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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Playoff Record 52-27(65%) Thurs. X Pick/Write-Up!

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    CloserX
    CMonet
    gd2436
    canadiantruth
    CalBear
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    CloserX
    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 5:46 PM ET #1

    Updated Recorded Playoff Record
    52-27 (65%)

    Hello everyone!

     Last night sucked by missing the Mavs spread. We made up for it with the ML and the 2h bet though. Which made it a 2-1 day.

    This puts me at 9-3(75%) over the past 5 days of betting. So everything is still looking good as far as closing off the playoffs strong with above  a 65% as a whole.

    This was a VERY hard decision... but after much thought and research I think I'm going to fade the public/the rest of covers lol and ride the heat 1 more time.

    Lets keep this run going! On to the play!

    Heat +3.5 (bought .5)

    So far this series has been very good to me. We have cashed in on every game so far. The only bump in the road was in game 2 but I quickly saw that the Heat had stepped it up and made some live bets to fix it.

    Game 4 was a very crucial game. Just as I thought, It would be a war but in the end Chicago's limited fire power would kill them them and Miami's multiple scorers would close it out. Dont get me wrong though... My blood was pumping from the 4th quarter on, lol.

    Miami

    Lebron James once again led Miami in game 4 with a whopping 35 points, 6 boards and 6 assists. Which made his performance even crazier was the how he was able to take Rose out of the game when his team needed him the most late in the game.

    The second leading scorer was Chris Bosh, who had 22 points and 6 rebounds. This guy has really surprised me during this series. He is finally playing like he did in the Raptors. He has actually shot above 50% in all 4 games so far. I consider Bosh the X factor in this team. When he is on, Miami becomes unstoppable.

    Wade on the other hand, has had a rough series. In game 4 he only scored 14 points. What confuses me, is that he had stayed till 12am the previous night practicing his shot and still shot poorly. Luckily for him and Miami though.. He really stepped it up in the final minutes of the game to secure Miami the win.

    In the extra period alone.. James, Wade, and Bosh combined for 16 points. This is what I was talking about last time.. something has happened with this team. I used to write about how they were great during the game but horrible in clutch situations in the final minutes. I dont know what they have done but they are a different team when it comes to this now. It is also why I am siding with them again tonight!

    Chicago

    Game 4 was supposed to be Chicago's come back game. They knew that if they gave Miami a 3-1 lead, their season is pretty much over.

    Derrick Rose, the NBA MVP, led Chicago with 23 points. Unfortunately he shot 8 of 27 to get those points though. He also shot a dismal 1-9 from the 3 point range. Rose has combined 33 of 91 from the field in the 4 games of this series. Considering the fact that the entire Bulls offense is based on his scoring..  He will need to make some drastic changed if they want any chance of winning tonight.

    Both Deng and Boozer tied for 2nd leading scorer in game 4 with 20- points each. To be honest, I never thought I would see the day that Boozer was nipping at the heals of Rose as far as scoring goes lol. Ill give him credit though, I like his style of playing lately. He has a physical presence along with a scoring mindset that has really helped Chicago. Unfortunately for the Bulls though, I don't think it ill be enough.

    I consider Korver to be Chicago's X factor. He used to be the one to have the big game changing shots. In these last 4 games though.. he is just shooting 5 for 18 and averaging only 3.5 points per game. Without him, Chicago is missing a very key ingredient to the recipe they use for their success in the regular season. He was able to spread the defense and really incorporate the 3 pointer into their game. Shooting from beyond the arc is all about confidence and unfortunately for the Bulls his is shot though.

    The last player I wanted to talk about was Noah. He has been just amazing with his defense. He ties with Collison from the Thunder for my favorite defense player this year. What kills me though... Is that he can do so much more offensively. He has the ability to score in the post and add some much needed points for the Bulls. In my opinion his talents are not being used to their fullest at all and if Chicago wants to win... they will need to use him more.

    (Continued in post below)
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    Updated Recorded Playoff Record
    52-27 (65%)

    Hello everyone!

     Last night sucked by missing the Mavs spread. We made up for it with the ML and the 2h bet though. Which made it a 2-1 day.

    This puts me at 9-3(75%) over the past 5 days of betting. So everything is still looking good as far as closing off the playoffs strong with above  a 65% as a whole.

