1 month before engagement

Money management is everything, and of course picking the right plays, LOL. Im sure if you stay disciplined and you start making profit, her view might change. GL on everything buddy, bet what you can afford, dont worry about what people outside of your circles thinks, GET MONEY

Thanks guys but yes money management is truly KEY.  And Mileszona, hopefully I can afford tinfoil by that time. lol

-Picks for 2/2/2012   1-1 record

-ATL-4
(I really hate how this year's games are compact and the trend seems to show that when a road team comes home they get drilled however I will have to bet the opposite of that trend because of my faith in ATL's home court play and record at (8-1) and Memphis' lack of production on the road as well as their record (4-7)  I predict that ATL will win however I am hoping that they will cover the 4 points)

-POR-3.5
(POR killed the cats by 40+ points last night and though I didn't watch the game I would assume that some starters got some rest (can anyone confirm this?) so they should be off to a fast start tonight.  They are not a great road team at only 3-8 however half of those losses were 5 pts or less.  Sac has not been playing their best basketball and have lost the last 5 games with a few games that was close however I think POR will cover the 3.5 pts)

-Other thoughts - I really thought DEN would get some points but because it's a pickem game I'm just watching tonight.  I wouldn't be surprised if someone picked over 207pts in this game and won.

Ooo what a tough loss.  I guess the trend of laying an egg at home after a road trip continues. ATL let me down tonight.

if you're only gonna play favorites, just stop now and buy some cracker jack

True, I do tend to look at favorite's first but it's not my logic when picking.  It's that I truly feel that the dogs will not be able to catch up is when I make my leans and picks.  It happened to be that the ones I have picked so far were favs.

Fade my picks fellaz.  The lady's getting a tinfoil ring.

Let's bounce back tomorrow hopefully.

2/3/2012 Picks  1-3 so far

CLE+8 -1U
(CLE is a good team on the road and I think they will run close with a poor struggling ORL team.  Trade talks seems to be what's on the mind of ORL fans and I wonder if any of it's being rubbed off on the team.  Either way hope CLE stays close or win SU)

MIA/PHI U 193 - 1U
(Both these teams are ranked well in Offense however I believe the better defensive team tonight will be the winner. PHI is rated number 1 in points allowed which will counter's Miami's 2nd rank in PPG.  Both teams will guard the perimeter well so I can see this game being a lower scoring game.) 

record so far. 2-3-1

Poor shooting from Irving and a horrible 3rd quarter killed the Cavs.  Glad they picked up momentum and at least covered the line.  1 more free throw and I could have done well tonight.  O well, tomorrow's a new day.

Slight Leans for Saturday: Port -6.5 ; OKC +3 ; NYK -6

In my opinion NYK is giving a little too much considering that they are still gelling (sort of) and OKC+3 is a little suspicious to me despite SAS's record at At&t center.  Any thoughts welcomed. 

Still looking at over / unders.

 GOODLUCK with your bets

Thank you Jackmenis. 

2/4/2012 bets  2-3-1

NYK-6
(Can be considered a tricky play but NYK has lost their last two at home only by marginal and I can almost guarantee that Morrow will not pit anywhere near 42 points again tonight for the Nets who are also without some important starters.  I say NYK will need this home win tonight and will bang on the nets to do so)

POR-6
(Seems like the line has moved a half since I last posted but this play to me sounds reasonable because of the b2b2b that Denver has had to endure.  I'm hoping for POR to provide good D at the garden against a tired DEN team, especially by 4th quarter)

Might be sorry plays but these two are good home picks for me.  Good luck guys.

2-0 today

Carmello was horrible today but glad that Lin took over.  POR killed Denver.  You can tell DEN had tired legs. 

Taking tomorrow off as both games do not excite me much.  If I had to lean I would say Celtics-4 at home against the Grizz.

Good Luck those who are betting tomorrow.

