Still pondering. I love the way the Celtics played the entire 82-game schedule with such great intensity, but I'm wondering if they might be running low on gas here in May. Are they the dominant team I thought they were, destroying teams by double digits in every home game, or are they ready to choke under playoff pressure, like they did in the road in Round 1 and came so close to doing two nights ago. Which team are they?
good post ,, any plays? or a pass game?
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Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
Still pondering. I love the way the Celtics played the entire 82-game schedule with such great intensity, but I'm wondering if they might be running low on gas here in May. Are they the dominant team I thought they were, destroying teams by double digits in every home game, or are they ready to choke under playoff pressure, like they did in the road in Round 1 and came so close to doing two nights ago. Which team are they?
Still pondering. I love the way the Celtics played the entire 82-game schedule with such great intensity, but I'm wondering if they might be running low on gas here in May. Are they the dominant team I thought they were, destroying teams by double digits in every home game, or are they ready to choke under playoff pressure, like they did in the road in Round 1 and came so close to doing two nights ago. Which team are they?
Very tough call indeed. This is simply a fade public play for me. Taking Boston for 1 unit. Will go heavier on NO. GL to you guys...heading to BW3's cause my gf hates me yelling at the tv.
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Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
Still pondering. I love the way the Celtics played the entire 82-game schedule with such great intensity, but I'm wondering if they might be running low on gas here in May. Are they the dominant team I thought they were, destroying teams by double digits in every home game, or are they ready to choke under playoff pressure, like they did in the road in Round 1 and came so close to doing two nights ago. Which team are they?
Very tough call indeed. This is simply a fade public play for me. Taking Boston for 1 unit. Will go heavier on NO. GL to you guys...heading to BW3's cause my gf hates me yelling at the tv.
Here is his takes on the DET-ORL game 3.Exact same situation as tonight game between NO-SA.
Posted: 5/7/2008 2:47:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rod_steel:
I can't believe so many people are lining up on the Magic as well
You don't think the Pistons don't want to close this series out as quickly as possible and watch the Celtics/Cavs bash the proverbial out of each other?
I'm starting to think that the #1 reason the 0-2 home team became such a good play in these Game 3s is because after Games 1 & 2, all the sweep talk starts and the 0-2 home team gets pissed off. This series is inviting an insulting amount of sweep talk.
that might be why but this stat has been getting me paid like a mofo these playoffs, went 4-0 yesterday
In the last 5 years, 0-2 teams coming home for Game 3 are 30-9 76% straight up and 28-11 71% against the spread.
out of 5 games bos/cle played this year,CLEVELAND has gone 4-1 ats.....in the three games played in Boston including GAME1, CLEVELAND is 0-3 su,but 3-0 ats (got this from nightridah but its accurate)
The play is CLE +8.5
Game 3 SA going home, this is their best chance to win a game. Spurs in the 2 games they have won against NO this year have covered both.
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Quote Originally Posted by tstyle:
Here is his takes on the DET-ORL game 3.Exact same situation as tonight game between NO-SA.
Posted: 5/7/2008 2:47:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rod_steel:
I can't believe so many people are lining up on the Magic as well
You don't think the Pistons don't want to close this series out as quickly as possible and watch the Celtics/Cavs bash the proverbial out of each other?
I'm starting to think that the #1 reason the 0-2 home team became such a good play in these Game 3s is because after Games 1 & 2, all the sweep talk starts and the 0-2 home team gets pissed off. This series is inviting an insulting amount of sweep talk.
that might be why but this stat has been getting me paid like a mofo these playoffs, went 4-0 yesterday
In the last 5 years, 0-2 teams coming home for Game 3 are 30-9 76% straight up and 28-11 71% against the spread.
out of 5 games bos/cle played this year,CLEVELAND has gone 4-1 ats.....in the three games played in Boston including GAME1, CLEVELAND is 0-3 su,but 3-0 ats (got this from nightridah but its accurate)
The play is CLE +8.5
Game 3 SA going home, this is their best chance to win a game. Spurs in the 2 games they have won against NO this year have covered both.
I'm starting to think that the #1 reason the 0-2 home team became such a good play in these Game 3s is because after Games 1 & 2, all the sweep talk starts and the 0-2 home team gets pissed off. This series is inviting an insulting amount of sweep talk.
That's what I wrote last night regarding the Pistons-Magic series. That is not how I feel about the Spurs current 0-2 predicament. Almost no one is talking about a possible sweep here except for me. I have New Orleans +7 and +7.5 for way too much $$$. It's not that I think the Spurs won't try their hardest tonight, it's just that I'm sticking to my belief that the Spurs are grossly overpriced in every way in this series. The Bator Line (as posted here on Covers) for Game 2 was New Orleans -9.5. The Bator Line for Game 3 is San Antonio -2.5.
