Posted:
#151
Quote Originally Posted by Petro27:
Notice that the juice is -115 on system picks?
Notice that the juice is -115 on system picks?
u only pay juice when u lose!
0
ANOTHER SYSTEM THREAD BUT THIS ONE IS 53-23-2 **68% Since January 1st!
Posted:
#154
| INTERNET / -1 | Feb 29 07:05 PM |
NBA |
STRAIGHT BET [3503] 1Q OKC THUNDER -1-115 |
575 / 500 |
500 |
WIN WIN |
02/29/2012 06:59 |
| INTERNET / -1 | Feb 29 07:05 PM |
NBA |
STRAIGHT BET [3503] 1Q OKC THUNDER -1-115 |
575 / 500 |
500 |
WIN WIN |
02/29/2012 06:59 |
| INTERNET / -1 | Feb 29 07:05 PM |
NBA |
STRAIGHT BET [3503] 1Q OKC THUNDER -1-115 |
575 / 500 |
500 |
WIN WIN |
02/29/2012 06:59 |
| INTERNET / -1 | Feb 29 07:05 PM |
NBA |
STRAIGHT BET [3503] 1Q OKC THUNDER -1-115 |
575 / 500 |
500 |
WIN WIN |
02/29/2012 06:59 |
0
Posted:
#156
Quote Originally Posted by twodigitz:
u only pay juice when u lose!
Which is great for all the people that pick 100% every bet. But for the rest of us, the difference between -110 and -115 is the need to pick to at 52.38% versus 53.49% respectively. It amazes me how so many people with no logical and brutal math skills can be handicappers.
0
Posted:
#157
Quote Originally Posted by canadaguy_25:
Which is great for all the people that pick 100% every bet. But for the rest of us, the difference between -110 and -115 is the need to pick to at 52.38% versus 53.49% respectively. It amazes me how so many people with no logical and brutal math skills can be handicappers.
Which is great for all the people that pick 100% every bet. But for the rest of us, the difference between -110 and -115 is the need to pick to at 52.38% versus 53.49% respectively. It amazes me how so many people with no logical and brutal math skills can be handicappers.
Or grammars. Don't forget the grammars.
0
Posted:
#160
Quote Originally Posted by canadaguy_25:
Which is great for all the people that pick 100% every bet. But for the rest of us, the difference between -110 and -115 is the need to pick to at 52.38% versus 53.49% respectively. It amazes me how so many people with no logical and brutal math skills can be handicappers.
Which is great for all the people that pick 100% every bet. But for the rest of us, the difference between -110 and -115 is the need to pick to at 52.38% versus 53.49% respectively. It amazes me how so many people with no logical and brutal math skills can be handicappers.
First off, I'm not a handicapper.
Secondly, how many games are you playing? 10,000 a season? if you played that many games then yes if you are going to have trouble getting from 52.38% to 53.49%.
This season started on december 25th and will go on til april 26th. thats 124 days you could bet on the nba(this DOES include the all-star break). So, lets say you average about 3 plays per day, actually for argument sake lets go with 4 games(which is a LOT in my opinion) that is 124X4=496
Since we now know not everyone is not good in math according to you so lets make that 496 plays and make it 500.therefore, a 50% capper will be 250-250 correct?
now a 52.38% capper needs to be at 262-238 and a 53.49% capper will have a record of 267-233.
That is only a 5 game difference from going to ur 52.38% to 53.49%. 5 games out of the 500 bets u placed is only 1% of the games you played, if that 1% if going to screw up your bankroll, you ALREADY have problems BEFORE talking about juice.
Why do I say this? Because to be at 54% you only need to be 20 games over .500 when you play 500 games. If you cannot be 20 games over .500 with 500 plays you just need to stop gambling!!! Its definetely not for you.
I have also seen my friends be under .500 with his picks but with SMART money manegement he will always be aheaad when its all said and done and he definetely does not play 500 games in ANY nba season, shortened or not.
Bottom line here is, you are talking about 5% juice extra, its not like you are paying 20% more extra and if you can not afford the extra 5%, u should also quit gambling.
and please dont come back with "if u bet long-term and have bet over 10,000 plays or if you have any idea how hard it is to get over 57% if you played that many games? " blah blah blah
No shit, it will be NEARLY impossible to be hitting over 57% if you played that many games, its called the LAW of averages(a math wiz like urself should know what that is), no matter how hot u start or how cold u start, it will all come back right around that 47-53% number when playing a SHIT TON OF GAMES
THIS IS WHY VEGAS wants you to keep coming back, because is the LONG HAUL you will give it all back, that is why I always limit may plays, I have a goal in mind how much I want to make and once that number hits I stop, NO MATTER HOW HOT I MAY BE.
Like the old saying goes scared money = no money. In this case you should be willing to pay -115 or -600, if you know THAT play will win. if you dont like it dont play it. and dont blindly tail, cuz if you do, then you will get burned(eventually)!
