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    All Forums | College Football

    Dont go against the sharp money and Vegas on games like this.

    1234 Next Last»
    JimmyGape
    anNFLfan
    monkeybutt
    NEPTUNE85
    MoPinkie
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    JimmyGape
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 4:07 PM ET #1

    No matter what your logic tells you, no matter how much you think Indiana is better than Oregon and how they curbstomped the entire state of Alabama, etc etc, it really doesn't matter. 

     

     

    It all boils down to one thing. 

     

    Vegas is bending over backwards asking for people to bet on Indiana. Thats all you need to know.

     

    Bet upgraded from Massive to All in. Buying half a point now on the extra bets to make it +3.5.

     

    Oregon probably wins but taking the points for insurance.

     

    Corrupt world. Follow the money trail. Logic and what we think doesn't mean shit.

     

    peace_5

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    No matter what your logic tells you, no matter how much you think Indiana is better than Oregon and how they curbstomped the entire state of Alabama, etc etc, it really doesn't matter. 

     

     

    It all boils down to one thing. 

     

    Vegas is bending over backwards asking for people to bet on Indiana. Thats all you need to know.

     

    Bet upgraded from Massive to All in. Buying half a point now on the extra bets to make it +3.5.

     

    Oregon probably wins but taking the points for insurance.

     

    Corrupt world. Follow the money trail. Logic and what we think doesn't mean shit.

     

    peace_5

     
    anNFLfan
    anNFLfan
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 4:10 PM ET #2

    Agreed with you for most cases, however that does not happen 100% of time. Vegas gives a gift once in awhile.

    Reply

    Agreed with you for most cases, however that does not happen 100% of time. Vegas gives a gift once in awhile.

     
    JimmyGape
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 4:13 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by anNFLfan:

    Agreed with you for most cases, however that does not happen 100% of time. Vegas gives a gift once in awhile.

     

    Of course not. But in the long run its the way to go. Would you take a bet thats more likely to hit, or a bet thats not as likely to hit?

     

    an_light

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by anNFLfan:

    Agreed with you for most cases, however that does not happen 100% of time. Vegas gives a gift once in awhile.

     

    Of course not. But in the long run its the way to go. Would you take a bet thats more likely to hit, or a bet thats not as likely to hit?

     

    an_light

     
    JimmyGape
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 4:21 PM ET #4

    When the Giants beat the Patriots in their undefeated season, how much did it matter than New England was far superior. People need to stop thinking that "better" matters in this situation. I do think Indiana is a better more complete team. But its irrelevant in situations like these.

    Reply

    When the Giants beat the Patriots in their undefeated season, how much did it matter than New England was far superior. People need to stop thinking that "better" matters in this situation. I do think Indiana is a better more complete team. But its irrelevant in situations like these.

     
    monkeybutt
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 4:35 PM ET #5

    so what happens when you go "all in " and lose? not being a troll...just curious if you are really all in. i am on the ducks also, but i think i have them at +3.5 without buying points. i bet last week tho, so i will have to look. i bet it very small, because indi looking like a locomotive right now. anyways, good luck. should be another good game.

    Reply

    so what happens when you go "all in " and lose? not being a troll...just curious if you are really all in. i am on the ducks also, but i think i have them at +3.5 without buying points. i bet last week tho, so i will have to look. i bet it very small, because indi looking like a locomotive right now. anyways, good luck. should be another good game.

     
    JimmyGape
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 4:45 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by monkeybutt:

    so what happens when you go "all in " and lose? not being a troll...just curious if you are really all in. i am on the ducks also, but i think i have them at +3.5 without buying points. i bet last week tho, so i will have to look. i bet it very small, because indi looking like a locomotive right now. anyways, good luck. should be another good game.

     

    What happens? Nothing. My sportsbook account balances go to 0.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by monkeybutt:

    so what happens when you go "all in " and lose? not being a troll...just curious if you are really all in. i am on the ducks also, but i think i have them at +3.5 without buying points. i bet last week tho, so i will have to look. i bet it very small, because indi looking like a locomotive right now. anyways, good luck. should be another good game.

     

    What happens? Nothing. My sportsbook account balances go to 0.