Despite the overload I have on the Hornets plus the points, I'll probably add my moneyline play later.
great points here Bator. Exacly how I see this series myself
(you were right on + money on the Lakers I see +160 this line will go down right ?)
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Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
I'm starting to think that the #1 reason the 0-2 home team became such a good play in these Game 3s is because after Games 1 & 2, all the sweep talk starts and the 0-2 home team gets pissed off. This series is inviting an insulting amount of sweep talk.
That's what I wrote last night regarding the Pistons-Magic series. That is not how I feel about the Spurs current 0-2 predicament. Almost no one is talking about a possible sweep here except for me. I have New Orleans +7 and +7.5 for way too much $$$. It's not that I think the Spurs won't try their hardest tonight, it's just that I'm sticking to my belief that the Spurs are grossly overpriced in every way in this series. The Bator Line (as posted here on Covers) for Game 2 was New Orleans -9.5. The Bator Line for Game 3 is San Antonio -2.5.
Despite the overload I have on the Hornets plus the points, I'll probably add my moneyline play later.
great points here Bator. Exacly how I see this series myself
(you were right on + money on the Lakers I see +160 this line will go down right ?)
Bator I'm with you going big on NO and I believe in them being a never-give-up team on the road too. I live in LA and just last month I saw them play the Lakers on TV. First time I saw these '08 Hornets in fact. That was a game where they were down 20 at halftime, then came back and finished the game within 3. It was also the beginning of the current LAL 10 game winning streak, but that's another topic. Anyway, that's enough for me to feel comfortable putting my money on them on the road. I even threw a couple bucks on NO ML.
Also I am on BOS -4.5 first half small, just 'cause.
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Bator I'm with you going big on NO and I believe in them being a never-give-up team on the road too. I live in LA and just last month I saw them play the Lakers on TV. First time I saw these '08 Hornets in fact. That was a game where they were down 20 at halftime, then came back and finished the game within 3. It was also the beginning of the current LAL 10 game winning streak, but that's another topic. Anyway, that's enough for me to feel comfortable putting my money on them on the road. I even threw a couple bucks on NO ML.
Also I am on BOS -4.5 first half small, just 'cause.
I really don't know why people keep calling game 1 a slugfest. It was a matchup of two teams that were not ready to play. Pure and simple. Both teams will get their act together tonight, or at least Boston. Cleveland has zero answer on offense, and Boston has too much talent up and down the roster. Scoring, defense, bench, etc. The only thing that I keep thinking about is how many offensive rebounds the Cavs got. They seemed to beat Boston to every loose ball. I don't know how many second chance points they actually got, but I know that is the ONLY thing that kept them in the game. Maybe I'm blind, but I just don't see it happening again. Boston -8, for better or worse. Good luck folks.
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I really don't know why people keep calling game 1 a slugfest. It was a matchup of two teams that were not ready to play. Pure and simple. Both teams will get their act together tonight, or at least Boston. Cleveland has zero answer on offense, and Boston has too much talent up and down the roster. Scoring, defense, bench, etc. The only thing that I keep thinking about is how many offensive rebounds the Cavs got. They seemed to beat Boston to every loose ball. I don't know how many second chance points they actually got, but I know that is the ONLY thing that kept them in the game. Maybe I'm blind, but I just don't see it happening again. Boston -8, for better or worse. Good luck folks.
Game 3 SA going home, this is their best chance to win a game. Spurs in the 2 games they have won against NO this year have covered both.
The Spurs beat the Hornets in New Orleans in early Novermber, long before the Hornets realized how good they were. The Spurs beat them again at home in late February, one month after the Hornets had disemboweled them in San Antonio by a score of 102-78. That February 23rd game was a tremendous revenge spot for the Spurs, the kind of setup that sees most revenging NBA teams win by 20 or more. The Spurs looked on their way to blowing them out, leading 50-35 at halftime and stretching the lead out to 17 points late in the 3rd. But then a funny thing happened. Rather than lay down and take the beating, the Hornets wouldn't go away. They came back and tied the game at 78 midway through the 4th quarter. The Hornets tired, though, missing 12 of their last 16 shots. Manu saved the Spurs by scoring 9 points down the stretch and San Antonio was barely able to eek out the cover as 7.5 point favorites, 98-89. Again, we're talking about a revenge spot that no team has successfuly overcome in this decade, and the Hornets almost did it.
