think the Heat are more talented then the Cavs were last year but there
definitely not a better team check the records Cavs were virtually
unbeatable at home last year. I watched LeWade choke harder than I ever
saw supposed superstar ball players choke in the summer of 06 when they
pretty much disgraced US basketball and got ran off the court by Puerto
Rico, Spain, Greece gimme a break. They couldn't win gold until they
went and recruited Kobe. Teamwork, leadership, coaching are vastly
underrated don't believe all the hype about bets going here and there
how do you know that the numbers posted are truly representative of the
actual split you don't its the internet you can post whatever you
want... Stick to basktetball that's all we can do and its absolutely
retarded to take the Heat against the Lakers. If you want to jump by all
means frogger hop your happy ass on that highway just make sure to look
both ways because there are trucks out here with your name written all
over there tires.
0
think the Heat are more talented then the Cavs were last year but there
definitely not a better team check the records Cavs were virtually
unbeatable at home last year. I watched LeWade choke harder than I ever
saw supposed superstar ball players choke in the summer of 06 when they
pretty much disgraced US basketball and got ran off the court by Puerto
Rico, Spain, Greece gimme a break. They couldn't win gold until they
went and recruited Kobe. Teamwork, leadership, coaching are vastly
underrated don't believe all the hype about bets going here and there
how do you know that the numbers posted are truly representative of the
actual split you don't its the internet you can post whatever you
want... Stick to basktetball that's all we can do and its absolutely
retarded to take the Heat against the Lakers. If you want to jump by all
means frogger hop your happy ass on that highway just make sure to look
both ways because there are trucks out here with your name written all
over there tires.
You must have short-term memory and seem to contradict yourself with the write-ups you provide.
Bottom line is that Lakers are playing their 3rd road-game of a 4-game ‘road-trip’,
Five days ago you played the Nuggets against the Clippers because they were hot.
What exactly are the Lakers right now? And the Heat?
3rd road game of a 4 game trip. You said "3rd game in 4 nights"....2 different things.
I played the Nuggz because they were hot and because 'VALUE'' was on them (from my perspective of course). It's not just about playing 'HOT' teams. I need to see some 'value' in backing a particular side.
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Quote Originally Posted by HappyKane:
You must have short-term memory and seem to contradict yourself with the write-ups you provide.
Bottom line is that Lakers are playing their 3rd road-game of a 4-game ‘road-trip’,
Five days ago you played the Nuggets against the Clippers because they were hot.
What exactly are the Lakers right now? And the Heat?
3rd road game of a 4 game trip. You said "3rd game in 4 nights"....2 different things.
I played the Nuggz because they were hot and because 'VALUE'' was on them (from my perspective of course). It's not just about playing 'HOT' teams. I need to see some 'value' in backing a particular side.
my bad on last post hope the one above reads clearer good luck heat backers I have a feeling your gonna need it. Phil Jackson isn't as dumb as you think if he's picking on the Heat he probably smells blood.. Im just saying 11 Championships doesn't add up to a Fool
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my bad on last post hope the one above reads clearer good luck heat backers I have a feeling your gonna need it. Phil Jackson isn't as dumb as you think if he's picking on the Heat he probably smells blood.. Im just saying 11 Championships doesn't add up to a Fool
3rd road game of a 4 game trip. You said "3rd game in 4 nights"....2 different things.
I played the Nuggz because they were hot and because 'VALUE'' was on them (from my perspective of course). It's not just about playing 'HOT' teams. I need to see some 'value' in backing a particular side.
The value is in picking a winner and taking some cash home...
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Quote Originally Posted by bodio:
3rd road game of a 4 game trip. You said "3rd game in 4 nights"....2 different things.
I played the Nuggz because they were hot and because 'VALUE'' was on them (from my perspective of course). It's not just about playing 'HOT' teams. I need to see some 'value' in backing a particular side.
The value is in picking a winner and taking some cash home...
Lakers are a team that get's fire hot and plays in bunches Bynum did play but he was no where near 100% and Gasol was worn down too from playing all those early minutes they lost to Milwaukee by 20pts if that's not indicative of how badly the lakers were playing then compared to now I don't know what else to say. Have you seen Bynum lately avg 16rebs, 4 blks over current win streak he finally looks healthy and is completely buying into team concept less focus on scoring more focus on defense. When Bynum plays at this level the Lakers are pretty much unbeatable and the Heat are in total disarray no-offense continuity for god-sake there were grown men crying in there locker room (if that is not a sign of a weak minded team I don't know what is) you can burn your money if you like but don't get others to jump off the same cliff you chose....
you can burn your money if you like but don't get others to jump off the same cliff you chose....
