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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    UNDERDOG SYSTEM

    «First Previous 345 ... 202122 Next Last»
    Denverb
    edbd
    Flashgordon22
    radunham
    QBUN
    ...
    Participants:
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    «First Previous 345 ... 202122 Next Last»
     
    Denverb
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2012 - 2:44 PM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by qbbearcat:

    I like the idea behind this system but seems like it would be hard to keep making a profit in the long run unless you keep avoiding sweeps.  As an example if you hit your first 6 series all on the first game and go up 6U or so...if that 7th series is a sweep you lose 7U and then all your profits go away.  It's great if you can keep avoiding sweeps but my only point is it doesn't take very many to make your profits disappear quickly.


    This is partly true you just have to have the bankroll and the balls to make it work.

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    Quote Originally Posted by qbbearcat:

    I like the idea behind this system but seems like it would be hard to keep making a profit in the long run unless you keep avoiding sweeps.  As an example if you hit your first 6 series all on the first game and go up 6U or so...if that 7th series is a sweep you lose 7U and then all your profits go away.  It's great if you can keep avoiding sweeps but my only point is it doesn't take very many to make your profits disappear quickly.


    This is partly true you just have to have the bankroll and the balls to make it work.

     
    edbd
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2012 - 2:45 PM ET #52

    Semperfi19,

    Let me get this straight you lost Seattle in the first game so did you come back with them the next game and double you play to make a profit?  If they lose the second game do you just try to get even or make a profit in the final game?  Thank you if you can clarify the system already for your plays this year.
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    Semperfi19,

    Let me get this straight you lost Seattle in the first game so did you come back with them the next game and double you play to make a profit?  If they lose the second game do you just try to get even or make a profit in the final game?  Thank you if you can clarify the system already for your plays this year.
     
    Flashgordon22
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2012 - 3:21 PM ET #53

    I like it I'll follow along  BOL
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    I like it I'll follow along  BOL
     
    radunham
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 10:00 AM ET #54

    Can't wait to see your series picks for the weekend! 

    I like the early leans on the A's, Angels, and Brewers.

    BOL

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    Can't wait to see your series picks for the weekend! 

    I like the early leans on the A's, Angels, and Brewers.

    BOL

     
    QBUN
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 10:06 AM ET #55

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    semperfi19
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 11:32 AM ET #56

    Quote Originally Posted by BigWaveDave:

    Semperfi19,

    Remember you from the other site that a previous member here went to.................
    What was the record for the chases last season??

    Good Luck and continued success this year and beyond.

     

    Big Wave,

    LY was profitbable....I do not sell my picks so I did not keep exact records nor did I post all my plays from last year.   As you know posting takes time and I did not post all my plays so me putting up my undocumented record would be pointless.  It would open me up to way too much scrutiny and I am not going there. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by BigWaveDave:

    Semperfi19,

    Remember you from the other site that a previous member here went to.................
    What was the record for the chases last season??

    Good Luck and continued success this year and beyond.

     

    Big Wave,

    LY was profitbable....I do not sell my picks so I did not keep exact records nor did I post all my plays from last year.   As you know posting takes time and I did not post all my plays so me putting up my undocumented record would be pointless.  It would open me up to way too much scrutiny and I am not going there. 

     
    wank2
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 11:37 AM ET #57

    Dial'em up Semperfi
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    Dial'em up Semperfi
     
    semperfi19
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 11:43 AM ET #58

    Quote Originally Posted by qbbearcat:

    I like the idea behind this system but seems like it would be hard to keep making a profit in the long run unless you keep avoiding sweeps.  As an example if you hit your first 6 series all on the first game and go up 6U or so...if that 7th series is a sweep you lose 7U and then all your profits go away.  It's great if you can keep avoiding sweeps but my only point is it doesn't take very many to make your profits disappear quickly.

    You are correct.  Like Denverb said there is a money management side to this as well.  Several times last year I did not play the game 3 based on the first two games.  That third bet is a bitch for sure.  I like to try and avoid BET 3 like the plague.  So I really focus on games 1&2 in every series. Game 3 bets takes big balls for sure. Good Luck.

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    Quote Originally Posted by qbbearcat:

    I like the idea behind this system but seems like it would be hard to keep making a profit in the long run unless you keep avoiding sweeps.  As an example if you hit your first 6 series all on the first game and go up 6U or so...if that 7th series is a sweep you lose 7U and then all your profits go away.  It's great if you can keep avoiding sweeps but my only point is it doesn't take very many to make your profits disappear quickly.

    You are correct.  Like Denverb said there is a money management side to this as well.  Several times last year I did not play the game 3 based on the first two games.  That third bet is a bitch for sure.  I like to try and avoid BET 3 like the plague.  So I really focus on games 1&2 in every series. Game 3 bets takes big balls for sure. Good Luck.

     
    semperfi19
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 11:55 AM ET #59

    YTD SERIES RECORD  5-0 + 530

    OVERALL    5-3

    Straight plays  0-2, -100

    Let's move to Series #6 and #7.

    #6  LA Angels  +145..  Bet 1....100 to win 145....If this goes to a bet 2, the Angels will most likely be a fav with CJ Wilson vs Hughes, so get ready to lay the juice if necessary.  Game 3 Willams vs Nova the Yanks will be favored and I like the match up there.   