    This was a VERY hard decision... but after much thought and research I think I'm going to fade the public/the rest of covers lol and ride the heat 1 more time.

    Lets keep this run going! On to the play!

    Heat +3.5 (bought .5)

    So far this series has been very good to me. We have cashed in on every game so far. The only bump in the road was in game 2 but I quickly saw that the Heat had stepped it up and made some live bets to fix it.

    Game 4 was a very crucial game. Just as I thought, It would be a war but in the end Chicago's limited fire power would kill them them and Miami's multiple scorers would close it out. Dont get me wrong though... My blood was pumping from the 4th quarter on, lol.

    Miami

    Lebron James once again led Miami in game 4 with a whopping 35 points, 6 boards and 6 assists. Which made his performance even crazier was the how he was able to take Rose out of the game when his team needed him the most late in the game.

    The second leading scorer was Chris Bosh, who had 22 points and 6 rebounds. This guy has really surprised me during this series. He is finally playing like he did in the Raptors. He has actually shot above 50% in all 4 games so far. I consider Bosh the X factor in this team. When he is on, Miami becomes unstoppable.

    Wade on the other hand, has had a rough series. In game 4 he only scored 14 points. What confuses me, is that he had stayed till 12am the previous night practicing his shot and still shot poorly. Luckily for him and Miami though.. He really stepped it up in the final minutes of the game to secure Miami the win.

    In the extra period alone.. James, Wade, and Bosh combined for 16 points. This is what I was talking about last time.. something has happened with this team. I used to write about how they were great during the game but horrible in clutch situations in the final minutes. I dont know what they have done but they are a different team when it comes to this now. It is also why I am siding with them again tonight!

    Chicago

    Game 4 was supposed to be Chicago's come back game. They knew that if they gave Miami a 3-1 lead, their season is pretty much over.

    Derrick Rose, the NBA MVP, led Chicago with 23 points. Unfortunately he shot 8 of 27 to get those points though. He also shot a dismal 1-9 from the 3 point range. Rose has combined 33 of 91 from the field in the 4 games of this series. Considering the fact that the entire Bulls offense is based on his scoring..  He will need to make some drastic changed if they want any chance of winning tonight.

    Both Deng and Boozer tied for 2nd leading scorer in game 4 with 20- points each. To be honest, I never thought I would see the day that Boozer was nipping at the heals of Rose as far as scoring goes lol. Ill give him credit though, I like his style of playing lately. He has a physical presence along with a scoring mindset that has really helped Chicago. Unfortunately for the Bulls though, I don't think it ill be enough.

    I consider Korver to be Chicago's X factor. He used to be the one to have the big game changing shots. In these last 4 games though.. he is just shooting 5 for 18 and averaging only 3.5 points per game. Without him, Chicago is missing a very key ingredient to the recipe they use for their success in the regular season. He was able to spread the defense and really incorporate the 3 pointer into their game. Shooting from beyond the arc is all about confidence and unfortunately for the Bulls his is shot though.

    The last player I wanted to talk about was Noah. He has been just amazing with his defense. He ties with Collison from the Thunder for my favorite defense player this year. What kills me though... Is that he can do so much more offensively. He has the ability to score in the post and add some much needed points for the Bulls. In my opinion his talents are not being used to their fullest at all and if Chicago wants to win... they will need to use him more.

    (Continued in post below)
     
    CloserX
    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 5:46 PM ET #2

    Why I am picking the Heat to cover tonight.

    Going into this series, I had picked the Bulls to win. After the first game, I was even more juiced on them. Since then however, I have studied/learned a lot about this match-up and my opinion has completely changed.

    Miami has successfully neutralized Rose for 3 games in a row. I think the first game was a learning experience for the Heat and they made the necessary changes to win. With Rose's offense being minimal, Chicago just doesn't have enough scoring options that can play against the Heats defense.

    In game 4 the Bulls tried to get more out of Rose by moving him to the wing and running pick and rolls from there. It was actually working very well... Until Miami made the proper corrections to defend it. The Bulls then started running isolations from the top of the 3-point arc and the results were disastrous.

    What this is showing me is that the Bulls HAVE to rely on Rose and they are constantly trying everything. Unfortunately for them though, The Heat's defense is able to adapt too quickly.

    The Rose is wilting and I don't see him being able to figure out how to beat Miami's defense by tonight.

