEFINITELY goes down as a "one-off" performance by the RAMS......they are way better than this, though taking nothing away from Bengals..... 0 - 10 on 3rd downs and 0 - 3 in the redzone....THAT's a "one-off" without taking anything away from the Bengals in front of their home crowd...
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: IMO, they are having a "one-off" performance.... not looking sharp offensively AT ALL! DEFINITELY goes down as a "one-off" performance by the RAMS......they are way better than this, though taking nothing away from Bengals..... 0 - 10 on 3rd downs and 0 - 3 in the redzone....THAT's a "one-off" without taking anything away from the Bengals in front of their home crowd...
OK....despite an obvious "one-off" performance by the RAMS (backup left tackle was a huge issue costing them dearly) the stats were more or less EVEN after each had 12 full possessions....
RAMS were 5.6 ypp to Bengals only 4.2.....and the net yardage was similar.....
In a 3 pt game, that extra lucky break that went Bengals way appears to be the difference.
Had RAMS performed normally though, even that break to the Bengals would not have been enough for them to overcome the RAMS....
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Posted:
#1508
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Sept.25, MNF I have the 0 - 2 Bengals rated roughly the same level as the 2 - 1 Seahawks The RAMS went on the road into Seattle and thoroughly routed the Seahawks both on the scoreboard and in the stats. BIGLY!!Then last week, the very powerful 3 - 0 NINERS edged the Rams. Meanwhile, QB Joe Burrow & the BENGALS were thoroughly routed in week 1 by the BROWNS. In that shellacking, Burrow & co managed only 6 first downs, a pathetic 2.6 ypp, and lost by 21 pts -- DESPITE gaining +2 net turnovers! And last week QB Joe Burrow & the BENGALS were edged and outplayed at home by the RAVENS. Despite the pre-season hype on the Bengals as a possible SB contender, tonight I have them rated lower than the RAMS.....and Bengals may be WITHOUT QB Joe Burrow....or if he does play, it will be on a very sore calf.Replacing Burrow would be undrafted Jake Browning.....although he looked decent in preseason and might be a better option than Burrow. RAMS key injury concern is top WR Nacua, with ailing obliques, who is listed as Q, but likely to suit up at least. How effective he would be after a hit is the question. I am leaning RAMS but still debating on which alt-line cushion I am willing to buy
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Sept.25, MNF I have the 0 - 2 Bengals rated roughly the same level as the 2 - 1 Seahawks The RAMS went on the road into Seattle and thoroughly routed the Seahawks both on the scoreboard and in the stats. BIGLY!!Then last week, the very powerful 3 - 0 NINERS edged the Rams. Meanwhile, QB Joe Burrow & the BENGALS were thoroughly routed in week 1 by the BROWNS. In that shellacking, Burrow & co managed only 6 first downs, a pathetic 2.6 ypp, and lost by 21 pts -- DESPITE gaining +2 net turnovers! And last week QB Joe Burrow & the BENGALS were edged and outplayed at home by the RAVENS. Despite the pre-season hype on the Bengals as a possible SB contender, tonight I have them rated lower than the RAMS.....and Bengals may be WITHOUT QB Joe Burrow....or if he does play, it will be on a very sore calf.Replacing Burrow would be undrafted Jake Browning.....although he looked decent in preseason and might be a better option than Burrow. RAMS key injury concern is top WR Nacua, with ailing obliques, who is listed as Q, but likely to suit up at least. How effective he would be after a hit is the question. I am leaning RAMS but still debating on which alt-line cushion I am willing to buy
Comments are always welcome.
RAMS +7.5 -240 (alt-line) *BEST BET
WINNER! 
Backdoor cover but glad I chose to buy that cushion.
I *expect* McVay & his RAMS to play much better next week in Indianapolis. Extremely rare (maybe less than 5%?) for any team to have a "one-off" on a second consecutive game......Early line has LAR as +1 dogs vs the mediocre Colts
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Posted:
#1509
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Eagles @ BUCS First big lucky break goes to BUCS, as Eagles elect NOT to take 3 free points...
