Posted:
#276
2017 NBA Playoffs
Go State
away 6-0 ATS
home 2-4 ATS
Clev
away 7-0 ATS
home 2-4 ATS
Go State
away 6-0 ATS
home 2-4 ATS
Clev
away 7-0 ATS
home 2-4 ATS
0
Post #2016 in 2016
Posted:
#285
Since LBJ's return to Clev = 7-7 ats (50%) as a postseason dog
2017 Postseason: Road-Clev 5-0-2 ats & Home-Go State 2-4 ats
Go State has NOT been pushed, has had no tight games;
Boston provided that for Clev. as a way to get tougher fast;
Boston beats Go State in Waracle as an annual event L2Y;
We've seen the linesmakers & public-$-adjustments indicate
San Ant w/ Leonard 4 to 5 pts better than Celts w/o Thomas.
Is being the Vegas-underdog motivational to the reigning champs?
If Go State didn't have revenge, they wouldn't be motivated enough
to play as hard as they can, even tho' a Championship is on the line?
Is revenge really that much more the motivator than 1st Place itself?
Or is playing for revenge just one of the narratives handed out to buy?
Aside from confirmation-bias, and looking for reasons for randomness,
It ain't a series 'til the road team wins a game.
2017 Postseason: Road-Clev 5-0-2 ats & Home-Go State 2-4 ats
Go State has NOT been pushed, has had no tight games;
Boston provided that for Clev. as a way to get tougher fast;
Boston beats Go State in Waracle as an annual event L2Y;
We've seen the linesmakers & public-$-adjustments indicate
San Ant w/ Leonard 4 to 5 pts better than Celts w/o Thomas.
Is being the Vegas-underdog motivational to the reigning champs?
If Go State didn't have revenge, they wouldn't be motivated enough
to play as hard as they can, even tho' a Championship is on the line?
Is revenge really that much more the motivator than 1st Place itself?
Or is playing for revenge just one of the narratives handed out to buy?
Aside from confirmation-bias, and looking for reasons for randomness,
It ain't a series 'til the road team wins a game.
0
Posted:
#287
Besides better 3pt efficiency + greater offensive efficiency,
Pace of Play has went up in this year's Playoffs => Overs.
Also, ref's are not swallowing their whistles and are NOT
letting players just play this year => more Free Throws !!
Last Years Finals:
Game #1 total 211
Game #2 total 209
Game #3 total 206.5
Game #4 total 207.5
Game #5 total 209
Game #6 total 207.5
Game #7 total 205
=> Almost 20 pts ahead of the average Total from last year's Final !!
Pace of Play has went up in this year's Playoffs => Overs.
Also, ref's are not swallowing their whistles and are NOT
letting players just play this year => more Free Throws !!
Last Years Finals:
Game #1 total 211
Game #2 total 209
Game #3 total 206.5
Game #4 total 207.5
Game #5 total 209
Game #6 total 207.5
Game #7 total 205
=> Almost 20 pts ahead of the average Total from last year's Final !!
0
Posted:
#290
For In-game & Props betting:
One tell will be how fast does
the Center position continue
to exist in Go State's rotation
particularly after the first few
minutes of the game?
Clev's shown their "Next Gear"
but is there one for Go State ?
They've not been pushed in a
Playoff game yet to show it...
That makes the rust factor a
little bit bigger for Go State..
KD, Green, & esp. Iggy (who
won MVP for) guarding LBJ -
uring the reg season, teams
left LBJ wide open for 3's as
they sagged into the paint -
last year's Playoffs-LBJ shot
33% on his 3's - this year's
playoffs finds LBJ's 3's 45%.
But besides LBJ, what option
does Clev have to guard KD?
- only KD's injury can even it
out for parity (KD seeks MVP)
- opposed to Go St.'s missing
shots, can Clev get stops on
a consistent basis as can GS?
Golden State's been unlucky in close games this year
compared to last year's close games: Bench weaker,
but the teams won't go as deep into the bench.
