10/11

31-21             +908

CH -1 -108

PIT -2.5 -115

HOU -6.5 -109

CIN -6.5 -110

NYJ -2.5 -106

SF +3.5 -118

BLT +3.5 -112

BLT O43 -106

@Raiders22

 GL today my friend 

HOU U37.5 -103 

I have a better number at open but still like this enough I think

@Raiders22

 BLT and SF could be two outright winners 

Can you elaborate on the jets if you have a chance?

Good luck 22 

GL  on your plays @Raiders22 

@brn2loslive2win

CLV is a very public play that I disagree with.

Back to back wins as an underdog trend is against them at 60%

Then a back to back wins as dog and against a non-division opponent is 17-34 or 33% ATS.

Efficiency numbers:

Total WAR:

NYJ         1.6

CLV         1.5

OFF WAR:

NYJ            .8

CLV           .2

DEF WAR:

CLV         1.3

NYJ           .8

PE/Play on RUSH:

NYJ .063 is 11th

PS/Play on RUSH

CLV .348 is 23rd

PE/Play on Pass:

NYJ .123 is 16th

PS/Play on Pass Defense:

CLV .305 is 7th

PS/Play on Pass rush:

CLV .305  7th

Passing WAR:

Smith .3

Watson -0.0

PE/Play:

Watson .051

Smith .123

Basically I think NYJ will try to keep it a low-scoring game and running the ball. Hall out is a serious issue for sure.  But I think Smith has been pretty decent and can make the plays when needed.

I am not sure Watson can because he has been too streaky.

CLV defense is not completely what it was last year — yet.  They are still very good so they want a low-scoring game as well to make up for Watson’s deficiencies.

There are some other matchups I see that play out to both teams wanting to run more.  NYJ have just been better than CLV at this.  Amazingly enough I trust Smith to make the key throws more than Waston.

But I think if the weather makes it even more of a slow soggy game that helps NYJ as well.

We shall see.

GL Raiders 

@Raiders22

 Bol

@Raiders22

@Raiders22

 !!

@Raiders22

 Nice job so far Raiders. I couldn’t make the case for either team in the Jets game but you nailed it. 

@brn2loslive2win

 Thanks.

A little luck always helps.  But the gameplan and the way it played out seemed pretty correct.

7-1 on the day. Crushed it as usual! 

Also had this.  
So 8-1.  But got so lucky on some.  
Always good when they go your way though. 

That’s a….spicey ameatball….   Tip my cap.  

@Raiders22

 awesome dayyesterday Raiderkeep it up.

 Congrats Raiders

Nice weekend Raiders!