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NBA picks, Friday, February 11, 2011

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Legend
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Posted: #26
Oh, and on a sidenote, for everyone who was giving Afflalo love last night after his game winning shot (which, interestingly, crushed my 3 team parlay that only had Dallas ML lef tto hit), please learn to spell the man's name right.

It's ARRON Afflalo, not AARON Afflalo. Show some respect to the UCLA Bruin.
 
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Posted: #27
nodoby really want to bet the Cavs and nodody saying they will bet the Cavs but line movement says people bet the Cavs without telling to their friends because its embarassing just even to bet them.
i already have some Cavs moneyline, shame on me.
 
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Posted: #28
gl kap
 
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Posted: #29
when i heard jerry sloan will resign, as a underdog lover i am
i couldnt stop myself to pound the suns moneyline
Also suns is playing finally their game right now.
go suns!
 
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Posted: #30
Get the dough Kap 
 
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Posted: #31
hey kap how about the bucks
they probably lost all the public losing to awful wizards by a blowout
i think also memphis gain some public beating the thunder without gay
but often i go against the public in a spot like this, the bucks did beat the grizzles in memphis last 4 visits, and lost to them at home 3 weeks ago(i smell little pay back here), i like the bucks getting a positif result here. 
+5 and moneyline

 
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Posted: #32
Good points kevin, I'm gonna take a closer look at that game throughout the day. My gut says MEM struggles against teams that can play good defense like MIL, but I don't have the numbers to back it up right now.
 
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Posted: #33
Personally, I think the nba wants the wiz-cavs showdown...
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

... and how does Utah bounce back tonight? They have to be not focused on this game tonight against Phoenix, no?


I feel the exact opposite...
 
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Posted: #35

I definitely like Charlotte and the way they are playing... NJ coming off the upset win and the Charlotte close loss to an Indy team playing much better since the coaching change.

I agree with Cleveland, although I think the Clip will be motivated not to lose to the Cavs either...

I like the Bucks reasoning kk but will lay off personally

bol all

 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by nbafan88:



I feel the exact opposite...


Please explain, nbafan -- I can't see how, after all the drama regarding the Sloan firing, that this Jazz team can possibly come out firing or focused.
 
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Posted: #37
SA + Clip tonight
 
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Posted: #38
They are not a one trick pony they have 5 players on the floor atr all times just like the Cavs who can cover in this spot jus like every other NBA team can tonight . Jordan is 6"11 and athletic . Thats a problem for a team thats biggest starter is 6'9" . Baron Davis yes hes a puke but is composed n has become  above avg in assists. That one trick pony your talking about Clv has no answer for . IMO to dismiss a play solely due to your disgust its popular n u wanna be special is irresponsible .My experience is its very expensive to bet on a streak to end. . Cleveland can and may cover here jus like every other game on the board as evidenced by your record . Its good and congratulations by the way its significance is in its sheer #s. . But im thinking the best play regarding this game is the Clippers . Square as it may be.
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by 1gonwild:

They are not a one trick pony they have 5 players on the floor atr all times just like the Cavs who can cover in this spot jus like every other NBA team can tonight . Jordan is 6"11 and athletic . Thats a problem for a team thats biggest starter is 6'9" . Baron Davis yes hes a puke but is composed n has become  above avg in assists. That one trick pony your talking about Clv has no answer for . IMO to dismiss a play solely due to your disgust its popular n u wanna be special is irresponsible .My experience is its very expensive to bet on a streak to end. . Cleveland can and may cover here jus like every other game on the board as evidenced by your record . Its good and congratulations by the way its significance is in its sheer #s. . But im thinking the best play regarding this game is the Clippers . Square as it may be.



 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by 1gonwild:

They are not a one trick pony they have 5 players on the floor atr all times just like the Cavs who can cover in this spot jus like every other NBA team can tonight . Jordan is 6"11 and athletic . Thats a problem for a team thats biggest starter is 6'9" . Baron Davis yes hes a puke but is composed n has become  above avg in assists. That one trick pony your talking about Clv has no answer for . IMO to dismiss a play solely due to your disgust its popular n u wanna be special is irresponsible .My experience is its very expensive to bet on a streak to end. . Cleveland can and may cover here jus like every other game on the board as evidenced by your record . Its good and congratulations by the way its significance is in its sheer #s. . But im thinking the best play regarding this game is the Clippers . Square as it may be.


