~ 2026 NBA Playoffs ~

@Wizerguy

I remember you posted your scenarios a few years ago.  I've been following them ever since.  Good luck, and thanks Wizer!

@Wizerguy

@nmgolf57

  Thanks bro

Tuesday 4/21

Detroit _Houston ML Parlay

Boston -14

Portland +12.5

Wed 4/22

Detroit -8 

Phoenix +17.5

Looks like  NBA playoff Strategy #1 & #2 came through tonight. 

_Thur 4/23

Toronto +3 Hammer ..pending ( Strategy #5) ( will post Strategy #2A, 3 & 4 from the book and #5 & #6 ( my own personal) strategies tomorrow.

Atlanta ML (-120) Hammer

Toronto ML +130 Hammer

Detroit ML_ Toronto +4.5 Hammer

Adding for Thur 4/23

Denver ML (-135) Hammer ( This play fits my #6 Zig Zag Strategy ( which I will post later) which is in concert with my capping of this game )

@Wizerguy

 Thank you sooooooo much for taking the time to post the AMAZING strategies Wizerguy!  BOL today... 

Great work Wizer. Appreciate the insights 

@Asianhottie

 You're welcome friend.

@marscaps

 No problem

Strategy #2A

   Play the visiting underdog in game 2 of a series if they lost game one by a margin of 14-19 pts.

By reducing the margin of the blowout, we automatcally increase our number of plays for this strategy.

Combining Strategies #2 and #2A offers a significant high % win rate. I would even consider a loss of 12-19 pts similar to what we had witnessed this past week with Minnesota +7.5 and Portland +11.5, not only covering the spread but winning the game stra8 up

Strategy # 3

   Winning a 5th and deciding 1st round game on their home court. They were all either the #1 or #2 seeds facing, of course, the #7 or #8 seeded squads.What would you think the chances of a highy seeded home team was of winning a 5th and deciding game ?. I myself would consider it very high, like a 90% chance or better

   The point is that there is not much of a chance of the better squad, on their home court, getting eliminated from the playoffs. They may not cover the pointsprraed, but they will win the game at least 90% of the time. 

   This is not one of my favorite strategies. It all depends on what the point spread ( more ideal a short line)  or combining with another squad in the same scenario in a ML parlay.

Great info Wizer

BOL tonight my friend 

thank you sir

@HDROADKING1998

 You're welcome ! 

Thanks guys

Strategy #4

   Do you remember the NBA Playoff Strategy #2 where we took the visiting underdog in game 2 after they were blown out in game 1. This next strategy is just a mirror of that situation but it just happens later in the series, specifically in game 4

  Play on the visiting team in game 4 of any series if they were blown out by the home team in game 3 by 20 or more points

Strategy #5 ( My own personal strategy from experience with this situation over the past several years)

   Play on the home team in game 3 of any series if they lost game 1 & 2 on the road straight up and ATS. However, dont follow it blindly. Handicapp both teams last 3-4 games home / away stats ie PF - PA / FG % / 3pt% etc, Compute a predicted score using the high /low method with the road teams last 4 road games.This is done by taking the higest score and the lowest score on the offense in that 4 game road series and eliminate them. Then take the other 2 offensive scores add them together and divided by 2. That will give you an educated guess on the average score of how the team has performed recently on the road called a " Recent Form Model" Perform the same calculation with that teams defense. To tighten things up, use last 3 games as well. Both queries should basically be the same. 

  Use the same method to calculate the home teams average offense and defensive scoring. Once you have the average offense and defensive scoring of both clubs. Take the road teams offense and add the home teams defense and subtract 100 ( which is the theoretically the average score of an NBA team) Thats the road teams predicted score on offense. Use the same method with the home team. This will give you a margin of victory and a prediction on the winner and the loser and can be used to base your line on. Of course this not fool proof, but what else what do we have to go by other than what has actually taken place..

   We also use Massey ratings to calculate road teams and home teams last 3-4 opponents ratings ( recent form), then compute an average on that which is another story. This will give you the caliber of competition in Team A's and Team B's 3-4 recent road or home games which ever the case may be

Strategy #6  ( Zig Zag method) My own personal strategy

Take the higher seeded team on the road in game 3 that is off a game 2 home loss. Game must also be handicapped properly checking last 3-4 road stats, and 3-4 home stats for their opponent.  Also go back in the schedule to see how this team has fared in that opponents venue.

Play on Denver ML 

Thursday 4/23

Atlanta ML Hammer

Toronto +3 Hammer

Toronto ML +130 Hammer

Detroit ML _ Toronto +4.5 Hammer

Denver ML Hammer ...pending

Denver ML Hammer

7-1 last 8..not bad  / Hammers 4-1 last 5

@Wizerguy

 Heating up!!!.....Wizer....Rockets tomorrow....