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Thursday in the Sty

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Posted: #151
First I would like to say, I have been on this forum for years, but i do not post too often. Very rare for me to post.

Ok so what do we know?

Spurs are 3 games ahead of  OKC to win first seed with fours games to go and can control seeding. 

OKC needs to win ALL four games to clinch. (one of them is Indiana). Indiana and Miami are heck and heck for 1st seed in the east. OKC will probably not risk playing hard against against Indiana because Westbrook is Injury prone. 

Conclusion? pretty much spurs win 1st seed, OKC wins 2nd seed. We saw a very cut playoff match yesterday (OKC vs CLIPPERS) of course they are fighting for 2nd and 3rd seed, only reason both team actually played.

 

Spurs games left
@Dallas (can control seeding)
vs Suns (can control seeding)
@Houston (Will rest players, meaningless game)
vs Lakers (Will rest players, meaningless game most likely win)


Seedings (games highlighted in bold are tough)
Dallas 7th (1g ahead )3 games spurs, memphis, suns
Suns 8th (1g behind) 4 games spurs, dallas, memphis, kings
Memphis is 9th (2g behind) 4 games Phil, laker, suns, memphis

 
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Posted: #152
IN MY OPINION. don't listen to what I say though. 
 
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Posted: #153

Dallas, Suns, and memphis all play each other. 

So what does this say? Spurs have an opportunity to control seeding for first round of playoff.

The spurs DO NOT want to play MEMPHIS. This team knocked them off first round in 2011 playoff. Memphis is also healthy!

Spurs will either want to play Dallas or Phoenix. How? they lose to Dallas and Phoenix and not let memphis in 8th seed.

Also if they lose to Dallas, they have a better chance to play phoenix in the 8th seed. Spurs have beaten won every game against Dallas, Suns, and Memphis, except on 2/11 they lost against Spurs, (Parker was not playing)

Remember Spurs vs Memphis? The line was -7. Spurs did not really have to win this game but they beat them 112-92! They do not like MEMPHIS!!

Dallas has more experience and they are recent NBA champs. Let Dallas have 7th seed and they might upset 2nd seed thunder. 

Phoenix is a young inexperience playoff team. Who would you rather play?

Play of the year!

Dallas -2 (10 units)
Dallas 1h (3 units
 
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Posted: #154
Quote Originally Posted by Baby_BA:


Goodchoice, we don't usually tell dollar amounts here;  we just give a grade for our play like small or big.
We do that because we're not necessarily on the same scale;  high dollars to me might look small to you.  So its difficult to figure dollar terms, especially when Pig uses acorns, truffles and Chardonnay for his wagers. ...

how  did you know?? and henry...briskets are very good...the key...they are NOT pork!!!
 
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Posted: #155
For me, in scale between $30 to $250 in baseball. 40% of wagers are made in live bet.
 
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Posted: #156
Quote Originally Posted by heyyomikey07:

Marlins/Nationals F5 over

put it in before i went to cut grass..( NO henry....NOT THAT kind of grass ) and i think i forgot to post it... but here is another play i can drink to..
 
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Posted: #157
CHC/PIT over 3.5 F5 $$$$$

Hopefully they stop now , forgot who said they had FG under.
 
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Posted: #158
HOW ABOUT THEM CUBBIES.... 
 
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Posted: #159
On the MIA/WASH f5 over 3.5 also.

They can easily give up 4 combined but just as easily throw shutouts. Let's hope for the first.
 
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Posted: #160
how do you feel about my dallas writeup?
 
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Posted: #161
good afternoon fellas! missed out the early's but i know plenty of good plays are coming. best of luck to everyone in here
 
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Posted: #162
Quote Originally Posted by ult1ma:

CHC/PIT over 3.5 F5 $$$$$

Hopefully they stop now , forgot who said they had FG under.



Pirates manager did you a favor by not challenging the play. Glad to see you make $ though. I have Cubs FG under, F5, and FG. I'll gladly take the runs cause this bullpen is terrible. 
 
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Posted: #163
Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

HOW ABOUT THEM CUBBIES.... 


 
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Posted: #164
Quote Originally Posted by heyyomikey07:

I'm leaning Marlins F5.....am I crazy?

I actually considered Marlins 1st5 too.  I am sure you will make this a huge play now  
 
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Posted: #165
I kinda was leaning u7.5 for Nats/Fish game. Marlins are swing hot bets & sure Stras got lit up somewhat last night. Gotta imagine he regains his control tonight. Hate to be on opposite sides here... GL
 
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Posted: #166
Any error caused run scored in PIT/CUB?
 
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Posted: #167
Yanks/Red Sox f5 over? These teams usually score a lot against eachother and Buchholz hasn't shown top form so far.
 
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Posted: #168
Rnx, I'm always doomed when playing NBA point spread. There is no chemistry between me and my bets.
 
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Posted: #169
2 Plays I love for tonight:

BOS/NYY over 4 F5

These teams very often hit each other. I don't think Pineda will pitch lights out like last start and Bucholz could give up a few, hopefully he doesn't revert to his form of last year.

TOR/HOU over 4 F5

Both pitched well against the other teM in preseason but Keuchel is horrible and Dickey can give up a few himself.
 
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Posted: #170
Lol PABLO I didn't even see your post when I wrote that and we both had the same thought.
 
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Posted: #171
as i expected dallas FG total has moved up to 201 from 199 1/2 and 1 H from 98 to 98 1/2... that created more value in the 1 H and i think i will add some to it.
 
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Posted: #172
TOR/HOU is 4.5
 
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Posted: #173
I took Marlins TT Over 3 and F5 Over 3.5 for small.    
I think Stras is over-rated...    
 
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Posted: #174
Dang you guys Love Over bets, I havent seen any unders. 

Pig, you are not concern that spurs rest their players for this game?
 
 
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Posted: #175
Just came back from soccer practice and see that 3 out of my 4 bets on the Oakland bet hit. Nice!
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