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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Over/Under Formulas

    «First Previous 12
    joel00
    The_Extremist
    horcsogpeti
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    Views: 6131
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    «First Previous 12
     
    joel00
    joel00
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2018 - 7:02 PM ET #26

    Damn, I accidentally submitted the post before I finish writing. Will revise it and send a complete reply.

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    Damn, I accidentally submitted the post before I finish writing. Will revise it and send a complete reply.

     
    The_Extremist
    The_Extremist
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    Posts: 1199
    Posted: Nov. 30, 2018 - 7:06 PM ET #27

    Listen bud, I dont know how advanced your are in SDQL but let me just show you a simple query. I'm not gonna break it down for you but like I said don't judge me on the way I make my picks, TO EACH HIS OWN that mean these are all tools that help ME do my picks. if you don't agree with it than that's your progative. it works for me. I use several methos:

    (S(O@team and site,N=5)>3 or S(O@team,N=5)>3) and season=2018 and oS(U@team and site,N=5)<4 and oS(U@team,N=5)<4



    Quote Originally Posted by joel00:

    I doubt that a streak is a good indicator as you may think. If you simply check on SDQL about the situation where both teams have more than 3 over

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    Listen bud, I dont know how advanced your are in SDQL but let me just show you a simple query. I'm not gonna break it down for you but like I said don't judge me on the way I make my picks, TO EACH HIS OWN that mean these are all tools that help ME do my picks. if you don't agree with it than that's your progative. it works for me. I use several methos:

    (S(O@team and site,N=5)>3 or S(O@team,N=5)>3) and season=2018 and oS(U@team and site,N=5)<4 and oS(U@team,N=5)<4



    Quote Originally Posted by joel00:

    I doubt that a streak is a good indicator as you may think. If you simply check on SDQL about the situation where both teams have more than 3 over

     
    joel00
    joel00
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2016
    Posts: 241
    Posted: Nov. 30, 2018 - 7:33 PM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

    Listen bud, I dont know how advanced your are in SDQL but let me just show you a simple query. I'm not gonna break it down for you but like I said don't judge me on the way I make my picks, TO EACH HIS OWN that mean these are all tools that help ME do my picks. if you don't agree with it than that's your progative. it works for me. I use several methos:(S(O@team and site,N=5)>3 or S(O@team,N=5)>3) and season=2018 and oS(U@team and site,N=5)<4 and oS(U@team,N=5)<4
    Quote Originally Posted by joel00:

    I doubt that a streak is a good indicator as you may think. If you simply check on SDQL about the situation where both teams have more than 3 over


    This query is effective so far for this season but if you remove "season=2018" the overall O/U record is around 50%. So there is no real trend on a larger scale. One plausible explanation of the trend working earlier this season is that the books had not caught up with the change of rules and defensive calls that caused a scoring burst and lots of overs at the beginning of this season. You have to expect the trend to regress to the mean later this season (actually, if you try to compare results with game number < 20 and game number >= 20 you could see the regression might already be going on).

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    Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

    Listen bud, I dont know how advanced your are in SDQL but let me just show you a simple query. I'm not gonna break it down for you but like I said don't judge me on the way I make my picks, TO EACH HIS OWN that mean these are all tools that help ME do my picks. if you don't agree with it than that's your progative. it works for me. I use several methos:(S(O@team and site,N=5)>3 or S(O@team,N=5)>3) and season=2018 and oS(U@team and site,N=5)<4 and oS(U@team,N=5)<4
    Quote Originally Posted by joel00:

    I doubt that a streak is a good indicator as you may think. If you simply check on SDQL about the situation where both teams have more than 3 over


    This query is effective so far for this season but if you remove "season=2018" the overall O/U record is around 50%. So there is no real trend on a larger scale. One plausible explanation of the trend working earlier this season is that the books had not caught up with the change of rules and defensive calls that caused a scoring burst and lots of overs at the beginning of this season. You have to expect the trend to regress to the mean later this season (actually, if you try to compare results with game number < 20 and game number >= 20 you could see the regression might already be going on).

     
     
    horcsogpeti
    horcsogpeti
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    Joined: Jan, 2023
    Posts: 2
    Posted: Feb. 2, 2023 - 6:29 AM ET #29

    @SeniorCitizen

     Hi! Where can I find that formula what he uses? Thanks in advance 

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    @SeniorCitizen

     Hi! Where can I find that formula what he uses? Thanks in advance 

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