OVER/UNDER Calulations

Hey all,
Looking to post my 2nd '100' plays here.  Ended up going 2-8 on the last 10 to go 54% over the first 100.  Not good enough for me. 

As I mentioned, here are the criteria that need to be met before I'll make a play.  I'll post all my calculations, but not necessarily play everything. 

1. Difference must be minimum -3 for unders and +5 for overs.  Nothing less than those differences will be bet...

2. Each of the 7-game, 12-game, and the 20-game averages must all suggest the same play (all be under, or all be over).

3. Teams in question can't have had an important trade/injury/break-out-game in the last 3 games which may not have shown up in data thus far. 

For a good chunk of the first '100', I played everything regardless of the difference being 0.05 or 10.00.
Cheers

Here's tonight's calculations and plays, starting at 0-0-0 here.
Last night: 0-0
Overall: 0-0-0 = 0%

Team 1    Team 2    Line    Difference    Play    Expected Total
Brk         Atl          194.50    -12.90      Under      181.60
Nyk        Ind          182.50    -9.18        Under      173.32
Okc        Hou         207.50   -5.08       Under      202.42

My plays tonight:
Brk-Atl --> Under 
Nyk-Ind --> Under  
Okc-Hou --> Under

How do you get 7, 12, and 20 games average? I tried to enter the number but nothing happened. Thanks and GL

I think that Brooklyn game should go under. Seems like common sense with travel but I think NBA wants a action packed game and the fix for over is in.

Let's rock this next 100 I'm tailing all 100 let's see what happens

I have sheets (excel etc.) where I have those averages set-up.  My projected total as shown is an average of the three projections.  If I'm playing it, it works out that all of the 7-game, 12-game, and 20-game are saying the same thing.  There's nothing from my post that you can plug in really...

reset your calculator the your ny/ind total.

A Canuck with 48 posts and his spreadsheet. Stick to Curling and Cheese Curd Please...............

Wow I counted okc as a lost and went to bed what an epic collapse and pleasant surprise

Wow I counted okc as a lost and went to bed what an epic collapse and pleasant surprise

To clarify, I'm not making anyone use these projections.  Obviously JP548 is still recovering from Eli Manning's last pick... or picks, errr..... so I'll let his comment slide.  6 Plays for tonight though below.

Last night: 1-2
Overall: 1-2 = 33%

Team 1    Team 2    Line    Difference    Play    Expected Total
  Chi        Was      185.50    5.14       Under      190.64
  Mia        Phi       210.50     -3.12      Under      207.38
  Min        Tor       206.50     -5.17       Under      201.33
  Lac        Nyk      202.50    -2.00       Under      200.50
  Cha        Orl       189.50     5.23        Over       194.73
  Lal         Bos      205.50     8.81        Over       214.31
  Uta        Det       202.50    -0.31       Under      202.19
  Sac      Mem      199.50     5.74        Over       205.24
  Por        Sas       213.00    3.81        Over       216.81
  Dal        Pho       210.50    -1.86       Under     208.64
  Cle        Den       213.00    -2.94       Under     210.06
  Gsw      Okc       207.00    -4.56       Under     202.44 

My plays tonight:
Chi-Was --> Over 
Min-Tor --> Under  
Cha-Orl --> Over
Lal-Bos --> Over
Sac-Mem --> Over
Gsw-Okc --> Under

Whoops, mistakes in that last table.

Last night: 1-2
Overall: 1-2 = 33%

Team 1    Team 2    Line    Difference    Play    Expected Total
  Chi        Was      185.50    5.14        Over      190.64
  Mia        Phi       210.50     -3.12      Under      207.38
  Min        Tor       206.50     -5.17       Under      201.33
  Lac        Nyk      202.50    -2.00       Under      200.50
  Cha        Orl       189.50     5.23        Over       194.73
  Lal         Bos      205.50     8.81        Over       214.31
  Uta        Det       202.50    -0.31       Under      202.19
  Sac      Mem      199.50     5.74        Over       205.24
  Por        Sas       213.00    3.81        Over       216.81
  Dal        Pho       210.50    -1.86       Under     208.64
  Cle        Den       213.00    -2.94       Under     210.06
  Gsw      Okc       207.00    -4.56       Under     202.44 

My plays tonight:
Chi-Was --> Over 
Min-Tor --> Under  
Cha-Orl --> Over
Lal-Bos --> Over
Sac-Mem --> Over
Gsw-Okc --> Under

totals are kinda trippy at times man. these systems are cool but some teams are just hot and able to finish more efficiently and turn fast break points in to quick points. okc did something really wild last night which makes me skeptical of the totals but it's just one game and it's so rare that it was the biggest team point differential between two halfs. still pretty bobbled about only 19 points with harden in the line up

Nice night calc

Great work Calculationer

Any plays today?

Went 4-2 last night.

Last night: 4-2
Overall: 5-4 = 55%

Team 1    Team 2    Line    Difference    Play    Expected Total
  Lac           Ind      198.00    -5.64        Under      192.36
  Det          Was      203.00   -7.62        Under       195.38
  Mia          Cha      193.50    2.44         Over        195.94
  Gsw        Nop       204.50    2.53         Over        207.03
  Phi           Chi       197.50   -9.69        Under       187.81
  Mil           Hou      199.50  -10.26       Under        189.24
  Uta          Min       202.50    7.35         Over         209.85
  Por          Dal       213.50    6.96         Over         220.46 

My plays tonight:
Lac-Ind --> Under 
Det-Was --> Under  
Phi-Chi --> Under
Mil-Hou --> Under
Uta-Min --> Over
Por-Dal --> Over

Love the under Indy pick.

GL tonight calc

Hit my parlay yesterday tailing you on toronto game, today following you on the first 2 games under.

All 6 match my calculations. Good luck to all. 

3-2-1 I'll take it. Nice job calc lets have three profitable days in a row man

You have to take into account what the calculator doesn't tell you.

Match ups, playing style, defensive schemes, motivation etc. 8 out of 10 people have calculations here.....

how are you deriving you're totals?

and *poof* he's gone. it must be magic

Calc you all done?