ML: 65-60, -4.43 units RL: 32-31-6, -2.29 units TT: 86-80, -2.44 units OU: 64-53-8, +3.26 units FH SIDE: 0-0, +0.00 units FH OU: 0-0, +0.00 units FH TT: 0-0, +0.00 units MIX: 0-1, -1.00 units PROP: 0-0, +0.00 units RFI: 0-0, +0.00 units FI SIDE: 0-0, +0.00 units TOTAL: 247-225-13, -6.83 units
Rays Team Total Over 3.5, -126 Marlins/Rays Over 7, -118
As always, GL to all.
3
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
9-6, +2.00 yesterday.
All plays are 1 unit unless otherwise noted.
ML: 65-60, -4.43 units RL: 32-31-6, -2.29 units TT: 86-80, -2.44 units OU: 64-53-8, +3.26 units FH SIDE: 0-0, +0.00 units FH OU: 0-0, +0.00 units FH TT: 0-0, +0.00 units MIX: 0-1, -1.00 units PROP: 0-0, +0.00 units RFI: 0-0, +0.00 units FI SIDE: 0-0, +0.00 units TOTAL: 247-225-13, -6.83 units
Rays Team Total Over 3.5, -126 Marlins/Rays Over 7, -118
Game Analysis: San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics (May 17, 2026) The San Francisco Giants (19-27, .413) face the Athletics (23-22, .511) on May 17, 2026, at Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento. This is the third and deciding game of the series. On Friday, the Athletics won 5-2; on Saturday, the Giants won 6-4. The odds on under 9.5 and over 9.5 are identical at -110. The total line is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than the MLB season average (approximately 8.7 runs per game). The purpose of this analysis is to determine which side of the total – under or over – offers higher expected value. Adrian Houser (San Francisco Giants) – Right-Hander In his last start (May 13 against the Dodgers), Houser delivered a quality outing: 5.2 innings, 2 earned runs, a win. His earlier starts were disastrous – May 6 against San Diego: 4.1 innings, 5 earned runs. His advanced metrics are alarming. His xFIP of 4.85 is slightly better than his ERA, but still poor. His K/9 is only 6.2, and his BB/9 is 3.9. Houser doesn't strike out many batters and walks too many. Jeffrey Springs (Athletics) – Left-Hander In his last start (May 13 against St. Louis), Springs lost 6-4 but wasn't terrible: 5.1 innings, 4 earned runs. Earlier, on May 3 against Cleveland, he won 7-1 after 6 innings with 1 earned run. His advanced metrics are solid – xFIP of 3.95, K/9 of 8.7, BB/9 of 2.8. Springs has good control and can strike batters out. Springs is returning from Tommy John surgery in 2024 and is gradually regaining form. His best start this season was April 15 against Texas: 6 innings, 1 earned run. Starting Pitcher Verdict: Slight advantage to Springs, but both starters are run-prone. Houser (5.79 ERA) is one of the worst starters in the National League. Springs (4.22 ERA) is average. This is not a duo that suggests a low-scoring game. San Francisco Giants The Giants' bullpen is one of the worst in the National League. Matt Gage (1 save, ERA approx. 3.50) and Sean Hjelle (ERA approx. 4.00) are average options. Ryan Walker (ERA approx. 3.80) and Tyler Rogers (ERA approx. 4.20) are not elite. In Saturday's game, the Giants used Kilian (0.2 innings, 3 earned runs – disastrous), Gage (1 scoreless inning), and likely others. The bullpen is slightly tired but not exhausted. Athletics The Athletics' bullpen is better. Joel Kuhnel (ERA approx. 3.00), Hogan Harris (3 saves, ERA approx. 3.20), and Austin Adams (ERA approx. 3.50) are solid options. Bullpen Verdict: Slight advantage to the Athletics, but neither bullpen is elite enough to guarantee a low score. Both bullpens have ERAs above 3.80. The three sources below all point in the same direction: OVER 9.5. Adrian Houser is represented by Excel Sports Management, one of the largest agencies in baseball. Strangely, Houser has a 5.79 ERA this season, and his games average 11.2 runs per game. According to an anonymous source from a casino in Reno You can read the rest on my website: victorypicks.eu/premium Password for the premium section: Langeo Analysis prepared based on public data (MLB.com, Baseball Reference, FanGraphs, ESPN) and non-public information from anonymous sources within MLB organizations, betting firms, and the financial sector. Date: May 17, 2026.