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Eagles @ BUCS First big lucky break goes to BUCS, as Eagles elect NOT to take 3 free points...
No score. LIVE BET: EAGLES -410 *BEST BET
WINNER!
Finished the week 10 - 5, with 4 - 3 on *BEST BETS
Last week was 9 - 4, so maybe I'm trending in the wrong direction...
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Posted:
#1514
Fubah's NFL Ratings going into Week 4:
Of course these ratings may change each week
Top tier: SF, Miami, Buff, KC
2nd tier: Phil, Cleve, Dal, Balt, Det, GB, LAR
Mediocre: Wash, NOR, Pitt, Atla, Sea, Indy, TB, NE, Lac, Cinci
4th tier: Min, AZ, LV, Car, Ten, Jax, Jets, Hou, NYG
Bottom: Denver, Chicago
Comments always welcome! 
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Posted:
#1516
Leaning toward the Packers tonight although I would prefer confirmation for certainty that WATSON is not only going to play but at least 90% recovered from a hammie. Same for Jones. THEY ARE DIFFERENCE MAKERS but that *ONLY* applies if they are 100% healthy!
Packers OLine is banged up again......but so is LIONS OLine and actually the LIONS could be the worse off of the two. Packer front four could have fun tonight against an immobile QB....
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Posted:
#1519
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ....Reported on RW suggest that both Jones and Watson will suit up, but I caution that this does NOT mean they are 100% healthy....and the reports suggest also they are likely to be on a snap-count limitation
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ....Reported on RW suggest that both Jones and Watson will suit up, but I caution that this does NOT mean they are 100% healthy....and the reports suggest also they are likely to be on a snap-count limitation
Lions @PACKERS
Both OLines are ailing. If I'm right, the Lions maybe slightly worse.
In any case it appears to me that if either team loses another from the OLine at some point in the first half or early 3Q that could spell doom for that offense....particularly LIONS since Goff is not a scrambler like Jordan Love can be.
Also, I see that Mongomery is active for tonight but I am not so sure he will be 100%.
Packers have the better pass rush imo....
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Posted:
#1520
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ....Reported on RW suggest that both Jones and Watson will suit up, but I caution that this does NOT mean they are 100% healthy....and the reports suggest also they are likely to be on a snap-count limitation Lions @PACKERS Both OLines are ailing. If I'm right, the Lions maybe slightly worse. In any case it appears to me that if either team loses another from the OLine at some point in the first half or early 3Q that could spell doom for that offense....particularly LIONS since Goff is not a scrambler like Jordan Love can be. Also, I see that Mongomery is active for tonight but I am not so sure he will be 100%. Packers have the better pass rush imo....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ....Reported on RW suggest that both Jones and Watson will suit up, but I caution that this does NOT mean they are 100% healthy....and the reports suggest also they are likely to be on a snap-count limitation Lions @PACKERS Both OLines are ailing. If I'm right, the Lions maybe slightly worse. In any case it appears to me that if either team loses another from the OLine at some point in the first half or early 3Q that could spell doom for that offense....particularly LIONS since Goff is not a scrambler like Jordan Love can be. Also, I see that Mongomery is active for tonight but I am not so sure he will be 100%. Packers have the better pass rush imo....
"I may be climbn' on rainbows, but baby here goes..."
PACKERS +2.5 -109 (Pinnacle)
I have my fingers crossed that their pass rush will be in fine fiddle tonight and make life miserable for Goff.
