Basketball Winners All Season Long!

But the point is losing almost 1 unit just in juice. Your winning percentage needs to be much higher to make that profitable.

I think what you're really saying is that he should make less plays and just play his "locks" because you're assuming he will lose more (a higher percentage) if he has more plays. I am going under the assumption that his winning percentage will be the same regardless. So if he is a 60% player and bets one pick a day at 1100/1000, he would risk 110000 over 100 days, $60K of wins minus $44K of lossses = $16K profit. If he instead made 10 plays a day of only 110/100 each, it would still be 1100/1000 per day and net the same result over 100 days winning 60%. He doesn't need a higher winning percentage. 

From a conservative standpoint, the second model is better because it spreads out the risk. If you think his winning percentage drops with more plays, that would be your argument. He doesn't need to win at a higher rate though. The juice is the same 10% regardless. 

Let's roll Bookie