WITHDREW ALL MY SAVINGS and trying to be a pro

Sports betting is very cruel.  Very cruel.  It's one of the cruelest forms of gambling next to baccarat.  Do you want to know why it's so cruel?

The odds.  The odds are either going to show themselves to you right away, or, after convincing you that you can beat them.  I am a professional sports bettor.  No, I'm not here to brag or prove anything, but, I'm sharing some details of my experience to prove a point.  I am currently using a method that has been tested, day in, day out, pick after pick, season after season, for 10+ years.   That's right.  TEN PLUS YEARS of TESTING before the first real money wager was EVER placed.  I'm not even going to indulge in how successful it has been since then...that's not the point.  Yes, it CAN be done.  But your chances of finding a winning LONG TERM system?  Is less than 2%.  Yes that's right, less than 2%.  There is a 98% that whatever you do will LOSE long term.  NINETY EIGHT PERCENT.   

Listen, I'm not talking about who can win or lose.  I'm talking about winning long term, consistent enough, to make a living off of.  To be able to expect and depend on, a certain profit number at the end of a season, or a year, every single year.  Time and time again, people are able to beat a week, a few months, a season, a few years even, and STILL, the odds show their ugly face and BEAT them.  Like I said...same thing happens with the casino game baccarat.   A person can find a way to win for years...only to get smothered to death with losses when the odds eventually show their ugly face.  The math does not lie.  Random is nearly unbeatable and sports betting is VERY random.  That is why things happen that people just can't accept and are not mathematically educated enough to understand.  So what happens?  They become ignorant degens, that end up on a never ending cycle, blaming their losses on fixes, bad luck, .....their personal lives get effected and destroyed.

So I say to you OP, if you do not have something that has been able to over come the ODDS and RANDOMNESS of the field of GAMBLING that you are attempting to risk your hard earned money in......if you do not have something that has been PROVEN to consistently beat the odds in EVERY major sport (nhl, nba, mlb, ncaab, ncaaf, nfl), consistently, season after season, for 5+ years?  Then please, do not risk a dime.  

You want short term luck, with a HUGE amount of risk, and HEAVY odds stacked against you with EVERY bet, no matter what ANYONE on this forum says, or HOW confident you feel about your bet?   Then by all means, go ahead.  See your "system" win a few months or a few seasons and convince yourself you have a winner and see how your money eventually falls to the pits in due time.  No matter HOW much you make up to that point!

Trust me when I say this....a gambling system has to be HEAVILY time tested.  HEAVILY.  For years.  MANY, MANY years.  The odds are CRUEL.    If you do not thoroughly test what you are going to use.......then you are only doing yourself and your future a disservice.

Whatever you decide to do, best wishes to you!

odds are obviously stacked monstrously against you,vegas wasnt built on winners and 10 million other gambling cliche's will attest to that......but i never wish failure on anyone tryna beat the books...good luck

This is a ballsy thing that  you are doing.

I've done the same thing. I've taken $10K of my savings and invested it into sports betting as a newbie at Tahoe at it several years ago ... fk'n lost it all in less than a year. Horrible, fk'n horrible.

It's taken me several years to recover from that debacle. The mental/emotional pain was horrible.

There have been all sorts of good advice in this thread for you to not do this, but you seem set on doing this. Ok.

You have VERY LITTLE margin for error ... start out bad with a couple of losses and you'd be look'n at a bankroll (BR) that's below $3K with you being stressed out, looking to chase and making bad bets under duress. I know ... I've been there, done that.

Ok. Consider your $3k bankroll to be your starting point and make the resolve to work with, to invest ONLY "house money" that you'd make off the $3k bankroll once you start to win enough "house money" to be profitable.

Here's what I'd do if I were you in this situation.

1) Tailing Brackson with a Portland bet is a good idea -- go with that, but bet just $150. That's fk'n it, man. Period. Don't even fk'n think of going more than this amount, ok?

2) Tail "Allstarcapper", who posts his bets in the NCAAB forum. He posts usually just one frick'n bet a day ... bet his bets. $150 per bet, max right now. Not one fk'n more dollar than this amount.

3) Tail MITM's "Falcon Plays"; he posts in the NBA forum. $150 per bet to start with. His NBA bets were marginal at 6-5 at one point, but now it's 9-5 with three wins in a row. ALL of his hockey bets have won (10-0) and hockey is about to restart on Tues. Tail those hockey bets hard and take them over his NBA bets, if given a choice between the two.