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Posted:
#1521
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ....Reported on RW suggest that both Jones and Watson will suit up, but I caution that this does NOT mean they are 100% healthy....and the reports suggest also they are likely to be on a snap-count limitation Lions @PACKERS Both OLines are ailing. If I'm right, the Lions maybe slightly worse. In any case it appears to me that if either team loses another from the OLine at some point in the first half or early 3Q that could spell doom for that offense....particularly LIONS since Goff is not a scrambler like Jordan Love can be. Also, I see that Mongomery is active for tonight but I am not so sure he will be 100%. Packers have the better pass rush imo.... "I may be climbn' on rainbows, but baby here goes..." PACKERS +2.5 -109 (Pinnacle) I have my fingers crossed that their pass rush will be in fine fiddle tonight and make life miserable for Goff.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ....Reported on RW suggest that both Jones and Watson will suit up, but I caution that this does NOT mean they are 100% healthy....and the reports suggest also they are likely to be on a snap-count limitation Lions @PACKERS Both OLines are ailing. If I'm right, the Lions maybe slightly worse. In any case it appears to me that if either team loses another from the OLine at some point in the first half or early 3Q that could spell doom for that offense....particularly LIONS since Goff is not a scrambler like Jordan Love can be. Also, I see that Mongomery is active for tonight but I am not so sure he will be 100%. Packers have the better pass rush imo.... "I may be climbn' on rainbows, but baby here goes..." PACKERS +2.5 -109 (Pinnacle) I have my fingers crossed that their pass rush will be in fine fiddle tonight and make life miserable for Goff.
As usual I will be tallying the breaks.....some earned, others very LUCKY....
PACKERS gain the first break of the night with an INT in scoring position. Couldn't advance the ball but 3 - 0 after each team has one possession, albeit Packers were fortunate
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Posted:
#1522
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ....Reported on RW suggest that both Jones and Watson will suit up, but I caution that this does NOT mean they are 100% healthy....and the reports suggest also they are likely to be on a snap-count limitation Lions @PACKERS Both OLines are ailing. If I'm right, the Lions maybe slightly worse. In any case it appears to me that if either team loses another from the OLine at some point in the first half or early 3Q that could spell doom for that offense....particularly LIONS since Goff is not a scrambler like Jordan Love can be. Also, I see that Mongomery is active for tonight but I am not so sure he will be 100%. Packers have the better pass rush imo.... "I may be climbn' on rainbows, but baby here goes..." PACKERS +2.5 -109 (Pinnacle) I have my fingers crossed that their pass rush will be in fine fiddle tonight and make life miserable for Goff. As usual I will be tallying the breaks.....some earned, others very LUCKY.... PACKERS gain the first break of the night with an INT in scoring position. Couldn't advance the ball but 3 - 0 after each team has one possession, albeit Packers were fortunate
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ....Reported on RW suggest that both Jones and Watson will suit up, but I caution that this does NOT mean they are 100% healthy....and the reports suggest also they are likely to be on a snap-count limitation Lions @PACKERS Both OLines are ailing. If I'm right, the Lions maybe slightly worse. In any case it appears to me that if either team loses another from the OLine at some point in the first half or early 3Q that could spell doom for that offense....particularly LIONS since Goff is not a scrambler like Jordan Love can be. Also, I see that Mongomery is active for tonight but I am not so sure he will be 100%. Packers have the better pass rush imo.... "I may be climbn' on rainbows, but baby here goes..." PACKERS +2.5 -109 (Pinnacle) I have my fingers crossed that their pass rush will be in fine fiddle tonight and make life miserable for Goff. As usual I will be tallying the breaks.....some earned, others very LUCKY.... PACKERS gain the first break of the night with an INT in scoring position. Couldn't advance the ball but 3 - 0 after each team has one possession, albeit Packers were fortunate
PACKERS score FIELDGOAL after getting a break...
LIONS respond with a 75 yard march for a TD.
Long game ahead. These are just opening salvos...
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Posted:
#1523
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
As usual I will be tallying the breaks.....some earned, others very LUCKY.... PACKERS gain the first break of the night with an INT in scoring position. Couldn't advance the ball but 3 - 0 after each team has one possession, albeit Packers were fortunate PACKERS score FIELDGOAL after getting a break... LIONS respond with a 75 yard march for a TD. Long game ahead. These are just opening salvos...