0
Posted:
#161
I was wondering if someone could please help me with these given Lines at the start of tonights games, how you would / if you would play these using TheSportsProfit's system......... Minn vs LA opened at -7 and is currently -4 Houston vs Utah opened at -2.5 and is currently -2.5 Toronto vs New Orleans opened at -3 and is currently -3 Port vs Denver opened at -3 and is currently -3 Chic vs San Ant. opened at -2 and is currently -1.5 Dallas vs Memphis opened at -1 and is currently -2 Oak vs Philly opened at +3.5 and is currently +3 Thank for the explanation and time guys - Mike
0
small bump hopefully
Posted:
#165
Forgot to add...... These are the numbers that TheSportsProfit posted and I'm trying to understand given his numbers and the ones I posted above, how do I interpet/read into SportsProfit and the ones I just pulled off of the Covers.com Odds page thanks again - Mike P.S. Fantastic system SportsProfit, just needing a bit of help to make sure I'm placing the correct bets using your system
0
Posted:
#168
Quote Originally Posted by twodigitz:
First off, I'm not a handicapper.
Secondly, how many games are you playing? 10,000 a season? if you played that many games then yes if you are going to have trouble getting from 52.38% to 53.49%.
This season started on december 25th and will go on til april 26th. thats 124 days you could bet on the nba(this DOES include the all-star break). So, lets say you average about 3 plays per day, actually for argument sake lets go with 4 games(which is a LOT in my opinion) that is 124X4=496
Since we now know not everyone is not good in math according to you so lets make that 496 plays and make it 500.therefore, a 50% capper will be 250-250 correct?
now a 52.38% capper needs to be at 262-238 and a 53.49% capper will have a record of 267-233.
That is only a 5 game difference from going to ur 52.38% to 53.49%. 5 games out of the 500 bets u placed is only 1% of the games you played, if that 1% if going to screw up your bankroll, you ALREADY have problems BEFORE talking about juice.
Why do I say this? Because to be at 54% you only need to be 20 games over .500 when you play 500 games. If you cannot be 20 games over .500 with 500 plays you just need to stop gambling!!! Its definetely not for you.
I have also seen my friends be under .500 with his picks but with SMART money manegement he will always be aheaad when its all said and done and he definetely does not play 500 games in ANY nba season, shortened or not.
Bottom line here is, you are talking about 5% juice extra, its not like you are paying 20% more extra and if you can not afford the extra 5%, u should also quit gambling.
and please dont come back with "if u bet long-term and have bet over 10,000 plays or if you have any idea how hard it is to get over 57% if you played that many games? " blah blah blah
No shit, it will be NEARLY impossible to be hitting over 57% if you played that many games, its called the LAW of averages(a math wiz like urself should know what that is), no matter how hot u start or how cold u start, it will all come back right around that 47-53% number when playing a SHIT TON OF GAMES
THIS IS WHY VEGAS wants you to keep coming back, because is the LONG HAUL you will give it all back, that is why I always limit may plays, I have a goal in mind how much I want to make and once that number hits I stop, NO MATTER HOW HOT I MAY BE.
Like the old saying goes scared money = no money. In this case you should be willing to pay -115 or -600, if you know THAT play will win. if you dont like it dont play it. and dont blindly tail, cuz if you do, then you will get burned(eventually)!
Very well written. I absolutely agree with what your saying. Money management is the key to longterm profitability, more so than picking winners even. That said, I have to really like a 1st quarter/half play in order to justify laying the extra juice. If it works out, then great. I just hate when ignorant people throw around the old "you only pay juice when you lose." You have obviously proven that you're not one of those ignorant people.
0
Posted:
#169
The system SHOULD of gone 3-3, like I did today since DENVER 1Q was supposed to be the play, NOT the blazers, UNLESS you had -2.5 denver at your book. If this is the case, then yes, the system went 2-4 today.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CANADAGUY - you are correct, if you dont like the 1q/1h play just dont play it. I personally dont care about juice because my attitude is always POSITIVE and I ALWAYS believe I have a chance of winning my bet as long as I have a CHANCE. and on the same token, I do not bet over my means so, I never really worry about the juice since if it loses, oh well, on to the next game.
BOL on your plays the rest of the season, hopefully this systems pans out but I have a feeling, this system would probably be best if it only produced less than 3 plays/day, that way the law of averages dont come into play with only 3 plays but anything more than 3 will give the OPPORTUNITY to let that happen, like today. If we just played okc, the first game and call it a day, it would of been 1-0 but thats why we gamble! lol
0
I still believe in the system. Just an off day last night.
Posted:
#171
Just needing a bit of help with this System please.......These were the Lines/Numbers from Last nights ( Feb. 29th Games ), I was wondering if someone could please help me with these given Lines at the start of tonights games, how you would / if you would play these using TheSportsProfit's system......... Minn vs LA opened at -7 and is currently -4 Houston vs Utah opened at -2.5 and is currently -2.5 Toronto vs New Orleans opened at -3 and is currently -3 Port vs Denver opened at -3 and is currently -3 Chic vs San Ant. opened at -2 and is currently -1.5 Dallas vs Memphis opened at -1 and is currently -2 Oak vs Philly opened at +3.5 and is currently +3 Thank for the explanation and time guys - Mike Also, I forgot to add...... These are the numbers that TheSportsProfit posted Last night
#146
Posted: 2/29/2012 5:13:38 PMCORRECTION
OKC -1 1st Q<<<LOVE IT
DALLAS +.5 first Q
NEW ORLEANS -1 first Q
CHICAGO +.5 first Q
PORTLAND +.5 1st Q
HOUSTON +.5 1st Q
and I'm trying to understand given his numbers and the ones I posted above, how do I interpet/read into SportsProfit and the ones I just pulled off of the Covers.com Odds page thanks again - Mike P.S. Fantastic system SportsProfit, just needing a bit of help to make sure I'm placing the correct bets using your system0
Hot Forum Topics