     
    NEPTUNE85
    NEPTUNE85
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 4:47 PM ET #7

    @JimmyGape

     Fully with you on this Jimmy. They did the same thing with the 49ers and Seattle last week. Everyone loved 49ers. That's where all the money was going but line was moving in their favor. Makes no sense and same type of situation here. Oregon possibly wins straight up but I'm taking the points as well. Adding to my original bet another 500. Good luck tonight. 

    clover

    Reply

    @JimmyGape

     Fully with you on this Jimmy. They did the same thing with the 49ers and Seattle last week. Everyone loved 49ers. That's where all the money was going but line was moving in their favor. Makes no sense and same type of situation here. Oregon possibly wins straight up but I'm taking the points as well. Adding to my original bet another 500. Good luck tonight. 

    clover

     
    MoPinkie
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 5:13 PM ET #8

    @NEPTUNE85

     Sharp Money was on Seattle and Under lw

    Reply

    @NEPTUNE85

     Sharp Money was on Seattle and Under lw

     
    Vwbaby
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 5:25 PM ET #9

    Indiana all day free money

    Reply

    Indiana all day free money

     
    THEMUGG
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 5:37 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyGape:

    Quote Originally Posted by anNFLfan: Agreed with you for most cases, however that does not happen 100% of time. Vegas gives a gift once in awhile.   Of course not. But in the long run its the way to go. Would you take a bet thats more likely to hit, or a bet thats not as likely to hit?
    I don't disagree with your premise, but I'm not going to 2nd guess my Indy play. I've seen a lot of Lanning's Oregon teams & I just don't trust them. Yes,they're a solid team but they always seem to have lapses. I'm certainly not "all in" ......just a couple units.....if I lose I'll tip my hat to you & move on. peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyGape:

    Quote Originally Posted by anNFLfan: Agreed with you for most cases, however that does not happen 100% of time. Vegas gives a gift once in awhile.   Of course not. But in the long run its the way to go. Would you take a bet thats more likely to hit, or a bet thats not as likely to hit?
    I don't disagree with your premise, but I'm not going to 2nd guess my Indy play. I've seen a lot of Lanning's Oregon teams & I just don't trust them. Yes,they're a solid team but they always seem to have lapses. I'm certainly not "all in" ......just a couple units.....if I lose I'll tip my hat to you & move on. peace_5

     
    River_fish
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 6:05 PM ET #11

    I agree in following the money and I also believe Oregon is the side, but it is not corrupt. There are many signs and edges pointing to Oregon.

    Indiana barely beat Penn State on the road. It took an incredible catch to win the game. Indiana also was losing in the 4th quarter to Iowa. Indiana is not unbeatable.

    Oregon is a contrarian pick. Money is on Indiana (public) yet the line has gone down. Oregon is a dog that can score. This helps in picking dogs. Oregon is a conference dog. This also helps in picking dogs. Oregon also has the revenge angle. Oregon also has the underdog chip on their shoulder angle. Has anyone ever seen a Dan Lanning interview? The dude is a junkyard dog. I promise you he will have this team fired up and he has been barking at them all week about being disrespected.

    Lastly, Robo Jackson, A.I. betting specialists picks Oregon to win, and rhythm has two models picking Oregon outright.  

    There are no magic tricks. There are no conspiracy theories. It is football. I played it and coached it for over 30 years. Teams win it on the field and Oregon will tonight. You just need to know where to look.

    Reply

    I agree in following the money and I also believe Oregon is the side, but it is not corrupt. There are many signs and edges pointing to Oregon.

    Indiana barely beat Penn State on the road. It took an incredible catch to win the game. Indiana also was losing in the 4th quarter to Iowa. Indiana is not unbeatable.

    Oregon is a contrarian pick. Money is on Indiana (public) yet the line has gone down. Oregon is a dog that can score. This helps in picking dogs. Oregon is a conference dog. This also helps in picking dogs. Oregon also has the revenge angle. Oregon also has the underdog chip on their shoulder angle. Has anyone ever seen a Dan Lanning interview? The dude is a junkyard dog. I promise you he will have this team fired up and he has been barking at them all week about being disrespected.

    Lastly, Robo Jackson, A.I. betting specialists picks Oregon to win, and rhythm has two models picking Oregon outright.  

    There are no magic tricks. There are no conspiracy theories. It is football. I played it and coached it for over 30 years. Teams win it on the field and Oregon will tonight. You just need to know where to look.

     
    JimmyGape
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 6:09 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by River_fish:

    I agree in following the money and I also believe Oregon is the side, but it is not corrupt. There are many signs and edges pointing to Oregon. Indiana barely beat Penn State on the road. It took an incredible catch to win the game. Indiana also was losing in the 4th quarter to Iowa. Indiana is not unbeatable. Oregon is a contrarian pick. Money is on Indiana (public) yet the line has gone down. Oregon is a dog that can score. This helps in picking dogs. Oregon is a conference dog. This also helps in picking dogs. Oregon also has the revenge angle. Oregon also has the underdog chip on their shoulder angle. Has anyone ever seen a Dan Lanning interview? The dude is a junkyard dog. I promise you he will have this team fired up and he has been barking at them all week about being disrespected. Lastly, Robo Jackson, A.I. betting specialists picks Oregon to win, and rhythm has two models picking Oregon outright.   There are no magic tricks. There are no conspiracy theories. It is football. I played it and coached it for over 30 years. Teams win it on the field and Oregon will tonight. You just need to know where to look.