Go State is 27-1 SU & 18-7-3 ATS their last 28 games.
One tell will be how fast does
the Center position continue
to exist in Go State's rotation
particularly after the first few
minutes of the game?
Clev's shown their "Next Gear"
but is there one for Go State ?
They've not been pushed in a
Playoff game yet to show it...
That makes the rust factor a
little bit bigger for Go State..
KD, Green, & esp. Iggy (who
won MVP for) guarding LBJ -
uring the reg season, teams
left LBJ wide open for 3's as
they sagged into the paint -
last year's Playoffs-LBJ shot
33% on his 3's - this year's
playoffs finds LBJ's 3's 45%.
But besides LBJ, what option
does Clev have to guard KD?
- only KD's injury can even it
out for parity (KD seeks MVP)
- opposed to Go St.'s missing
shots, can Clev get stops on
a consistent basis as can GS?
Golden State's been unlucky in close games this year
compared to last year's close games: Bench weaker,
but the teams won't go as deep into the bench.
Go State is 27-1 SU & 18-7-3 ATS their last 28 games.
0
Posted:
#292
Quote Originally Posted by Pendo:
In a very even matchup of talent
one can get seven points on top
of getting the league's best player
along with the better bench players.
Cavs +7
see ya at the bank! In a very even matchup of talent
one can get seven points on top
of getting the league's best player
along with the better bench players.
Cavs +7
CAVS +7 is as solid as it gets 
the GSW would have to blowout/out-play the Cavs for 3 1/2 quarters to maintain a -7 cover...and even then; it's just not happening
0
Posted:
#294
MVP – #NBAFinals
Durant +200
Curry +220
LeBron +250
D. Green +800
K. Irving +1500
K. Love +2000
K. Thompson +2200
Durant +200
Curry +220
LeBron +250
D. Green +800
K. Irving +1500
K. Love +2000
K. Thompson +2200
0
Posted:
#296
1950 was the last time a major US sport has had a trilogy —
however, tonight's 1st ever occurence in the history of NBA !
Both these teams have had lots of time off in NBA terms of service,
as Clev's not played since last Thurs when they waltzed past Boston;
GS's been off from live action since the 22nd of May (a fortnight free).
So much time off for Go St. can be an issue, b/c Dubs may be 12-0 su
this 2017 postseason, but they've been seriously slow out of the gate
to get it going when starting play in the opening game of a series.
Dubs couldn't cover in their opening round vs. Portland in Game #1,
followed it w/ a pt-spread-failure in the semifinals' Game #1 vs. Jazz,
then in the conference finals, Go St. trailed San Ant by a huge 25 pts
before Leonards weak ankle ( <= good thing he never tried Hockey !!)
failed him allowing GS's come back for a 2-point win at home,
but once again failing to cover the 10 point spread.
0-3 in Game #1's this 2017 postseason; tonight they are laying 7 pts
to Clev who ran off 3-in-a-row last yr. in this round for an NBA crown.
Both of these teams ought to be there in the hunt for the victory in the
waning minutes of this Game #1 — thus, seven points should prevail..
however, tonight's 1st ever occurence in the history of NBA !
Both these teams have had lots of time off in NBA terms of service,
as Clev's not played since last Thurs when they waltzed past Boston;
GS's been off from live action since the 22nd of May (a fortnight free).
So much time off for Go St. can be an issue, b/c Dubs may be 12-0 su
this 2017 postseason, but they've been seriously slow out of the gate
to get it going when starting play in the opening game of a series.
Dubs couldn't cover in their opening round vs. Portland in Game #1,
followed it w/ a pt-spread-failure in the semifinals' Game #1 vs. Jazz,
then in the conference finals, Go St. trailed San Ant by a huge 25 pts
before Leonards weak ankle ( <= good thing he never tried Hockey !!)
failed him allowing GS's come back for a 2-point win at home,
but once again failing to cover the 10 point spread.
0-3 in Game #1's this 2017 postseason; tonight they are laying 7 pts
to Clev who ran off 3-in-a-row last yr. in this round for an NBA crown.