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Quote Originally Posted by jimmysalas:
Game 3 SA going home, this is their best chance to win a game. Spurs in the 2 games they have won against NO this year have covered both.
The Spurs beat the Hornets in New Orleans in early Novermber, long before the Hornets realized how good they were. The Spurs beat them again at home in late February, one month after the Hornets had disemboweled them in San Antonio by a score of 102-78. That February 23rd game was a tremendous revenge spot for the Spurs, the kind of setup that sees most revenging NBA teams win by 20 or more. The Spurs looked on their way to blowing them out, leading 50-35 at halftime and stretching the lead out to 17 points late in the 3rd. But then a funny thing happened. Rather than lay down and take the beating, the Hornets wouldn't go away. They came back and tied the game at 78 midway through the 4th quarter. The Hornets tired, though, missing 12 of their last 16 shots. Manu saved the Spurs by scoring 9 points down the stretch and San Antonio was barely able to eek out the cover as 7.5 point favorites, 98-89. Again, we're talking about a revenge spot that no team has successfuly overcome in this decade, and the Hornets almost did it.
GL Bator After last night's woeful performance by Utah I'm done putting any type of wager on a road team in the NBA. No matter how good the wager looks road teams just seem to totally shit the bed on me. Even if the road team stays competitive they still never stop fouling until they have blown the cover.
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GL Bator After last night's woeful performance by Utah I'm done putting any type of wager on a road team in the NBA. No matter how good the wager looks road teams just seem to totally shit the bed on me. Even if the road team stays competitive they still never stop fouling until they have blown the cover.
Bator I'm with you going big on NO and I believe in them being a never-give-up team on the road too. I live in LA and just last month I saw them play the Lakers on TV. First time I saw these '08 Hornets in fact. That was a game where they were down 20 at halftime, then came back and finished the game within 3. It was also the beginning of the current LAL 10 game winning streak, but that's another topic. Anyway, that's enough for me to feel comfortable putting my money on them on the road. I even threw a couple bucks on NO ML.
Also I am on BOS -4.5 first half small, just 'cause.
The Hornets were down by 30 points in that game, 63-33. Now if they were crazy enough to think they could come back and win that one, then you know these guys won't throw in the towel on us tonight.
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Quote Originally Posted by CarteBlanche:
Bator I'm with you going big on NO and I believe in them being a never-give-up team on the road too. I live in LA and just last month I saw them play the Lakers on TV. First time I saw these '08 Hornets in fact. That was a game where they were down 20 at halftime, then came back and finished the game within 3. It was also the beginning of the current LAL 10 game winning streak, but that's another topic. Anyway, that's enough for me to feel comfortable putting my money on them on the road. I even threw a couple bucks on NO ML.
Also I am on BOS -4.5 first half small, just 'cause.
The Hornets were down by 30 points in that game, 63-33. Now if they were crazy enough to think they could come back and win that one, then you know these guys won't throw in the towel on us tonight.
Favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings of these two teams,
Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in San Antonio
Over is 7-2-1 in San Antonio last 10 games v/s Western Conf.
Over is 7-2-1 in San Antonio
NO are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
I am not surprise that the public now favors the Hornets at approximately 56%. Please don't forget the San Antonio are the defending champs that are going back home after a disappointing first 2 ballgames. New Orleans has beat the Spurs the last 3 ballgames by 25, 19 and 18 points respectively although the Spurs did split the series with them and win 1 game on the road and 1 game at home by 11 points covering a -7 spread last time they faced them at home. How does a team which lost by almost 20 points in the last two meetings is now endorsed by LVegas as a 7 points chalks? Vegas wants folks to jump on the dogs as much as possible. I favor the Spurs tonight. Their pride is on the line and home folks are thristy for a win. Spurs is the play.
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Some additional stats to bring to your attention:
Favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings of these two teams,
Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in San Antonio
Over is 7-2-1 in San Antonio last 10 games v/s Western Conf.
Over is 7-2-1 in San Antonio
NO are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
I am not surprise that the public now favors the Hornets at approximately 56%. Please don't forget the San Antonio are the defending champs that are going back home after a disappointing first 2 ballgames. New Orleans has beat the Spurs the last 3 ballgames by 25, 19 and 18 points respectively although the Spurs did split the series with them and win 1 game on the road and 1 game at home by 11 points covering a -7 spread last time they faced them at home. How does a team which lost by almost 20 points in the last two meetings is now endorsed by LVegas as a 7 points chalks? Vegas wants folks to jump on the dogs as much as possible. I favor the Spurs tonight. Their pride is on the line and home folks are thristy for a win. Spurs is the play.