OK, not sure what you want me to do here. Never did I say in my write-up for people to bet this game. I just shared with the public what I'm betting today and MY (key word being 'MY') reasons why. Please explain how I'm "getting others to jump off the same cliff"? thanks
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Quote Originally Posted by 702_Capper:
Lakers are a team that get's fire hot and plays in bunches Bynum did play but he was no where near 100% and Gasol was worn down too from playing all those early minutes they lost to Milwaukee by 20pts if that's not indicative of how badly the lakers were playing then compared to now I don't know what else to say. Have you seen Bynum lately avg 16rebs, 4 blks over current win streak he finally looks healthy and is completely buying into team concept less focus on scoring more focus on defense. When Bynum plays at this level the Lakers are pretty much unbeatable and the Heat are in total disarray no-offense continuity for god-sake there were grown men crying in there locker room (if that is not a sign of a weak minded team I don't know what is) you can burn your money if you like but don't get others to jump off the same cliff you chose....
you can burn your money if you like but don't get others to jump off the same cliff you chose....
OK, not sure what you want me to do here. Never did I say in my write-up for people to bet this game. I just shared with the public what I'm betting today and MY (key word being 'MY') reasons why. Please explain how I'm "getting others to jump off the same cliff"? thanks
I like the over but will have to play the Heat too. Usually don't play a side and a o/u for the same game but I will have to make an exception tonight..Thanks for the write up on the game
Like the OVER as well. MIght ahve a little 'action wager' on it.
GL
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Quote Originally Posted by jcjcjc24:
I like the over but will have to play the Heat too. Usually don't play a side and a o/u for the same game but I will have to make an exception tonight..Thanks for the write up on the game
Like the OVER as well. MIght ahve a little 'action wager' on it.
Advanced statistical model, excel based. The reason I say advanced, is because it took me awhile to create it and it has a lot of factors. The bare minimum is the MOV (Margin Of Victory) and SOS (Strength Of Schedule). Then it accounts for the 4 key factors to winning basketball games: EFG%, TOV%, ORB%, FTA/FGA. Only the 'real' discrepancies are accounted for, like team A has the #1 EFG% on offense, while team B is #20 in EFG% on defense.
Thanks mate, definitely helps a lot. All those stats eg. EFG% etc can be found on nbastuffer.com yeah?
This provides a good starting point and also the 'peace of mind' when it comes to analyzing lines (that's why I feel this is so important. See DB2033's comments on the first page. He's obviously just looking at wins/losses in the last few games and making a judgement call. If he truly had some data, he's see that this line on the HEAT game is way off)...After that you, just have to handicapp the 'shit' out of the game (excuse my french), focus on RELEVANT key trends, scheduling (very important in NBA), revenge scenarios (when applicable...not all teams react to these the same), 'line-value' from bookies' perspective, potential 'look-ahead' spots (not as big in the NBA as in college), etc....
HOpe this helps.
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Quote Originally Posted by bodio:
Advanced statistical model, excel based. The reason I say advanced, is because it took me awhile to create it and it has a lot of factors. The bare minimum is the MOV (Margin Of Victory) and SOS (Strength Of Schedule). Then it accounts for the 4 key factors to winning basketball games: EFG%, TOV%, ORB%, FTA/FGA. Only the 'real' discrepancies are accounted for, like team A has the #1 EFG% on offense, while team B is #20 in EFG% on defense.
Thanks mate, definitely helps a lot. All those stats eg. EFG% etc can be found on nbastuffer.com yeah?
This provides a good starting point and also the 'peace of mind' when it comes to analyzing lines (that's why I feel this is so important. See DB2033's comments on the first page. He's obviously just looking at wins/losses in the last few games and making a judgement call. If he truly had some data, he's see that this line on the HEAT game is way off)...After that you, just have to handicapp the 'shit' out of the game (excuse my french), focus on RELEVANT key trends, scheduling (very important in NBA), revenge scenarios (when applicable...not all teams react to these the same), 'line-value' from bookies' perspective, potential 'look-ahead' spots (not as big in the NBA as in college), etc....
you can burn your money if you like but don't get others to jump off the same cliff you chose....
OK, not sure what you want me to do here. Never did I say in my write-up for people to bet this game. I just shared with the public what I'm betting today and MY (key word being 'MY') reasons why. Please explain how I'm "getting others to jump off the same cliff"? thanks
I don't buy into conspiracy theories involving bball betting and that is all anybody who takes the Heat have nothing concrete. My apologies if you took my post wrong after re-reading it wasn't very nice and no reason to not keep this thing cordial. GL you may the best capper prevail
0
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:
you can burn your money if you like but don't get others to jump off the same cliff you chose....
