Over 85% of all bets so far on game 5 going for the Heat

Meanwhile Boston -350ML and only +200 to break 150-1 odds. Gamblers never cease to amaze me.

tbh i mainly feel bad for the heat fans on the forum. Did anyone see jeter and arod at the game yesterday? If that wasnt a bad code or coincidence I dont know what else could be

line went from -7.5 to -8

you sure buddy 

Its weird...Boston wins and the line is -7.5....Boston loses game 1 and the line closes at -10 and goes up for game 2. Boston Loses game 3 and the line increases and got as hight as -4.5 from -3... Its like when teams loses the line goes up and gamblers are chasing them...So are gamblers chasing the Heat not that they lost? U would figure that since Boston won game 4...the line would be at least -9 for game 5...they have been priced so high all playoffs.....Linemakers playing mind games....Celtics covering tomorrow....Classic blowout...and I can see the Heat waiving the white flag early to go all out for game 6 at home

If 85% of the money is on Heat I guess it's a lock that Celtics win?

@bobmaloogatimesfive

 Lol dude arod was raised in miami and hes a bandwagon guy .. jeter was the marlins “owner” why wouldnt they be at the game ? 

@royboymiami

 Just saying it is a bad omen or a tell imo

 foreshadowing.  Maybe big poppy ortiz will be at the garden tommorow.

You've lost your mind if you think 85% of all bets are on Miami. Also, it's ridiculous that you could be condescending to anyone after you talked so much shit about the Lakers/Celtics being a lock matchup!

So many things wrong with this...

(1) +200 is the CURRENT line, and coming back from a 3-1 deficit is not a 150:1 probability.  150:1 is (theoretically) the odds of coming back from a 3-0 deficit, and the Vegas line at that point was around around +800 (I'm guessing... didn't really check it).

(2) The +200 line is a very basic calculation based on the projected ML for each of the final 3 games (if the Celtics win each).  They will be -350, then about -150, then about -250 for a game 7.  Those numbers may be off, but THAT (and ONLY THAT) is how they calculate the series price.

(3) There are no calculated odds for the probability of coming back from 3-0 in a same game series, and the fact that it has never been done in 149 tries, does not (theoretically) make it 150:1... it makes it (theoretically) a 0% probability. But again... that is an arbitrary number, and in no way can it be used to garner some "hidden meaning" in the current series price.

Like I said... if you think you are seeing something in the line, good for you!  But the condescending bullshit from someone who made about 1000 threads calling everyone stupid for not knowing the Celtics and Lakers would for sure be in the finals... it's a bit much!

Very well said...............

Where the money lies is the real factor and what I'm looking at is 50/50. So just bet who you think the better team is. I'm going Boston in this one.

@Duderonomy

 Not condescending just pointing something out that the books think the Celtics get this job done. They set a line for an impossible task in a way that gives no value to the impossible task being completed. No one is seeing celtics at plus 200 and saying that is good value. Meanwhile folks are lining up fisting money through the window on the heat. I have seen this before and when i saw it the impossible happened. Now as for the lakers i was wrong and it cost me a potential huge hit that I never even got to hedge. Bad play on my side not sewing denvers superiority. AD forever will be trash to me. Just a guess but i think we see old 49-2 eric lewis tonight for his first game of the series.

@bobmaloogatimesfive

 Wrong Bob its Marc Davis who's a Celtics hater I believe!

@bobmaloogatimesfive

 What does it mean?

it’s because those two was up 3-0 to Boston and then lost the series

@bobmaloogatimesfive

 Over 85% on Heat??????

Check it out Bob....

@Yessss88

 Well he posted that yesterday which it was very close to 85% it changes i see about 80% now which is still ridiculous 

@VEGASCALLEDME

 Yeah still seeing close to 80% - my pal in vegas said tickets on heat are 5-1

@bobmaloogatimesfive

 Where do you see 85%?

Largest book in my country has C's and Miami almost split 45% Cs, 49% Miami... 

Thats because all of these numbers are simply make believe. 

@bobmaloogatimesfive

My book has Cs win at -385, go figure why 85% betting Miami... there is no value betting Cs tonight

@zikmund1

 Open a 4 leg parlay - bet celts next 3 games then bet them to beat Denver

85% of the money isn't on the Heat but an overwhelming ticket count over 65% and under 70% is currently on the Heat. See what happens 15 minutes before the tip if there is a line shift some lying in the weeds may be waiting out for max spread value. Lots of injuries for the Heat who were already down Herro. 

@zikmund1