Early Leans tomorrow for 2/6/2012

NJN+9 , DEN -7, HAWK -7.5, (POR+1 is a little suspicious to me but if this lines does not move much, I might have to place a small bet on the Garden boys)

2/6/2012 bets  4-3-1 total

POR +1.5 .5unit

(POR is at +1.5 now so the lined moved against me.  Does Vegas know something we all don't?  I think I'm going to take a smaller bet and place it on the Garden boys tonight.)

DEN / HOU U 208.5
(Though both a high scoring team,but 208.5 is harder to reach if defense steps up at all during any quarter.  I say they reach closer to 205)

PHI - 4
(Though Lakers have won their last two roads games they are still a bad road team thus the 4 extra points.  I think PHI will hand it to them on their home court and will cover by 2 if not more possessions.)

Other thoughts:
Decided not to touch the HAWK's game due to injuries, and I think it may be hard to cover 7 points even though at home against a poor Phoenix team.

Decided not to play NJN with morrow out to be safe.  Morrow is probably 2nd or 3rd scorer on an already injured NJN team so not sure if they can keep up with the Bulls.  I'm almost thinking the game will be under 189.

These threads are so freakin stupid its really beyond comprehension. Who gives a freakin rats ass about your picks or your idiot life and if you are such a box to not gamble because you are getting married you are more stupid than I thought.

Also no one on here I promise you gives a rats ass about your picks. That Atlanta pick alone showed how poor you are at handicapping. You need to just tail the good cappers because I promise you that you are going to lose. Take this as some advice so maybe you wont lose the couple of hundred you have in your bankroll.

Save your money.

lol you guys are funny.  I didn't know you I can hurt someone by writing some picks and keeping a thread online.  So elementary. Who care's if I am a bad capper, At least I'm not registering just to post stupid threads and then never be seen again.  This is more of a thread just for me to see how I do in a month's time.  Don't look if you are bothered by it, and please fade if they are bad picks.  I'm always willing to learn so good criticisms are welcomed.

Don't listen to the haters,

 

put in the research, don't give in to the "easy" plays.

 

Less plays = less losses

Find a winner, hit it, win it.

Thanks CoverLane for the encouragement.  Yeah I do try not to look at too many bets and usually try to focus on the ones I feel the best about. 

Well looks like I hit two tonight and still have to wait until the other finishes.  Hope POR speeds up and takes charge. I got an early job interview tomorrow so I must get some rest.  Good night fellas.  Hope I wake up to 3-0 tomorrow. 

Won't have time to see the rest of the lines tomorrow but I'm gonna lean PHX tomorrow.  PHX has been playing better but it's also Redd's return to MIL so I hope he get some playing time and shoot lights out against his old boys.

Saw the replay of the last quarter and that goaltending call was bogus.  That alone could have been the reason alone OKC won last night. 

2/7/2012 bets  6-4-1 total

PHX+7
(I'm still picking PHX despite MIL's good record at home and PHX poor record on road.  PHX has been playing better, winning last two road games and now at MIL it's Redd coming home so I hope he will shoot lights out and get more playing time.  I think PHX will cover here)

CLE +13
(CLE has been a good covering team especially against big teams.  This may not be a factor anymore but I still think CLE holds some grudge against their former big star.  13 points is a lot to cover for Miami also with bigger games to look forward to in the next week.  I'm looking for CLE to stay close all game and/or make a run in 4th quarter)  Wouldn't be surprised if someone bet on MIA in the first quarter and win though.

Other thoughts:
GSW+2.5 (I wonder if this is a trap play.  OKC has won the last 6-8 games against GSW with their last one beating them in double digits.  With OKC's good road record they should be favored by at least 5 points.  Not touching this game but if I did I would almost feel like I would have to go against OKC just for the suspicion of a trap play)

DAnG!!  CLE settled for jumpshots in the last few minutes.  What a stupid way to lose the cover, it's as if they knew the amount to lose by.  Did well until the last few possessions. 

PHX did what I thought they did, win SU.  Redd had limited time but could have easily gone over 20 points if he at least made some of his 3's. 

post a picture of your lady!