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pig, melo, metta, coach, baby and the gang wednesday NBA/ MLB

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Posted: #251
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:

I have 4 BIG games coming for tomorrow.

NY Mets
Atlanta
Oakland
Houston

All are OVER.

Your pitching numbers must look fantastic to be going over with those teams.  I'm gonna have to check them out too.....

 
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Posted: #252
Quote Originally Posted by Baby_BA:

Coach, I played Dodgers Team Total Over 3, so we're kind of opposed again.  Or we could both win, or both lose.  That's wild....



How about a 5-4 Snakes final   Trust me, that play of mine is a real stretch....I like your play much better
 
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Posted: #253
does GS collapse in 2nd half? I really don't think so tonight I beleive they play all 4 quarters tonight 
 
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Posted: #254
Going BIG on golden state o47 2H. 
 
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Posted: #255
only thing is if Spurs do come back then the 2nd half goes under... which is no bueno for fg over
 
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Posted: #256
damn 1h over win by a hook! WOOO
 
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Posted: #257
Call me square....

Spurs -8 2H
 
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Posted: #258
Quote Originally Posted by MettaWorldWar:


yeah it's a good way to narrow down what to look at then i compare it with umpire trends for F5 and fg and how batters have been doing. simplifies a lot

Can you figure out the 2 cells in the "Total" column? Because it's very important.

Top one is the total of FIP by two pitchers.
Bottom one is the total opener.

FIP is far more accurate than ERA, if the FIP total, say 9.5 and opener is 7.5, most likely the game is going Over pretty hard...
 
 
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Posted: #259
Over 101.5 2H btw
 
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Posted: #260

Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:


How about a 5-4 Snakes final   Trust me, that play of mine is a real stretch....I like your play much better

5-4 would be perfect.  My play is risky too, to the point I'm already regretting it.  I'm thinking I probably should've played LAD -1.5 if I wanted to follow my logic;  if game finishes 2-0 or 3-1 Dodgers I'll be kicking myself....

 
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Posted: #261
melo what exactly is FIP? full inning pitched?
 
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Posted: #262
mine started at 102 up to 103 
 
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Posted: #263
Quote Originally Posted by blueboy22:

Going BIG on golden state o47 2H. 

 the pig man is ridin down and muddy wit ya on dis one blue!!!
 
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Posted: #264
Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:



I was also thinking of waiting for a better in-game line...especially if the Wings score an early goal.  I've done that before and gotten a real nice + value.  Of course, that could work against me if the Ducks jump out on top.  I'll figure that out later.


Baby....I'm kicking myself in the arse right now that I didn't follow through with my original strategy.  Wings scored first and the Ducks ML shot to +140 instead of the -146 I took prior to game time
 
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Posted: #265

Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:

Call me square....

Spurs -8 2H

I don't like being on the opposite side as you but I have Golden St. +8.5. 

 
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Posted: #266
warriors +8 for me 
 
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Posted: #267
It just started pouring here, with thunder coming from Boston.  People with Over should thank the Gambling Gods, because a few minutes earlier and the game gets called in the ninth, and their overs get the
 
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Posted: #268
Quote Originally Posted by MettaWorldWar:

warriors +8 for me 

Same. Need the underpants to hit to really clean up. 
 
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Posted: #269

Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:



Baby....I'm kicking myself in the arse right now that I didn't follow through with my original strategy.  Wings scored first and the Ducks ML shot to +140 instead of the -146 I took prior to game time

Well, as long as they win you'll still make the dough. 

I've got St Louis, a StL and Under parlay, and also a small parlay with StL, LAK/StL under, and Ducks.  Plenty of sweating left to go.   

 
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Posted: #270
added to my in game over with over 207
 
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Posted: #271
Quote Originally Posted by Gambit:

melo what exactly is FIP? full inning pitched?


FIP - or Fielding Independent Pitcher - is a relatively new metric being used to more accurately predict a pitcher's future success.  Unlike the simple ERA, FIP includes HRs, Walks, HBPs, and Ks calculated by the following equation:

FIP = ( (13 * HR) + (3 * (BB + HBP - IBB) ) - (2 * K) ) / IP + Constant

May look complicated but it's actually a very simple concept.
 
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Posted: #272
Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:



FIP - or Fielding Independent Pitcher - is a relatively new metric being used to more accurately predict a pitcher's future success.  Unlike the simple ERA, FIP includes HRs, Walks, HBPs, and Ks calculated by the following equation:

FIP = ( (13 * HR) + (3 * (BB + HBP - IBB) ) - (2 * K) ) / IP + Constant

May look complicated but it's actually a very simple concept.

So you compare it to the O/U to help you gauge what the best play it? I'm guessing the stats you input are per game? Are y'all using just 2013 stats or from last year also? 
 
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Posted: #273
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:

I have 4 BIG games coming for tomorrow.

NY Mets
Atlanta
Oakland
Houston

All are OVER.


 after some cursory examination of these, i tend to agree, though just for first 5....i havent checked bullpen numbers yet...
 
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Posted: #274
Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:



FIP - or Fielding Independent Pitcher - is a relatively new metric being used to more accurately predict a pitcher's future success.  Unlike the simple ERA, FIP includes HRs, Walks, HBPs, and Ks calculated by the following equation:

FIP = ( (13 * HR) + (3 * (BB + HBP - IBB) ) - (2 * K) ) / IP + Constant

May look complicated but it's actually a very simple concept.

 not to a pig....
 
 
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Posted: #275
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