What? You think the majority of the money is on the Hornets? I'd bet heavily against that being true.
I thought you are on the Hornets and with your heavy betting, this alone should make it a majority of the money...... Joking asides, I believe the majority is on NO and it comes with the betting.
0
What? You think the majority of the money is on the Hornets? I'd bet heavily against that being true.
I thought you are on the Hornets and with your heavy betting, this alone should make it a majority of the money...... Joking asides, I believe the majority is on NO and it comes with the betting.
Hypothetical situation: You've got a 3 team parlay going. First 2 games hit and now you have a chance to hedge the 3rd game and take the opposite side to guarantee a profit but maybe screw yourself out of more potential winnings. Do you hedge to guarantee a profit of some kind and take the money or do you let it ride?
You let it ride, brother! After all, you didn't bet a 2-teamer, did you? No, you bet a 3-teamer! "Guaranteeing yourself winnings" just means making another unnecessary bet (and thus giving up more juice).
0
Quote Originally Posted by GatorsX3:
Hypothetical situation: You've got a 3 team parlay going. First 2 games hit and now you have a chance to hedge the 3rd game and take the opposite side to guarantee a profit but maybe screw yourself out of more potential winnings. Do you hedge to guarantee a profit of some kind and take the money or do you let it ride?
You let it ride, brother! After all, you didn't bet a 2-teamer, did you? No, you bet a 3-teamer! "Guaranteeing yourself winnings" just means making another unnecessary bet (and thus giving up more juice).
The oddsmakers (not the Vegas oddsmakers, of which there are none, but the REAL oddsmakers camped offshore) set this line at 6.5 and still the public is going for the Spurs, raising the line to 7.5. They didn't set this line too high at all.
The Bator Line is not meant for anyone to bet into. It's strictly for news matter only (as they used to always say on the old scorephones).
MrB, i feel like I should make a thread so you can find your way in and give me some constructive criticism...
...but I understand line movement much differently than you do. I'm a believer in $ flow rather than %, where if the sharps are betting $1,000 on a side, then the 50 bettors who are betting $10 a game will not move the line at all, while the sharps are doing the moving. For that reason, unless the choice is alarmingly public with a number like 80% on the Spurs tonight, then all it is saying is that money is making the line move because the sharps, who do it professionally, are on that side. If i'm wrong, please correct me, but it seems to me that line movement is as often a good thing as it is a bad thing.
Disclaimer: That could have made no sense cuz it's finals week for me and my brain is fried.
0
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
The oddsmakers (not the Vegas oddsmakers, of which there are none, but the REAL oddsmakers camped offshore) set this line at 6.5 and still the public is going for the Spurs, raising the line to 7.5. They didn't set this line too high at all.
The Bator Line is not meant for anyone to bet into. It's strictly for news matter only (as they used to always say on the old scorephones).
MrB, i feel like I should make a thread so you can find your way in and give me some constructive criticism...
...but I understand line movement much differently than you do. I'm a believer in $ flow rather than %, where if the sharps are betting $1,000 on a side, then the 50 bettors who are betting $10 a game will not move the line at all, while the sharps are doing the moving. For that reason, unless the choice is alarmingly public with a number like 80% on the Spurs tonight, then all it is saying is that money is making the line move because the sharps, who do it professionally, are on that side. If i'm wrong, please correct me, but it seems to me that line movement is as often a good thing as it is a bad thing.
Disclaimer: That could have made no sense cuz it's finals week for me and my brain is fried.
MrB, i feel like I should make a thread so you can find your way in and give me some constructive criticism...
...but I understand line movement much differently than you do. I'm a believer in $ flow rather than %, where if the sharps are betting $1,000 on a side, then the 50 bettors who are betting $10 a game will not move the line at all, while the sharps are doing the moving. For that reason, unless the choice is alarmingly public with a number like 80% on the Spurs tonight, then all it is saying is that money is making the line move because the sharps, who do it professionally, are on that side. If i'm wrong, please correct me, but it seems to me that line movement is as often a good thing as it is a bad thing.
Disclaimer: That could have made no sense cuz it's finals week for me and my brain is fried.
GWarner27, I hear what you're saying, and you're probably right. Sharp money (well, so-called "sharp money") is likely the driving force behind this Spurs line getting pushed past -7 to -7.5. Howeber, those same sharps had their pockets emptied on Games 1 & 2, and their Spurs series bets are also fucked. I believe that like the robots that they are, they are sending it in on the Spurs based on the much-loved 0-2 home team Game 3 playoff system. That and (in my opinion) they're relying too heavily on the Spurs past playoff performance, which I frankly regard as yesterday's news.