     

    peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by River_fish:

    I agree in following the money and I also believe Oregon is the side, but it is not corrupt. There are many signs and edges pointing to Oregon. Indiana barely beat Penn State on the road. It took an incredible catch to win the game. Indiana also was losing in the 4th quarter to Iowa. Indiana is not unbeatable. Oregon is a contrarian pick. Money is on Indiana (public) yet the line has gone down. Oregon is a dog that can score. This helps in picking dogs. Oregon is a conference dog. This also helps in picking dogs. Oregon also has the revenge angle. Oregon also has the underdog chip on their shoulder angle. Has anyone ever seen a Dan Lanning interview? The dude is a junkyard dog. I promise you he will have this team fired up and he has been barking at them all week about being disrespected. Lastly, Robo Jackson, A.I. betting specialists picks Oregon to win, and rhythm has two models picking Oregon outright.   There are no magic tricks. There are no conspiracy theories. It is football. I played it and coached it for over 30 years. Teams win it on the field and Oregon will tonight. You just need to know where to look.

     

    peace_5

     
    nmgolf57
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 6:18 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by River_fish:

    Indiana is not unbeatable.
    You know they're undefeated, right?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by River_fish:

    Indiana is not unbeatable.
    You know they're undefeated, right?

     
    Huntaholic30804
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 6:21 PM ET #14

    I remember not too many years ago Jimmy Johnson had a Miami team that looked like a locomotive. And they got beat. 

    Reply

    I remember not too many years ago Jimmy Johnson had a Miami team that looked like a locomotive. And they got beat. 

     
    JimmyGape
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 6:21 PM ET #15

    Undefeated does not = unbeatable. You know that right?

    Reply

    Undefeated does not = unbeatable. You know that right?

     
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 6:22 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by Huntaholic30804:

    I remember not too many years ago Jimmy Johnson had a Miami team that looked like a locomotive. And they got beat.

     

    Honestly I feel like the best example is the 2007 Patriots.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Huntaholic30804:

    I remember not too many years ago Jimmy Johnson had a Miami team that looked like a locomotive. And they got beat.

     

    Honestly I feel like the best example is the 2007 Patriots.

     
    Fuse
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 6:43 PM ET #17

    GL peaceclover

    Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
    Reply

    GL peaceclover

     
    alapaha
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 7:15 PM ET #18

    Oregon Covers...the line says so.

    Reply

    Oregon Covers...the line says so.

     
    cd329
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 7:26 PM ET #19

    So please tell me which sports book is rigging this game for oregon to win, considering there are 25k legal sports books in the world. Are all 25k sports books plus the illegal ones all in on this rig job. Cause we all know every sports book takes in the same action as all the books do lolllllllllllllll

    What a conference call that must have been with all these books.  Then to think they need to get the coaches and players on both teams to go along with this. How much are all these coaches, players and schools being paid by the sports books to do this?

    This rigged bullshit is never gonna stop on this website and thats why covers needs to just start getting rid of posters when they start this non sense.

    Reply

    So please tell me which sports book is rigging this game for oregon to win, considering there are 25k legal sports books in the world. Are all 25k sports books plus the illegal ones all in on this rig job. Cause we all know every sports book takes in the same action as all the books do lolllllllllllllll

    What a conference call that must have been with all these books.  Then to think they need to get the coaches and players on both teams to go along with this. How much are all these coaches, players and schools being paid by the sports books to do this?

    This rigged bullshit is never gonna stop on this website and thats why covers needs to just start getting rid of posters when they start this non sense.

     
    cd329
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 7:30 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by River_fish:

    I agree in following the money and I also believe Oregon is the side, but it is not corrupt. There are many signs and edges pointing to Oregon. Indiana barely beat Penn State on the road. It took an incredible catch to win the game. Indiana also was losing in the 4th quarter to Iowa. Indiana is not unbeatable. Oregon is a contrarian pick. Money is on Indiana (public) yet the line has gone down. Oregon is a dog that can score. This helps in picking dogs. Oregon is a conference dog. This also helps in picking dogs. Oregon also has the revenge angle. Oregon also has the underdog chip on their shoulder angle. Has anyone ever seen a Dan Lanning interview? The dude is a junkyard dog. I promise you he will have this team fired up and he has been barking at them all week about being disrespected. Lastly, Robo Jackson, A.I. betting specialists picks Oregon to win, and rhythm has two models picking Oregon outright.   There are no magic tricks. There are no conspiracy theories. It is football. I played it and coached it for over 30 years. Teams win it on the field and Oregon will tonight. You just need to know where to look.