I might think twice Bator about adding to that New Orleans bet. I agree with you that the line is inflated. I think the line should be San Antonio -4. However, I really believe this game could really swing either way. As you know, I have a bet for NO to take the series, but I definitely think that the Spurs win this game SU.
homedawgbridger, if you think the line should be San Antonio -4, then how can you not like New Orleans +7? How much of an edge are you looking for?
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Quote Originally Posted by homedawgbridger:
I might think twice Bator about adding to that New Orleans bet. I agree with you that the line is inflated. I think the line should be San Antonio -4. However, I really believe this game could really swing either way. As you know, I have a bet for NO to take the series, but I definitely think that the Spurs win this game SU.
homedawgbridger, if you think the line should be San Antonio -4, then how can you not like New Orleans +7? How much of an edge are you looking for?
looks like all the #'s point to Spurs and over.Sometimes its best to throw all the numbers out the window and ride with your gut. NO will probably be 2-9 ats their last 11 thursday games after tonight.
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looks like all the #'s point to Spurs and over.Sometimes its best to throw all the numbers out the window and ride with your gut. NO will probably be 2-9 ats their last 11 thursday games after tonight.
NO would have beat allas game 3 if the refs didnt give allas the game letting them shoot 22 ft in the 3rd where they blew it open and still only won by 10
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NO would have beat allas game 3 if the refs didnt give allas the game letting them shoot 22 ft in the 3rd where they blew it open and still only won by 10
I am not surprise that the public now favors the Hornets at approximately 56%. Please don't forget the San Antonio are the defending champs that are going back home after a disappointing first 2 ballgames. New Orleans has beat the Spurs the last 3 ballgames by 25, 19 and 18 points respectively although the Spurs did split the series with them and win 1 game on the road and 1 game at home by 11 points covering a -7 spread last time they faced them at home. How does a team which lost by almost 20 points in the last two meetings is now endorsed by LVegas as a 7 points chalks? Vegas wants folks to jump on the dogs as much as possible. I favor the Spurs tonight. Their pride is on the line and home folks are thristy for a win. Spurs is the play.
jeopardy, every sports betting hack from here to Poughkeepsie is aware that the Spurs are defending champs thatare going back home after a disappointing first 2 ballgames.
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Quote Originally Posted by jeopardy:
I am not surprise that the public now favors the Hornets at approximately 56%. Please don't forget the San Antonio are the defending champs that are going back home after a disappointing first 2 ballgames. New Orleans has beat the Spurs the last 3 ballgames by 25, 19 and 18 points respectively although the Spurs did split the series with them and win 1 game on the road and 1 game at home by 11 points covering a -7 spread last time they faced them at home. How does a team which lost by almost 20 points in the last two meetings is now endorsed by LVegas as a 7 points chalks? Vegas wants folks to jump on the dogs as much as possible. I favor the Spurs tonight. Their pride is on the line and home folks are thristy for a win. Spurs is the play.
jeopardy, every sports betting hack from here to Poughkeepsie is aware that the Spurs are defending champs thatare going back home after a disappointing first 2 ballgames.
NO would have beat allas game 3 if the refs didnt give allas the game letting them shoot 22 ft in the 3rd where they blew it open and still only won by 10
I had the Hornets in the 2nd half of that game. I was steaming at all the cheating going on in that quarter for the Mavericks.
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Quote Originally Posted by mnjerseyguy:
NO would have beat allas game 3 if the refs didnt give allas the game letting them shoot 22 ft in the 3rd where they blew it open and still only won by 10
I had the Hornets in the 2nd half of that game. I was steaming at all the cheating going on in that quarter for the Mavericks.
Bator, it was just a stat. Don't have to be sarcastic. You take your pick and I get mine. We will come back here after the game.
Everyone on the internet takes everything so personally. I wish we didn't all have to walk on eggshells. Jeopardy, it was a joke. I'm not making fun of your stat. You're a good man and I'm glad you posted.
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Quote Originally Posted by jeopardy:
Bator, it was just a stat. Don't have to be sarcastic. You take your pick and I get mine. We will come back here after the game.
Everyone on the internet takes everything so personally. I wish we didn't all have to walk on eggshells. Jeopardy, it was a joke. I'm not making fun of your stat. You're a good man and I'm glad you posted.
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Very tough call indeed. This is simply a fade public play for me. Taking Boston for 1 unit. Will go heavier on NO. GL to you guys...heading to BW3's cause my gf hates me yelling at the tv. 
under 177 clev - boston game 
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