As usual I will be tallying the breaks.....some earned, others very LUCKY.... PACKERS gain the first break of the night with an INT in scoring position. Couldn't advance the ball but 3 - 0 after each team has one possession, albeit Packers were fortunate PACKERS score FIELDGOAL after getting a break... LIONS respond with a 75 yard march for a TD. Long game ahead. These are just opening salvos...
Lions up early 7 - 3 and driving....
As yet to be determined is the apparent injury to PACKERS tackle Jon Runyan....As I mentioned earlier, an injury to either OLine could make or break the game result ultimately.......this is pending...... Meanwhile Goff looks sharp!
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Posted:
#1524
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: As usual I will be tallying the breaks.....some earned, others very LUCKY.... PACKERS gain the first break of the night with an INT in scoring position. Couldn't advance the ball but 3 - 0 after each team has one possession, albeit Packers were fortunate PACKERS score FIELDGOAL after getting a break... LIONS respond with a 75 yard march for a TD. Long game ahead. These are just opening salvos... Lions up early 7 - 3 and driving.... As yet to be determined is the apparent injury to PACKERS tackle Jon Runyan....As I mentioned earlier, an injury to either OLine could make or break the game result ultimately.......this is pending...... Meanwhile Goff looks sharp!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: As usual I will be tallying the breaks.....some earned, others very LUCKY.... PACKERS gain the first break of the night with an INT in scoring position. Couldn't advance the ball but 3 - 0 after each team has one possession, albeit Packers were fortunate PACKERS score FIELDGOAL after getting a break... LIONS respond with a 75 yard march for a TD. Long game ahead. These are just opening salvos... Lions up early 7 - 3 and driving.... As yet to be determined is the apparent injury to PACKERS tackle Jon Runyan....As I mentioned earlier, an injury to either OLine could make or break the game result ultimately.......this is pending...... Meanwhile Goff looks sharp!
LIONS drive methodically 55 yds for another TD...... PACKER D not responding to the challenge.
If Runyan is out for PACKER OLine, this could be a rout for the Leos
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Posted:
#1525
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: As usual I will be tallying the breaks.....some earned, others very LUCKY.... PACKERS gain the first break of the night with an INT in scoring position. Couldn't advance the ball but 3 - 0 after each team has one possession, albeit Packers were fortunate PACKERS score FIELDGOAL after getting a break... LIONS respond with a 75 yard march for a TD. Long game ahead. These are just opening salvos... Lions up early 7 - 3 and driving.... As yet to be determined is the apparent injury to PACKERS tackle Jon Runyan....As I mentioned earlier, an injury to either OLine could make or break the game result ultimately.......this is pending...... Meanwhile Goff looks sharp! LIONS drive methodically 55 yds for another TD...... PACKER D not responding to the challenge. If Runyan is out for PACKER OLine, this could be a rout for the Leos
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: As usual I will be tallying the breaks.....some earned, others very LUCKY.... PACKERS gain the first break of the night with an INT in scoring position. Couldn't advance the ball but 3 - 0 after each team has one possession, albeit Packers were fortunate PACKERS score FIELDGOAL after getting a break... LIONS respond with a 75 yard march for a TD. Long game ahead. These are just opening salvos... Lions up early 7 - 3 and driving.... As yet to be determined is the apparent injury to PACKERS tackle Jon Runyan....As I mentioned earlier, an injury to either OLine could make or break the game result ultimately.......this is pending...... Meanwhile Goff looks sharp! LIONS drive methodically 55 yds for another TD...... PACKER D not responding to the challenge. If Runyan is out for PACKER OLine, this could be a rout for the Leos
End of 1Q and looking like a ROUT for LIONS.....no lucky breaks in their favor yet....all earned 14 - 3 lead and driving deep yet again!
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