    Finally a gambler with a brain and common sensean_clappeace_5  All gamblers do now in todays world is cry about games being rigged, instead of trying to figure out why a team could beat another team.  Most games come down to teams playing good, the other team playing poorly, lucky breaks, coachs not making stupid decisions and a bunch of other things, but to sit around constantly saying games are all rigged is mind boggling. Why risk your money on something that isnt real.  Whos really brain dead

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by River_fish:

    I agree in following the money and I also believe Oregon is the side, but it is not corrupt. There are many signs and edges pointing to Oregon. Indiana barely beat Penn State on the road. It took an incredible catch to win the game. Indiana also was losing in the 4th quarter to Iowa. Indiana is not unbeatable. Oregon is a contrarian pick. Money is on Indiana (public) yet the line has gone down. Oregon is a dog that can score. This helps in picking dogs. Oregon is a conference dog. This also helps in picking dogs. Oregon also has the revenge angle. Oregon also has the underdog chip on their shoulder angle. Has anyone ever seen a Dan Lanning interview? The dude is a junkyard dog. I promise you he will have this team fired up and he has been barking at them all week about being disrespected. Lastly, Robo Jackson, A.I. betting specialists picks Oregon to win, and rhythm has two models picking Oregon outright.   There are no magic tricks. There are no conspiracy theories. It is football. I played it and coached it for over 30 years. Teams win it on the field and Oregon will tonight. You just need to know where to look.

    Finally a gambler with a brain and common sensean_clappeace_5  All gamblers do now in todays world is cry about games being rigged, instead of trying to figure out why a team could beat another team.  Most games come down to teams playing good, the other team playing poorly, lucky breaks, coachs not making stupid decisions and a bunch of other things, but to sit around constantly saying games are all rigged is mind boggling. Why risk your money on something that isnt real.  Whos really brain dead

     
    JimmyGape
    JimmyGape
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    Posts: 4860
    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 7:34 PM ET #21

    Nobody claimed the game is rigged. But people who have more information than us know something we don't.

     

    an_light

    Reply

    Nobody claimed the game is rigged. But people who have more information than us know something we don't.

     

    an_light

     
    UglyKidJoe
    UglyKidJoe
    Hall of Fame
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    Posts: 22110
    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 7:41 PM ET #22

    It's just a turnover away, or a double turnover, sometimes three.  Good luck.

    Reply

    It's just a turnover away, or a double turnover, sometimes three.  Good luck.

     
    Dongjohnson
    Dongjohnson
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    Joined: Dec, 2019
    Posts: 1137
    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 7:41 PM ET #23

    Gambling is u predictable.  If a line looks shady then I understand staying away or even going the opposite way in some cases.  However imo, I feel like you take the better team in most situations or at least what you think is the better team and hedge if you can a little.  Don’t be a gambler… manage your money and find an edge… 

     

    that being said, I like Indiana.  Mendoza is not a big 12 qb like Morten is for tech.  Morten laid an egg and I watched the whole game.   The team in general mad no adjustments and he looked so bad it was unbelievable.  

    good luck either way boys.  Will be a great game

    Reply

    Gambling is u predictable.  If a line looks shady then I understand staying away or even going the opposite way in some cases.  However imo, I feel like you take the better team in most situations or at least what you think is the better team and hedge if you can a little.  Don’t be a gambler… manage your money and find an edge… 

     

    that being said, I like Indiana.  Mendoza is not a big 12 qb like Morten is for tech.  Morten laid an egg and I watched the whole game.   The team in general mad no adjustments and he looked so bad it was unbelievable.  

    good luck either way boys.  Will be a great game

     
    jflydaddy
    jflydaddy
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    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 4599
    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 8:19 PM ET #24

    @River_fish

     indy barley beat penn st in Regulation, can u please tell me how long it took the ducks too beat them

    Reply

    @River_fish

     indy barley beat penn st in Regulation, can u please tell me how long it took the ducks too beat them

     
     
    Rowdie22
    Rowdie22
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    Joined: Aug, 2015
    Posts: 5429
    Posted: Jan. 9, 2026 - 8:51 PM ET #25

    @JimmyGape

     Or it's SO CORRUPT  that a double cross of crap it spoon fed write up plants like this to get more money on Oregon...an_shake

    Reply

    @JimmyGape

     Or it's SO CORRUPT  that a double cross of crap it spoon fed write up plants like this to get more money on Oregon...an_shake

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