OK, not sure what you want me to do here. Never did I say in my write-up for people to bet this game. I just shared with the public what I'm betting today and MY (key word being 'MY') reasons why. Please explain how I'm "getting others to jump off the same cliff"? thanks
I don't buy into conspiracy theories involving bball betting and that is all anybody who takes the Heat have nothing concrete. My apologies if you took my post wrong after re-reading it wasn't very nice and no reason to not keep this thing cordial. GL you may the best capper prevail
think the Heat are more talented then the Cavs were last year but there definitely not a better team check the records Cavs were virtually unbeatable at home last year. I watched LeWade choke harder than I ever saw supposed superstar ball players choke in the summer of 06 when they pretty much disgraced US basketball and got ran off the court by Puerto Rico, Spain, Greece gimme a break. They couldn't win gold until they went and recruited Kobe. Teamwork, leadership, coaching are vastly underrated don't believe all the hype about bets going here and there how do you know that the numbers posted are truly representative of the actual split you don't its the internet you can post whatever you want... Stick to basktetball that's all we can do and its absolutely retarded to take the Heat against the Lakers. If you want to jump by all means frogger hop your happy ass on that highway just make sure to look both ways because there are trucks out here with your name written all over there tires.
If I did something to upset you, I truly apologize. Not sure why my handicapping upsets you so much.
I am under the impression that there are a multitude of ways/methods to look at and analyze games. I never said my 'logic' / 'angle' is the right way. It's just my way of looking at the game.
If my 'angle' upsets you so much that you wish a 'truck would run me over on a highway' then I just want to apologize once again.
In terms of where I get the data for %-ages, I subscribe to a reliable service, that's been in business for a number of years. They get this information directly from the sportbooks themselves.
One last time: Miami is +1. That's pretty much Pick 'em. It's NOT as obvious as you make it out to be that Lakers is the right play today. If it was, I can guarantee you that the line would not be this low. You might be a smart guy but you're not smarter than the bookmakers with their advanced algorithms....No one is...
Enjoy the game and go HEAT!
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Quote Originally Posted by 702_Capper:
think the Heat are more talented then the Cavs were last year but there definitely not a better team check the records Cavs were virtually unbeatable at home last year. I watched LeWade choke harder than I ever saw supposed superstar ball players choke in the summer of 06 when they pretty much disgraced US basketball and got ran off the court by Puerto Rico, Spain, Greece gimme a break. They couldn't win gold until they went and recruited Kobe. Teamwork, leadership, coaching are vastly underrated don't believe all the hype about bets going here and there how do you know that the numbers posted are truly representative of the actual split you don't its the internet you can post whatever you want... Stick to basktetball that's all we can do and its absolutely retarded to take the Heat against the Lakers. If you want to jump by all means frogger hop your happy ass on that highway just make sure to look both ways because there are trucks out here with your name written all over there tires.
If I did something to upset you, I truly apologize. Not sure why my handicapping upsets you so much.
I am under the impression that there are a multitude of ways/methods to look at and analyze games. I never said my 'logic' / 'angle' is the right way. It's just my way of looking at the game.
If my 'angle' upsets you so much that you wish a 'truck would run me over on a highway' then I just want to apologize once again.
In terms of where I get the data for %-ages, I subscribe to a reliable service, that's been in business for a number of years. They get this information directly from the sportbooks themselves.
One last time: Miami is +1. That's pretty much Pick 'em. It's NOT as obvious as you make it out to be that Lakers is the right play today. If it was, I can guarantee you that the line would not be this low. You might be a smart guy but you're not smarter than the bookmakers with their advanced algorithms....No one is...
I don't buy into conspiracy theories involving bball betting and that is all anybody who takes the Heat have nothing concrete. My apologies if you took my post wrong after re-reading it wasn't very nice and no reason to not keep this thing cordial. GL you may the best capper prevail
GL to you too, but I hope you know that 1 game does not make the 'best capper'. It's only one game! Nothing more, nothing less.
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Quote Originally Posted by 702_Capper:
I don't buy into conspiracy theories involving bball betting and that is all anybody who takes the Heat have nothing concrete. My apologies if you took my post wrong after re-reading it wasn't very nice and no reason to not keep this thing cordial. GL you may the best capper prevail
GL to you too, but I hope you know that 1 game does not make the 'best capper'. It's only one game! Nothing more, nothing less.