    What made this pick hard for me at first was the fact that the Bulls are against the wall and will play with everything they got.. While Miami is sitting comfortably with a 3-1 lead and has no pressure.

    It wasn't till I started reading the different interviews with the Heat that helped me get an idea of their mental status going into this game. Here is what I read..

    When asked about game 5, Lebron declared it "a must win"

    Wade
    "We're desperate," Wade said. "We're a desperate team as well. We didn't work this hard to put ourself in this position, to be up 3-1, to not be able to match their energy and effort."

    Bosh
    "Everything that we have, we have to throw everything and the kitchen sink at those guys because they're going to be ready," Bosh said. "Nobody ever wants to go home early. They've put in a season just like we have. As a man, they're going to have pride. As a team, they're going to have pride. And we have to have that same thing.

    What I gathered from this is that Miami is thinking the right way. They know that Chicago is a tough team and Miami will not take them for granted. Lebron has taken the reigns of this team and will do everything in his power to get his first ring. The same can be said with Bosh who also doesn't have a ring. These guys are ready to rock tonight and wont make the stupid mistake relaxing!

    The Heat also just found out that the Mavs won last night and are already working on ways to beat them. They absolutely do not want an elite team like Dallas having the advantage of more time to prepare.

    Just like the Bulls....This really is a must win for them too.

    So now that we know that both teams are fully motivated whats left? The capability! If the Bulls were capable of bouncing back, they would have done it by now. Miami just has too many weapons and too many options for the Bulls who have 1.

    I'm taking the VERY confident Heat team and all their superstars to close out tonight game and prove to the world that they are ready for this championship.

    Heat +3.5

    *btw I bought the hook for very little juice. The number is based on the Bulls previous wins against Miami. I think the .5 adds a significant amount of value for very little cost.

    Alright everyone, I hope this helps. Let me know what you think! Take care everyone and GL with you play tonight!
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    Why I am picking the Heat to cover tonight.

    Going into this series, I had picked the Bulls to win. After the first game, I was even more juiced on them. Since then however, I have studied/learned a lot about this match-up and my opinion has completely changed.

    Miami has successfully neutralized Rose for 3 games in a row. I think the first game was a learning experience for the Heat and they made the necessary changes to win. With Rose's offense being minimal, Chicago just doesn't have enough scoring options that can play against the Heats defense.

    In game 4 the Bulls tried to get more out of Rose by moving him to the wing and running pick and rolls from there. It was actually working very well... Until Miami made the proper corrections to defend it. The Bulls then started running isolations from the top of the 3-point arc and the results were disastrous.

    What this is showing me is that the Bulls HAVE to rely on Rose and they are constantly trying everything. Unfortunately for them though, The Heat's defense is able to adapt too quickly.

    The Rose is wilting and I don't see him being able to figure out how to beat Miami's defense by tonight.

    What made this pick hard for me at first was the fact that the Bulls are against the wall and will play with everything they got.. While Miami is sitting comfortably with a 3-1 lead and has no pressure.

    It wasn't till I started reading the different interviews with the Heat that helped me get an idea of their mental status going into this game. Here is what I read..

    When asked about game 5, Lebron declared it "a must win"

    Wade
    "We're desperate," Wade said. "We're a desperate team as well. We didn't work this hard to put ourself in this position, to be up 3-1, to not be able to match their energy and effort."

    Bosh
    "Everything that we have, we have to throw everything and the kitchen sink at those guys because they're going to be ready," Bosh said. "Nobody ever wants to go home early. They've put in a season just like we have. As a man, they're going to have pride. As a team, they're going to have pride. And we have to have that same thing.

    What I gathered from this is that Miami is thinking the right way. They know that Chicago is a tough team and Miami will not take them for granted. Lebron has taken the reigns of this team and will do everything in his power to get his first ring. The same can be said with Bosh who also doesn't have a ring. These guys are ready to rock tonight and wont make the stupid mistake relaxing!

    The Heat also just found out that the Mavs won last night and are already working on ways to beat them. They absolutely do not want an elite team like Dallas having the advantage of more time to prepare.

    Just like the Bulls....This really is a must win for them too.

    So now that we know that both teams are fully motivated whats left? The capability! If the Bulls were capable of bouncing back, they would have done it by now. Miami just has too many weapons and too many options for the Bulls who have 1.

    I'm taking the VERY confident Heat team and all their superstars to close out tonight game and prove to the world that they are ready for this championship.

