I would've but I got Dallas ML on a lot of parlays. So I don't want to increase my exposure on them.
Traditionally Toronto always gives up a big lead in Dallas, and that might play in their mind too.
Hopefully Dallas gets hot.
I would've but I got Dallas ML on a lot of parlays. So I don't want to increase my exposure on them.
Traditionally Toronto always gives up a big lead in Dallas, and that might play in their mind too.
Hopefully Dallas gets hot.
Yea I know, woulda made it a perfect night, but Phx should not have blown that lead to begin with. Oh well, at least i didnt lose ![]()
Anyways regarding my strategy and how I approach an NBA season:
Basically what I do is set up 3 bankrolls all based on level of risk.
Bankroll 1 (Lowest Risk) - Would have 30% of total money. And I would only bet 5% of my bankroll on plays I feel strongly about. So basically I only play some of the plays I post with this bankroll. My goal with this bankroll is to make at least 50% ROI (Return on Investment).
Bankroll 2 (Medium Risk) - Would have 50% of of total funds, and I play every single play for 5%, no matter how strongly I feel about it. So basically every play I post is played with this bankroll. My goal here is to at least get 100% ROI. This is just a grind all year.
Bankroll 3 (High Risk) - This bankroll makes up the remaining 20% and has no limits in terms of bet size. When I feel very strongly about any play, I play it here, and sometimes I'll go all in too. Very similar to how DuY bets.
Now those are basically how I start the season. At worst, I'm quite sure I can earn 50% on Bankroll one and probably make 0% in Bankroll 2, and probably lose bankroll 3. In the end, I'll more or less break even overall. This hasn't happened as yet.
Last year I ended at 160-107-7. I more than doubled my first 2 bankrolls and more than quadrupled the 3rd bankroll. So had a good year.
If you're starting off, its best to start with a bankroll like Bankroll 2. Always bet 5% of your bankroll on a bet, regardless of how strong you feel about it, cuz you just never know what can happen. Believe that you can win more bets than you lose, and make an excel sheet that keeps track of how you've done. This sheet should also be able to project what your total winnings will be if you maintain a certain %. I aim for about 60%.
And then just grind it out, and never lose confidence in yourself, cause streaks will come and go. That's just part of the game. That's why that 5% rule helps restrict you from losing too much in hard times.
At the end of the day this is what I believe:
1) The single most important thing in sports betting is being able to control your emotions. Treat each win and loss the same. Learn from it and move on.
2) You need excellent money management, and this ties in with being able to control your emotions.
3) You need to have the skill to be able to handicap games. That means looking at all types of factors being it motivational and statistical.
I'm been doing this since 2001 and I'm still learning. But this is what has worked for me so far. Some people may agree with me, others might not, but what's really important is what works best for you.
Hopefully I was useful there.
Good luck with all your future bets. ![]()
Yea I know, woulda made it a perfect night, but Phx should not have blown that lead to begin with. Oh well, at least i didnt lose ![]()
Anyways regarding my strategy and how I approach an NBA season:
Basically what I do is set up 3 bankrolls all based on level of risk.
Bankroll 1 (Lowest Risk) - Would have 30% of total money. And I would only bet 5% of my bankroll on plays I feel strongly about. So basically I only play some of the plays I post with this bankroll. My goal with this bankroll is to make at least 50% ROI (Return on Investment).
Bankroll 2 (Medium Risk) - Would have 50% of of total funds, and I play every single play for 5%, no matter how strongly I feel about it. So basically every play I post is played with this bankroll. My goal here is to at least get 100% ROI. This is just a grind all year.
Bankroll 3 (High Risk) - This bankroll makes up the remaining 20% and has no limits in terms of bet size. When I feel very strongly about any play, I play it here, and sometimes I'll go all in too. Very similar to how DuY bets.
Now those are basically how I start the season. At worst, I'm quite sure I can earn 50% on Bankroll one and probably make 0% in Bankroll 2, and probably lose bankroll 3. In the end, I'll more or less break even overall. This hasn't happened as yet.
Last year I ended at 160-107-7. I more than doubled my first 2 bankrolls and more than quadrupled the 3rd bankroll. So had a good year.
If you're starting off, its best to start with a bankroll like Bankroll 2. Always bet 5% of your bankroll on a bet, regardless of how strong you feel about it, cuz you just never know what can happen. Believe that you can win more bets than you lose, and make an excel sheet that keeps track of how you've done. This sheet should also be able to project what your total winnings will be if you maintain a certain %. I aim for about 60%.
And then just grind it out, and never lose confidence in yourself, cause streaks will come and go. That's just part of the game. That's why that 5% rule helps restrict you from losing too much in hard times.
At the end of the day this is what I believe:
1) The single most important thing in sports betting is being able to control your emotions. Treat each win and loss the same. Learn from it and move on.
2) You need excellent money management, and this ties in with being able to control your emotions.
3) You need to have the skill to be able to handicap games. That means looking at all types of factors being it motivational and statistical.
I'm been doing this since 2001 and I'm still learning. But this is what has worked for me so far. Some people may agree with me, others might not, but what's really important is what works best for you.
Hopefully I was useful there.
Good luck with all your future bets. ![]()

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