702_Capper...Bodio posts his plays to help others...never does he ask anyone to play them. It's your money and your decision...
Go to "sleep" Tupac...
hey NE, thanks but please don't get involved in 'defending me'. No need for it.
I already told people in the past: feel free to vent, offer opposing viewpoints, and pretty much say/do whatever anyone pleases. It doesn't bother me and I do understand sometimes it helps people cope with this stressful activity we call 'gambling'.
702_Capper is welcome to his opinion, and I will respond to it if I need to, but I woudl appreciate it if noone got involved in things that are not directed to them. No need for it and no need to get stressed out over such things...
GL buddy! Go HEAT
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Quote Originally Posted by nepatriots_12:
702_Capper...Bodio posts his plays to help others...never does he ask anyone to play them. It's your money and your decision...
Go to "sleep" Tupac...
hey NE, thanks but please don't get involved in 'defending me'. No need for it.
I already told people in the past: feel free to vent, offer opposing viewpoints, and pretty much say/do whatever anyone pleases. It doesn't bother me and I do understand sometimes it helps people cope with this stressful activity we call 'gambling'.
702_Capper is welcome to his opinion, and I will respond to it if I need to, but I woudl appreciate it if noone got involved in things that are not directed to them. No need for it and no need to get stressed out over such things...
hey NE, thanks but please don't get involved in 'defending me'. No need for it.
I already told people in the past: feel free to vent, offer opposing viewpoints, and pretty much say/do whatever anyone pleases. It doesn't bother me and I do understand sometimes it helps people cope with this stressful activity we call 'gambling'.
702_Capper is welcome to his opinion, and I will respond to it if I need to, but I woudl appreciate it if noone got involved in things that are not directed to them. No need for it and no need to get stressed out over such things...
GL buddy! Go HEAT
Just opposing viewpoints getting hit by a truck was an analogy you know that... I'm a laker just as you expressed frustration in Phil Jackson assessment in the Heat crying I'm expressing frustration in your assessment. NEPatriots is probably still butt hurt over me laughing at his Hawks pick the other night (I tried to warn you but you refused to listen) in the end it's all fun and games don't be so sensitive sports, gambling, and talking shit all go hand in hand where I'm from we can still be friends
Go Lakers!!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by bodio:
hey NE, thanks but please don't get involved in 'defending me'. No need for it.
I already told people in the past: feel free to vent, offer opposing viewpoints, and pretty much say/do whatever anyone pleases. It doesn't bother me and I do understand sometimes it helps people cope with this stressful activity we call 'gambling'.
702_Capper is welcome to his opinion, and I will respond to it if I need to, but I woudl appreciate it if noone got involved in things that are not directed to them. No need for it and no need to get stressed out over such things...
GL buddy! Go HEAT
Just opposing viewpoints getting hit by a truck was an analogy you know that... I'm a laker just as you expressed frustration in Phil Jackson assessment in the Heat crying I'm expressing frustration in your assessment. NEPatriots is probably still butt hurt over me laughing at his Hawks pick the other night (I tried to warn you but you refused to listen) in the end it's all fun and games don't be so sensitive sports, gambling, and talking shit all go hand in hand where I'm from we can still be friends
ONLY a FOOL would bet the HEAT tonight...if your that off on this game please just watch it don't lose your cash in this spot...you could not find a worse spot to bet your cash... Lakers or watch this heat players...you'll think me after the game...Lakers had this game circled before this trip started and are playing Championship BBall right now. The Heat cant get out of there own way. The Lakers have the Bigs to pound this team down low the the athletes to handle them outside..Lakers 109-99 after being up 20 plus in forth quarter...
Who is the fool now buddy??? Don't come in Bodio's thread talking shit.
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Quote Originally Posted by DT3324:
ONLY a FOOL would bet the HEAT tonight...if your that off on this game please just watch it don't lose your cash in this spot...you could not find a worse spot to bet your cash... Lakers or watch this heat players...you'll think me after the game...Lakers had this game circled before this trip started and are playing Championship BBall right now. The Heat cant get out of there own way. The Lakers have the Bigs to pound this team down low the the athletes to handle them outside..Lakers 109-99 after being up 20 plus in forth quarter...
Who is the fool now buddy??? Don't come in Bodio's thread talking shit.
The Lakers are one of the best plays Ive seen all year..actually they are they best bet ive seen so far this season..and ill be making a max play on them with confidence tonight.
Ouch.
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Quote Originally Posted by DT3324:
The Lakers are one of the best plays Ive seen all year..actually they are they best bet ive seen so far this season..and ill be making a max play on them with confidence tonight.
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