    Heat +3.5

    *btw I bought the hook for very little juice. The number is based on the Bulls previous wins against Miami. I think the .5 adds a significant amount of value for very little cost.

    Alright everyone, I hope this helps. Let me know what you think! Take care everyone and GL with you play tonight!
     
    CMonet
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 5:47 PM ET #3

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    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 5:50 PM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by CMonet:


    thx! but there is no way you read my write up in 60 seconds of posting it haha
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    Quote Originally Posted by CMonet:


    thx! but there is no way you read my write up in 60 seconds of posting it haha
     
    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 5:51 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by CMonet:


    thx! but there is no way you read my write up in 60 seconds of posting it haha
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    Quote Originally Posted by CMonet:


    thx! but there is no way you read my write up in 60 seconds of posting it haha
     
    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 6:06 PM ET #6

    ooops phone lagged and that posted twice.
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    ooops phone lagged and that posted twice.
     
    gd2436
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 6:24 PM ET #7

    liking the heat also tonite, closer....lets make some $$$ tonite!
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    liking the heat also tonite, closer....lets make some $$$ tonite!
     
    canadiantruth
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 6:29 PM ET #8

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    CalBear
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 6:31 PM ET #9

    Leaning Miami myself.  GL tonight!
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    Leaning Miami myself.  GL tonight!
     
    Bluefin
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 6:36 PM ET #10

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    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 7:13 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by CalBear:

    Leaning Miami myself.  GL tonight!


    Awesome, we seem to always win when we agree
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    Quote Originally Posted by CalBear:

    Leaning Miami myself.  GL tonight!


    Awesome, we seem to always win when we agree
     
    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 7:13 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by gd2436:

    liking the heat also tonite, closer....lets make some $$$ tonite!


    Lets do it!
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    Quote Originally Posted by gd2436:

    liking the heat also tonite, closer....lets make some $$$ tonite!


    Lets do it!
     
    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 7:14 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by hutasadorn:

    Good luck. Nice write-up.


    Thanks man!
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    Quote Originally Posted by hutasadorn:

    Good luck. Nice write-up.


    Thanks man!
     
    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 7:14 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by canadiantruth:



    Thanks CT. Ah that reminds me, I havent read your thread yet today. Ill go check it out.
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    Quote Originally Posted by canadiantruth:



    Thanks CT. Ah that reminds me, I havent read your thread yet today. Ill go check it out.
     
    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 7:16 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by Bluefin:



    What an avatar! lol
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bluefin:



    What an avatar! lol
     
    PurduePride2206
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 7:17 PM ET #16

    otherside here
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    otherside here
     
    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 8:23 PM ET #17

    almost time!
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    almost time!
     
    DJMakeitRain
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 8:27 PM ET #18

    Good Luck tonight 
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    Good Luck tonight 
     
    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 8:33 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by DJMakeitRain:

    Good Luck tonight 


    Thx man! you  too!
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    Quote Originally Posted by DJMakeitRain:

    Good Luck tonight 


    Thx man! you  too!
     
    happyshine
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 9:01 PM ET #20

    I've no lean on this gm and I didn't even put a penny on this gm yet

    I'm going to watch a bit first and bet on the live bet & 2H

    BOL tonite CX

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    I've no lean on this gm and I didn't even put a penny on this gm yet

    I'm going to watch a bit first and bet on the live bet & 2H

    BOL tonite CX

     
    happyshine
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 9:08 PM ET #21

    the heat +5.5 o/u 181.5......still not a gd timing to bet yet

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    the heat +5.5 o/u 181.5......still not a gd timing to bet yet

     
    happyshine
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 9:15 PM ET #22

    the heat still +5.5 o/u 177.5.......still don't like that
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    the heat still +5.5 o/u 177.5.......still don't like that
     
    happyshine
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 9:22 PM ET #23

    the heat + 7 now  o/u 174.5
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    the heat + 7 now  o/u 174.5
     
    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 9:32 PM ET #24

    im hoping for heat to be down betwee 7 to 10 at the half. 2h line would be money!
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    im hoping for heat to be down betwee 7 to 10 at the half. 2h line would be money!
     
     
    CloserX
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    Posted: May. 26, 2011 - 9:41 PM ET #25

    looks like it was right on target! Lets check the line
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    looks like it was right on target! Lets check the line
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