Posted:
#426
Good looking out THNX!
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ANOTHER SYSTEM THREAD BUT THIS ONE IS 53-23-2 **68% Since January 1st!
Posted:
#427
Quote Originally Posted by Johnbongo:
See post 27, states dogs from PK to +2.5 should be bets. Doesn't say anything about +0.5 but I don't see any logical reason why that wouldn't be a bet also, so that's what I ran the results on
See post 27, states dogs from PK to +2.5 should be bets. Doesn't say anything about +0.5 but I don't see any logical reason why that wouldn't be a bet also, so that's what I ran the results on
To top it off, I have 2 books and these plays are being juiced, sometimes as much as -125
Just look out is all I am saying here
To each his own buddy
What works for me may not work for you.
The fact that you brought up all the results from dec.25th is pretty irrelavent to me since what is most important to me was that he got my attention with the thread title, I decided to play his plays for 1unit and see what he can do. After a couple of days he then let us know on the system on thread #27. Since then, today is my first losing day in regards to this system. I did not just play every play blindly and some plays did not match sportsprofits plays but guess what, I did VERY WELL still.
To me, and strictly in my case, this system is awesome and I hope its bullet proof but I know its not and I am not naiive to think that this run will continue so my rule was, if I have 3 consecutive non-profit days I will stop this system and even with 2 more consecutive non-profit days and I stop, I will be up a LOT of units from this and will be very thankful to sportsprofit for bringing this to my attention.
To me whats the most relavent record is how it has done since he started posting this system(when people actually started playing this system) and I'm pretty certain its a winning record. and that is all that should matter to anybody but I still will say that number is irrelavent too since tomorrow will be another day with no guarentees.
Now if you want to bring up the fact that this system wont last and we need to quit while we are ahead is a different story because I do believe this will all even out as you keep playing plays and eventually becoming a system that probably will win somewhere in the 47-53% range. I hope im wrong but the law of averages suggests I'm going to be right(which is very rare).
This is why I cap myself to 3 consecutive non-profit days and quit at this point.
BUT LETS HOPE THIS SYSTEM WILL BE A HUGE MONEY MAKER NOT ONLY THIS SEASON BUT MANY MORE SEASONS TO COME!!!
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Posted:
#429
john - I think the problem with your calculations could be that you included PK and +0.5, or just that you took a much larger sample so as stated before it is naturally going to be closer to 50%
Either way... Props to SportsProfit for identifying this system and helping us all make some money
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Posted:
#431
Quote Originally Posted by Johnbongo:
See post 27, states dogs from PK to +2.5 should be bets. Doesn't say anything about +0.5 but I don't see any logical reason why that wouldn't be a bet also....
See post 27, states dogs from PK to +2.5 should be bets. Doesn't say anything about +0.5 but I don't see any logical reason why that wouldn't be a bet also....
Here's a logical reason: there's no such thing as +0.5 for a full game, since there are no ties. However, thanks for running the numbers.
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Posted:
#440
Quote Originally Posted by PLAYAAAA1969:
0-5 Mon - Tues ..
0-5 Mon - Tues ..
?? i got 1-4....one more day for this system for me...even if I lose all the plays tomorrow, I will be up HUGE with this system so BOL to everyone tomorrow, win or lose, I will be a happy camper thanks to sportsprofit!!
THANKS AGAIN SPORTSPROFIT!!
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Posted:
#441
Quote Originally Posted by Johnbongo:
I am not hating here guys, just want to state some facts. I have made some good coin over the last couple of weeks on this thread and became intrigued.
I am not hating here guys, just want to state some facts. I have made some good coin over the last couple of weeks on this thread and became intrigued.
I have some spare time on my hands right now, so I went back to the start of the season on this system an ran the "as-if" record, unfortunately it's not close to the record stated in this thread.
Since Dec 25th, there have been a total of 191 bets that fit this system, both favs (-3, -3.5, and -4) and dogs (PK to +2.5), the record on these bets has been 104-87, so 54.45%.
I got the info from the Covers scoreboard which shows closing lines for all major books and the 1Q scores for each game. Granted, some books vary in final lines, but this won't make up for the swing in record that is being claimed.
Again, not hating, just want to point out some facts, I get a lot of useful info from this site and hoping some of you find this useful.
If I am wrong, then please feel free to explain, but pretty sure if you spend the time and run the results yourself you will come up with the same result
Peace
Where did you get your historical data? I want to add Nation Televised Games to the equation!
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