Scott, did you include this in your capping?
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Quote Originally Posted by Hummerwell:
Game Analysis: San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics (May 17, 2026) The San Francisco Giants (19-27, .413) face the Athletics (23-22, .511) on May 17, 2026, at Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento. This is the third and deciding game of the series. On Friday, the Athletics won 5-2; on Saturday, the Giants won 6-4. The odds on under 9.5 and over 9.5 are identical at -110. The total line is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than the MLB season average (approximately 8.7 runs per game). The purpose of this analysis is to determine which side of the total – under or over – offers higher expected value. Adrian Houser (San Francisco Giants) – Right-Hander In his last start (May 13 against the Dodgers), Houser delivered a quality outing: 5.2 innings, 2 earned runs, a win. His earlier starts were disastrous – May 6 against San Diego: 4.1 innings, 5 earned runs. His advanced metrics are alarming. His xFIP of 4.85 is slightly better than his ERA, but still poor. His K/9 is only 6.2, and his BB/9 is 3.9. Houser doesn't strike out many batters and walks too many. Jeffrey Springs (Athletics) – Left-Hander In his last start (May 13 against St. Louis), Springs lost 6-4 but wasn't terrible: 5.1 innings, 4 earned runs. Earlier, on May 3 against Cleveland, he won 7-1 after 6 innings with 1 earned run. His advanced metrics are solid – xFIP of 3.95, K/9 of 8.7, BB/9 of 2.8. Springs has good control and can strike batters out. Springs is returning from Tommy John surgery in 2024 and is gradually regaining form. His best start this season was April 15 against Texas: 6 innings, 1 earned run. Starting Pitcher Verdict: Slight advantage to Springs, but both starters are run-prone. Houser (5.79 ERA) is one of the worst starters in the National League. Springs (4.22 ERA) is average. This is not a duo that suggests a low-scoring game. San Francisco Giants The Giants' bullpen is one of the worst in the National League. Matt Gage (1 save, ERA approx. 3.50) and Sean Hjelle (ERA approx. 4.00) are average options. Ryan Walker (ERA approx. 3.80) and Tyler Rogers (ERA approx. 4.20) are not elite. In Saturday's game, the Giants used Kilian (0.2 innings, 3 earned runs – disastrous), Gage (1 scoreless inning), and likely others. The bullpen is slightly tired but not exhausted. Athletics The Athletics' bullpen is better. Joel Kuhnel (ERA approx. 3.00), Hogan Harris (3 saves, ERA approx. 3.20), and Austin Adams (ERA approx. 3.50) are solid options. Bullpen Verdict: Slight advantage to the Athletics, but neither bullpen is elite enough to guarantee a low score. Both bullpens have ERAs above 3.80. The three sources below all point in the same direction: OVER 9.5. Adrian Houser is represented by Excel Sports Management, one of the largest agencies in baseball. Strangely, Houser has a 5.79 ERA this season, and his games average 11.2 runs per game. According to an anonymous source from a casino in Reno You can read the rest on my website: victorypicks.eu/premium Password for the premium section: Langeo Analysis prepared based on public data (MLB.com, Baseball Reference, FanGraphs, ESPN) and non-public information from anonymous sources within MLB organizations, betting firms, and the financial sector. Date: May 17, 2026.
Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672: Quote Originally Posted by emoltzan: Scott, did you include this in your capping? ??? Weeble, what is with this guys weird posts to you. Like i met you and your dad at the game???????? You might have a stalker, lollll.
*shrug*
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Quote Originally Posted by cd329:
Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672: Quote Originally Posted by emoltzan: Scott, did you include this in your capping? ??? Weeble, what is with this guys weird posts to you. Like i met you and your dad at the game???????? You might have a stalker, lollll.
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