NBA PLAYOFF TIME .....................2025......

2 nights ago everyone was on GS, and GS second half.

Yesterday everyone was on Clippers, and clippers second half.

Today looks like people like Indiana +2.5 for the game 

Very possible............

 Many times the better teams delivers down the stretch while the lesser team can't hang.

That's why I like to take 1st half ML's. In these spots 

@theclaw

 Might not even take til the end. 

indiana was shooting 58% from 3. Cleveland was at like 25%. Regression was coming.

Yea Pacers shot lights-out and Cavs shot terrible and still Cavs were close before Pacers pulled away with not much time left.

Pacers just seemed all game like they were not going to be denied in this game. 

Eventually they will have a regression with that hot shooting.............

4-0, won 3.76 units

 season--- 15-10, won 5.11 units

Regression is a wonderful thing .........

Pacers got it done in a very nice Regression  spot that has consistently produced some the largest upsets based on the line in playoffs over the years.

Hopefully we get one more of these spots this next round. I think the potential is there.

The Warriors got it done as well so they are the only team to survive the 1st round that got a great player or had a great player return with lots of hope for playoff success.

I think they have a decent shot to beat the Twolves.

With Jimmy they would likely be pretty evenly matched. I'll get the results with Jimmy next chance I can do it.

MY LINES .............Monday

Celtics -8.72 over Knicks

OKC -9.57 over Nuggets

Celtics off 2 ATS wins with a 31 pt blowout win. Not the best of spots to back the Celtics. 

Knicks of 1 ATS win but only a 3 pt win.  Not a bad spit of the Knicks.

My line is about right on the actual line. I will pass on this game.

OKC off 2 ATS losses after being in a regression spot.  With Nuggets off 1 ATS win and bigger win by 19 pts.

Spot favors OKC. My line once again is about right on the number.

Backing the top 2 teams in all game 1's has  produced a very good record and with Nuggets off a 7 game series the play is on OKC the no. 1 ranked team.

OkC should bounce back off their regression if not this game it should be game 2.

OKC -9 (-120) over Nuggets --- 1.2 units

BOL  on your plays @theclaw 

Bad night for my Cavs, great night for you.

Congratulations.

Good luck tonight and always enjoy reading your insight on the games. 

Thanks ..........

Reminds me last year I played similar regression spot on the Cavs over Celtics and Cavs won SU on the ML but they missed a last second free throw to end the half in a tie.

I missed out on that 1st half ML but got a push but hit the game ML with very nice odds. And both spreads.

Thank you ..............

Not sure I have any plays tonight. If I have time will do some thoughts on the games.

I did run the numbers for Jimmy only games in his 31 games played with Warriors.

Very interesting  comparing what Jimmy did to what Luka did ........

0-1, lost 1.1 units

season 15-11, won 4.01