Both of these teams ought to be there in the hunt for the victory in the
waning minutes of this Game #1 — thus, seven points should prevail..
0
Posted:
#297
LBJ is, at least, as good as Leonard, most would agree,
at defense and controlling the pace of a game, which for
a Spurs team meant a total blowout in their first game...
Thus, the winning formula blueprint is now freshly there
and readily apparent for the Cavs to emulate.
There is more pressure on KD to win
— none on LBJ if he and his team lose,
while LBJ can only gain status with a win.
Teams that have swept going into the Final have not fared well.
at defense and controlling the pace of a game, which for
a Spurs team meant a total blowout in their first game...
Thus, the winning formula blueprint is now freshly there
and readily apparent for the Cavs to emulate.
There is more pressure on KD to win
— none on LBJ if he and his team lose,
while LBJ can only gain status with a win.
Teams that have swept going into the Final have not fared well.
0
Posted:
#298
Tons of penalty boxers — man advantages, waving off of goals
and the game miraculously stays under 5.5 goals total !!!!!
After Pens win of Gm #2 by a 4-1 final score = an Under —
Stanley Cup Finals games following an Over are now
4-13-1 O/U (76% Under) since 2006 & 0-8 O/U since 2011.
Smashville is the best home ice
in the 2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs,
and every 3 wins by the Pens is
followed by a loss.: Nash wins G3.
Of those particular losses in their 4th
game off 3-in-a-row win-streaks by the
Pens in the playoffs were as follows:
4-5 Over (vs. Jacks = an Under squad)
2-3 Under (vs. Caps = an Over squad)
and the game miraculously stays under 5.5 goals total !!!!!
After Pens win of Gm #2 by a 4-1 final score = an Under —
Stanley Cup Finals games following an Over are now
4-13-1 O/U (76% Under) since 2006 & 0-8 O/U since 2011.
Smashville is the best home ice
in the 2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs,
and every 3 wins by the Pens is
followed by a loss.: Nash wins G3.
Of those particular losses in their 4th
game off 3-in-a-row win-streaks by the
Pens in the playoffs were as follows:
4-5 Over (vs. Jacks = an Under squad)
2-3 Under (vs. Caps = an Over squad)
0
Posted:
#299
Starting Pitcher averages:
NL Starters ERA = 4.34
AL Starters ERA = 4.24
Rare that NL's ERA is greater than the AL's.
SO-rate has increased each of the last 5 years
and yet there's a league wide increase in offense;
parks at SD & at Sea have been adjusted upwards,
but totals for Balt, Col & Cubs have avg'd the same.
NL Starters ERA = 4.34
AL Starters ERA = 4.24
Rare that NL's ERA is greater than the AL's.
SO-rate has increased each of the last 5 years
and yet there's a league wide increase in offense;
parks at SD & at Sea have been adjusted upwards,
but totals for Balt, Col & Cubs have avg'd the same.
0
Posted:
#300
Friday bases:
Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games
when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 19 Overs and 3 Unders this season (+15.85 units)
Play ON BALTIMORE using the run line in Home games in June
The record is 24 Wins and 7 Losses for the last three seasons (+22.90 units)
Play ON MINN using the money line in Road games in night games
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Loss this season (+10.55 units)
Play AGAINST PHIL using the run line in All games
when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 2 Wins and 14 Losses this season (-16.90 units)
Play ON HOU using the run line in All road games
The record is 19 Wins and 5 Losses this season (+15.40 units)
Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games
when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 19 Overs and 3 Unders this season (+15.85 units)
Play ON BALTIMORE using the run line in Home games in June
The record is 24 Wins and 7 Losses for the last three seasons (+22.90 units)
Play ON MINN using the money line in Road games in night games
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Loss this season (+10.55 units)
Play AGAINST PHIL using the run line in All games
when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 2 Wins and 14 Losses this season (-16.90 units)
Play ON HOU using the run line in All road games
The record is 19 Wins and 5 Losses this season (+15.40 units)
0
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