These three guys have been proven to provide consistent winners, so tail them hard right now.

If you tail these three guys today with a total risk of $450 out of your bankroll, the odds are quite good that you'd come out with at least a 2-1 day, if not 3-0.

Your margin of error is tiny, so my suggestion is to tail these guys hard, then you can consider expanding your betting once you get more "house money" to work with.

Depending on how much you'd win -- if any -- from Monday's betting, take this "house money" and invest it into "Allstarcapper" and MITM's plays again; the former will have just one play, if he posts for that day and the latter will have one or two plays for the day.

Divide up the "house money" evenly between the three, whatever the "house money" may be. If you are fortunate, it could be around $400 of "house money" if all three of your Monday bets win.

If it's just a 2-1 day (about $120 net profit), then take that "house money" and match it with an equal amount from your original BR money and continue to tail those two aforementioned guys hard.

If you had a profitable Tuesday, then take that original BR money and return it to your BR. Bet ONLY with your "house money" from that point on. 

Tail those two guys hard and build up as much "house money" that you can, betting ONLY your "house money" and not your original BR.

Then review after this week and see where you would be at with your strategy. During this first week, don't effing make your own bets ... maybe little, bitty $10 bets with bets of your own choices and watch closely to see how those bets do, compared to how the primary bets do with the tailing of those aforementioned guys.

Don't expect to build up your BR to $20K in a few frk'n months. Maybe double up in a few months ... but then you gotta live, so do you have some other sort of money coming in? A job? An annuity from your parents? Something other than your BR to provide for your daily needs ... you want to be free to reinvest your winnings back into your BR to grow it.

I hope that you win those bets!

So, if you do, then use those winnings ONLY to bet and return everything else back to your original BR and build up from there.

Good luck.

If your looking to bet it all in one shot take Portland -7.  My man Brackson13 has won 24 in a row and that will give you a bankroll of $5K win you factor in the juice.

BOL

1.  Nothing is guaranteed.  Nothing

2. No parlays, teasers, props..etc

Only spreads and ML dogs should be played

3. Never Never Never chase.

4. One heavy favored team will usually loose every night. 

This happens to screw up those people who bet money line parlays.

5. Line movement is real

6. Your betting on humans in a fixed league

7. It's a game of runs

8. If the line is too good to be true. ...... you know the rest. 

9. Don't bet on road teams who come back home to a large spread...   not very promising in the long run

10. You should start playing 1 dollar games until you understand how this crap works

11. Keep a record of everything you do

12. Play the same amount on every bet

13. Teams usually won't cover both half's

14. It's a marathon not a sprint

15. I could go for ever......

But this is the number 1 rule every one must adhere too

MONEY MANAGEMENT

GOOD LUCK 

Also, re: your leans tonight. I only like Portland in that group. -17 (as I saw with the Warriors and Hawks last night--two teams that are better than OKC) is way too high a number, and I wouldn't trust New Orleans to cover double-digit anything right now. Kings/Knicks I'm actually leaning Knicks but it's also +5 in my book so that's probably why. BOL!

You don't understand math if you think it's ok to have a "losing year".  If you truly have beat the ODDS?  You will not lose any season.  I have not had a losing year or season since starting to bet on sports, after testing my method for 10+ years.

A losing year, if you understand math and/or odds, will always eventually become two losing years, or three losing years.

Think about it....let's say your yearly track record from years won and lost looked like this.... WLWLWWLWLWLWWWL  ....

Are you going to seriously say, from analyzing that track record, with a 5th grader's mathematical education, that there is NO possibility, from that record easily turning into this?? WLWLLWLWLWLLLW?  

What are you going to say then?  "Oh it's ok, just two losing years in a row"....or?, "No worries.  Even though I lost the past three years in a row, I still did pretty well the first year.  I know I'll have a winning year again"..

-_-

Seriously now!  THINK!  If you cannot beat every sport? EVERY season?.  EVERY year? You are only AVOIDING the odds, that will eventually catch up to you.  Just TEST your method before betting any real money.  TEST to see if it holds up for YEARS.

BE SMART.  Listen to the advice I'm giving you.  And don't let your emotions and desire for fast money, push you into becoming another one of the worlds degenerates!

Also, does anyone try to sports gamble full time without announcing it on Covers?