    #7  Indians  +115....Bet 1  100 to win 115....Love the game 2 and 3 matchups if needed.  Game 3 the Tribe might be fav as well.

     

    May add 1 or 2 later...Good Luck Boys!

    THunter (R)
    at Tor
    BMorrow (R)
    JHammel (R)
    at Tor
    HAlvarez (R)
    BMatusz (L)
    at Tor
    KDrabek (R)

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    YTD SERIES RECORD  5-0 + 530

    OVERALL    5-3

    Straight plays  0-2, -100

    Let's move to Series #6 and #7.

    #6  LA Angels  +145..  Bet 1....100 to win 145....If this goes to a bet 2, the Angels will most likely be a fav with CJ Wilson vs Hughes, so get ready to lay the juice if necessary.  Game 3 Willams vs Nova the Yanks will be favored and I like the match up there.   

    #7  Indians  +115....Bet 1  100 to win 115....Love the game 2 and 3 matchups if needed.  Game 3 the Tribe might be fav as well.

     

    May add 1 or 2 later...Good Luck Boys!

    THunter (R)
    at Tor
    BMorrow (R)
    JHammel (R)
    at Tor
    HAlvarez (R)
    BMatusz (L)
    at Tor
    KDrabek (R)

     
    QBUN
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 11:58 AM ET #60

    love it!!! stay in the fight!!!!
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    love it!!! stay in the fight!!!!
     
    semperfi19
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 12:00 PM ET #61

    The bottom of my thread has something that I was testing and it worked but did not realize it worked...  I may do that for every series moving forward..I was looking hard at Baltimore but just can' t trust it at this point.  One angle I look at are teams going on the road after getting swept at home.  Baltimore fits that scenario, just think Toronto has a 65/35 chance at sweep based on my numbers.. so I passed. 
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    The bottom of my thread has something that I was testing and it worked but did not realize it worked...  I may do that for every series moving forward..I was looking hard at Baltimore but just can' t trust it at this point.  One angle I look at are teams going on the road after getting swept at home.  Baltimore fits that scenario, just think Toronto has a 65/35 chance at sweep based on my numbers.. so I passed. 
     
    QBUN
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 12:04 PM ET #62

    plenty of bases left..no need to press
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    plenty of bases left..no need to press
     
    bikemcr
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 12:11 PM ET #63

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    radunham
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 12:51 PM ET #64

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    semperfi19
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 2:43 PM ET #65

    Quote Originally Posted by edbd:

    Semperfi19,

    Let me get this straight you lost Seattle in the first game so did you come back with them the next game and double you play to make a profit?  If they lose the second game do you just try to get even or make a profit in the final game?  Thank you if you can clarify the system already for your plays this year.

     

    Seattle was a one game play only  against Darvish if you look at my post, it was not a series bet.....The breakdown for the year is that we have one 3 series in game one, and 1 win ea in gaeme 2 and game 3  for a 5-0 record....just read the thread and you can find out where each series ws won.

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    Quote Originally Posted by edbd:

    Semperfi19,

    Let me get this straight you lost Seattle in the first game so did you come back with them the next game and double you play to make a profit?  If they lose the second game do you just try to get even or make a profit in the final game?  Thank you if you can clarify the system already for your plays this year.

     

    Seattle was a one game play only  against Darvish if you look at my post, it was not a series bet.....The breakdown for the year is that we have one 3 series in game one, and 1 win ea in gaeme 2 and game 3  for a 5-0 record....just read the thread and you can find out where each series ws won.

     
    QBUN
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 2:48 PM ET #66

    LAA game #2 it is...
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    LAA game #2 it is...
     
    semperfi19
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 2:49 PM ET #67

    ADDING TWO SERIES THAT START LATER TONIGHT

     

    #8  PIRATES    +160     BET 1   100 to win 160

    #9  A's +140                 BET 1   100 to win 140

     

    GOOD LUCK ...4 plays for the weekend. 

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    ADDING TWO SERIES THAT START LATER TONIGHT

     

    #8  PIRATES    +160     BET 1   100 to win 160

    #9  A's +140                 BET 1   100 to win 140

     

    GOOD LUCK ...4 plays for the weekend. 

     
    QBUN
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 2:56 PM ET #68

    sweetGL
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    sweetGL
     
    Denverb
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 3:00 PM ET #69

    Decided to go with Mil, Tb and Clev

    GL Guys
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    Decided to go with Mil, Tb and Clev

    GL Guys
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 3:51 PM ET #70

    GL this wkd...hope you hit em' all in game 1!!
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    GL this wkd...hope you hit em' all in game 1!!
     
    bikemcr
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 7:53 PM ET #71

    Great call McShady on your Cubs pick .
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    Great call McShady on your Cubs pick .
     
    willwrig
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 7:58 PM ET #72

    Like PIT Great start to the year Semperfi
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    Like PIT Great start to the year Semperfi
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2012 - 8:29 AM ET #73

    bikemr...good to see ya back at the chase! 

    Semperfi...thx for the easy Tribe winner!
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    bikemr...good to see ya back at the chase! 

    Semperfi...thx for the easy Tribe winner!
     
    bikemcr
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2012 - 9:15 AM ET #74

    McShady : BOL to you this year . I always appreciate your contribution to this thread .
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    McShady : BOL to you this year . I always appreciate your contribution to this thread .
     
     
    LittleMacc
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2012 - 9:19 AM ET #75

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