I appreciate the input, 1gon. I understand your points completely, and they are good points. I haven't made Cleveland a play or anything, but this line just stinks to me. Every casual bettor will be on the Clippers today coming off the MSG win. No one in their right mind will want to back Cleveland after they laid down against Detroit at home. I think that when you have these types of situations, very frequently it ends poorly for the side that is catching so much action.

The interesting part here is that everything objectively points to the Clippers rolling the Cavs, I won't deny that at all. I agree that the size of LAC with Jordan and the Rim Reaper should absolutely destroy CLE on the interior. I have no idea how CLE will have any chance to stay close on the boards with the Clippers.

But something just doesn't seem right to me on this game. I can't imagine that most books will have significantly more LAC action than CLE action, and the books aren't long term winners by chance, you know what I mean?
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:



I appreciate the input, 1gon. I understand your points completely, and they are good points. I haven't made Cleveland a play or anything, but this line just stinks to me. Every casual bettor will be on the Clippers today coming off the MSG win. No one in their right mind will want to back Cleveland after they laid down against Detroit at home. I think that when you have these types of situations, very frequently it ends poorly for the side that is catching so much action.

The interesting part here is that everything objectively points to the Clippers rolling the Cavs, I won't deny that at all. I agree that the size of LAC with Jordan and the Rim Reaper should absolutely destroy CLE on the interior. I have no idea how CLE will have any chance to stay close on the boards with the Clippers.

But something just doesn't seem right to me on this game. I can't imagine that most books will have significantly more LAC action than CLE action, and the books aren't long term winners by chance, you know what I mean?
HEY KAP, GL ON ALL YOUR PLAYS TODAY!! IF I MAY SAY? DONT OVER ANALIZE CLIPPS. CAVS ARE A TERRIBLE TEAM AND YES THEY COULD WIN TONIGHT BUT IMO CLIPPS WILL PLAY WELL AND BEAT THIS SAD CAVS TEAM ON THE BOARDS AND ON THE SCOREBOARD.
 
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Posted: #42
Yes I do know what u mean . In addition Williams is back n from a motivational and physical standpoint I think its a factor . Hey , tx for not being insulted .
 
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Posted: #43
Get it!!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #44
My final card:

1. Charlotte Bobcats -6.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1
2. Detroit Pistons +7.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1
3. Cleveland Cavaliers TT UNDER 101.5 (-115), 2.3 to win 2
4. Phoenix Suns +6 (-110), 2.2 to win 2

Cleveland has only one above 101.5 in 5 of their last 26 games... I think that's a fair number here, I don't see them beating the Clippers in a track meet today. If they are going to win or keep it close, it's gonna have to be a low scoring game. The more possessions that happen, the more their talent differential will sign through. I'm also thinking that there won't be too many second chance opportunities for CLE on offense tonight.
 
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Posted: #45

Cavs are the PLAY.....  All that love on Blake Griffin..   Cavs ML and +4.5

GL KAP... 

Good call on that SUNS under.....

 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

My final card:

1. Charlotte Bobcats -6.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1
2. Detroit Pistons +7.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1
3. Cleveland Cavaliers TT UNDER 101.5 (-115), 2.3 to win 2
4. Phoenix Suns +6 (-110), 2.2 to win 2

Cleveland has only one above 101.5 in 5 of their last 26 games... I think that's a fair number here, I don't see them beating the Clippers in a track meet today. If they are going to win or keep it close, it's gonna have to be a low scoring game. The more possessions that happen, the more their talent differential will sign through. I'm also thinking that there won't be too many second chance opportunities for CLE on offense tonight.
GLAD TO SEE YOU'RE ON THE CLIPPS.LOL IM GONNA GO WITH ML. GL KAPONO
 
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Posted: #47

"Right now the guys' heads are spinning like mine is and we've got to find some way to get some stability through the game tonight and the next couple of games," said the 48-year-old Corbin, who was chosen as Utah's new head coach Thursday. "Then maybe we can catch our breath a little bit."



 
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Posted: #48

"The guys are fragile right now, so you don't want to shake things up too much before we get through the adjustment process," Corbin said.

 
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