I'm taking a big chance here, but I believe that the Hornets are a big overlay for the third straight game. It's going to take quite an effort for the Spurs to not only get them down big, but to keep them down until the final buzzer.
0
Quote Originally Posted by GWarner27:
MrB, i feel like I should make a thread so you can find your way in and give me some constructive criticism...
...but I understand line movement much differently than you do. I'm a believer in $ flow rather than %, where if the sharps are betting $1,000 on a side, then the 50 bettors who are betting $10 a game will not move the line at all, while the sharps are doing the moving. For that reason, unless the choice is alarmingly public with a number like 80% on the Spurs tonight, then all it is saying is that money is making the line move because the sharps, who do it professionally, are on that side. If i'm wrong, please correct me, but it seems to me that line movement is as often a good thing as it is a bad thing.
Disclaimer: That could have made no sense cuz it's finals week for me and my brain is fried.
GWarner27, I hear what you're saying, and you're probably right. Sharp money (well, so-called "sharp money") is likely the driving force behind this Spurs line getting pushed past -7 to -7.5. Howeber, those same sharps had their pockets emptied on Games 1 & 2, and their Spurs series bets are also fucked. I believe that like the robots that they are, they are sending it in on the Spurs based on the much-loved 0-2 home team Game 3 playoff system. That and (in my opinion) they're relying too heavily on the Spurs past playoff performance, which I frankly regard as yesterday's news.
I'm taking a big chance here, but I believe that the Hornets are a big overlay for the third straight game. It's going to take quite an effort for the Spurs to not only get them down big, but to keep them down until the final buzzer.
i don't know if i can stomach the fouling frenzy minus the 7, i just wish i woulda taken the Hornets for the series that i wanted to do until gametime on saturday.
...i guess i just think the "sharp money" is the bigger bettors because frankly, if you are bad at sports betting you're not going to be betting $1, $5, or $10K on a game unless money is not at all a problem for you and will never be. So, the lines moving certain ways usually mean to me that that is the right side, and i only really faded it when Dr. Bob was unleashing his CF picks this year and only went huge when he told all his best friends to take LSU -17 at Ole Miss, which got pushed all the way to 19 almost, which worked out for me. In my opinion, line movement is a good tool to see what the best side is, especially if there is a relatively low % on that side compared to like the 70-80% that we see on the real public teams like the Cowboys/Colts/Patriots in this season's NFL. Of course I will never bet strictly on that, but if it's favoring my side i do feel much more comfortable with my bet.
good luck tonight, i'll be rooting for the hornets cuz I hate the spurs anyways (unless of course i lay the 7)
0
i don't know if i can stomach the fouling frenzy minus the 7, i just wish i woulda taken the Hornets for the series that i wanted to do until gametime on saturday.
...i guess i just think the "sharp money" is the bigger bettors because frankly, if you are bad at sports betting you're not going to be betting $1, $5, or $10K on a game unless money is not at all a problem for you and will never be. So, the lines moving certain ways usually mean to me that that is the right side, and i only really faded it when Dr. Bob was unleashing his CF picks this year and only went huge when he told all his best friends to take LSU -17 at Ole Miss, which got pushed all the way to 19 almost, which worked out for me. In my opinion, line movement is a good tool to see what the best side is, especially if there is a relatively low % on that side compared to like the 70-80% that we see on the real public teams like the Cowboys/Colts/Patriots in this season's NFL. Of course I will never bet strictly on that, but if it's favoring my side i do feel much more comfortable with my bet.
good luck tonight, i'll be rooting for the hornets cuz I hate the spurs anyways (unless of course i lay the 7)
Glad to finally see a good discussion on covers. Always so much BS goin on in this site, it's rare to find a good debate about how to read lines, movement, teams, etc.
Off to light a blunt and grab a beer and watch this 1st half (hope it's a brick-fest under 92).
See you guys at half-time
0
Glad to finally see a good discussion on covers. Always so much BS goin on in this site, it's rare to find a good debate about how to read lines, movement, teams, etc.
Off to light a blunt and grab a beer and watch this 1st half (hope it's a brick-fest under 92).
If the Hornets are leading at halftime, I might have to unload.
I was goin to ask you b4 the game if Hornet 1st half +4 is good bet. .. I was so pretty confident that they might be able to cover so I did have a small bet on it..
SUPERDOG
0
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
If the Hornets are leading at halftime, I might have to unload.
I was goin to ask you b4 the game if Hornet 1st half +4 is good bet. .. I was so pretty confident that they might be able to cover so I did have a small bet on it..
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.