NBA Sunday

Raptors @ Wolves: Raptors +4.5

Since Feb 1, Raptors are 9-5 and the Wolves are 8-7 S/U. The Raptors are 7-0 ATS as dogs after a win at home since December 14, 2013. The Raptors have played well against the Wolves over the years and their one meeting this year was a 94-89 win for Raptors in Toronto.

Since Feb 1,
Raptors Off/Def efficiencies: 107.7 (8th) and 102.8 (10th).
Wolves: Off/Def efficiencies: 106.8 (11th) and 105.1 (18th).

Yes this game is being played in Minny which the Wolves are 17-12 S/U but the Raptors on the road are an impressive 16-14 S/U which is fantastic on the road to be above 0.500%. 

Another interesting stat that blew my mind was that the Wolves are ranked 27th in the league for 3 point shooting and the Raptors are ranked 12th. The reason why I bring up this stat is because both teams are in the top 15 for 3 point attempts per game. The Wolves love to play teams that just run and gun, the only reason why the Wolves hit high amount of points per game is because the pace of the game is above 100 possessions per game so they get a lot of shots off. They are also ranked 24th in FG%. The Raptors on the other hand don't generally play at a fast pace. They play around 94 possessions per game. I think that the pace of this game will be in Raptors favor and they will be able to frustrate the Wolves into pointless shots. I also think De-Rozan is going to have a field day on Rubio.  

Rubio = PG

DeRozan=SF

Probably won't be "on" each other much or factor in outcome.

BOL with you wager.

There was a game the other day which I didn't not jump on which surprised me, it was the Nets @ Celtics and the Nets were -5.5 fav's against the Celtics. Funnily enough, the game before that the Warriors were -5.5 favs against the Celtics and no way are the Nets in the same category right now as Warriors especially on the road. The Warriors were on a B2B but easily covered that game against the Celtics.

My reasoning for this -7 for Nets is that the last couple of teams to be given +6.5 (opening line for this game) against the Nets was a B2B Bobcats team back at the start of February, Spurs (depleted although) Bucks and Cavs Out of all these games at this line, Nets covered this spread 4-0.

The Kings aren't as good as the Bobcats and probably on par with the Cavs on the road.They are better than the Bucks I must say and a depleted Spurs team could probably beat the Kings. The Kings are just 8-21 on the road facing a Nets which are 13-2 S/U in their last 15 at home. The Kings don't have much to play for anymore and the Nets still want to try and get top 4 in the East especially if the Bulls lose to the Heat tomorrow. Also in their way is the Wizards who also have the Heat next up. The Nets know themselves that they are a terrible road team and play their best basketball at home. I think they win this by 10+