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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    UNDERDOG SYSTEM

    «First Previous 111213 ... 202122 Next Last»
    Daddiojoe
    padre16
    McShady
    DoublePsycho
    curtis07
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 79478
    Posts: 535
    «First Previous 111213 ... 202122 Next Last»
     
    Daddiojoe
    Daddiojoe
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 1:32 PM ET #251

    Is there a website that I can go to and print off the upcoming series with expected starters or do you just piecemeal the info together ?

    Thanks.

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    Is there a website that I can go to and print off the upcoming series with expected starters or do you just piecemeal the info together ?

    Thanks.

     
    padre16
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 1:42 PM ET #252

    Hey McShady,

    one last thing on yesterday's Cubs/Marlins play:

    the system continued to the last (3rd) game in the series. as you know, the cubs lost that one as well.

    now, the cubs' motivation was to avoid the sweep. as well, the marlins were still hot.  if this was the case heading into the game, wouldn't the better play had been the over in 5 innings?  i know it's hindsight, however i'm just trying to make a note for the future:

    math:

    3rd game highly-motivated underdog seeking to avoid the sweep

                      PLUS

    hot team

                     EQUALS

    Over for first 5 innings.

    your thoughts, sir.

     

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    Hey McShady,

    one last thing on yesterday's Cubs/Marlins play:

    the system continued to the last (3rd) game in the series. as you know, the cubs lost that one as well.

    now, the cubs' motivation was to avoid the sweep. as well, the marlins were still hot.  if this was the case heading into the game, wouldn't the better play had been the over in 5 innings?  i know it's hindsight, however i'm just trying to make a note for the future:

    math:

    3rd game highly-motivated underdog seeking to avoid the sweep

                      PLUS

    hot team

                     EQUALS

    Over for first 5 innings.

    your thoughts, sir.

     

     
    McShady
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 2:01 PM ET #253

    Daddio...MLB.com then pick a teams 'sortable schedule'. Matchups for the series are there. 

    Padre...I say yes if starter ERA and Underdog team tends to the Over. But an example is you will see teams like Pirates, Mariners, etc in a sweep situation and post a final 2-1 most often. They can pitch, but lack the runs. Teams don't "like" being swept. They don't necessarily care about putting a game over the total. Too many variables IMO
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    Daddio...MLB.com then pick a teams 'sortable schedule'. Matchups for the series are there. 

    Padre...I say yes if starter ERA and Underdog team tends to the Over. But an example is you will see teams like Pirates, Mariners, etc in a sweep situation and post a final 2-1 most often. They can pitch, but lack the runs. Teams don't "like" being swept. They don't necessarily care about putting a game over the total. Too many variables IMO
     
    padre16
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 2:37 PM ET #254

    Thanks, McShady.

    in the 3rd game, we are seeing the 3rd starter in the rotation, not necessarily the better pitchers.  tendency is for runs to be scored.  just a thought in favor of overs for the first 5 innings.

     

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    Thanks, McShady.

    in the 3rd game, we are seeing the 3rd starter in the rotation, not necessarily the better pitchers.  tendency is for runs to be scored.  just a thought in favor of overs for the first 5 innings.

     

     
    McShady
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 2:41 PM ET #255

    Let's go REDLEGS!
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    Let's go REDLEGS!
     
    DoublePsycho
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 3:03 PM ET #256

    BOL Semperfi I'm liking the O's today on just a regular play
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    BOL Semperfi I'm liking the O's today on just a regular play
     
    curtis07
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 3:05 PM ET #257

    semperfi19 and mcshady, you guy are great honest and smart. please dont let the questioning or the other bs take away from your time to keep this system going, love these two series
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    semperfi19 and mcshady, you guy are great honest and smart. please dont let the questioning or the other bs take away from your time to keep this system going, love these two series
     
    Tad
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 3:47 PM ET #258

    Looks good. Loving it so far.

    But, no one answered my one question about using the series odds though. What do you do with those? Anything?

    Thanks.

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    Looks good. Loving it so far.

    But, no one answered my one question about using the series odds though. What do you do with those? Anything?

    Thanks.

     
    ShadowWarrior
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 3:57 PM ET #259

    Thanks Semper for posted 231 and 232, new concept in wagering for me and I don't think my local even has this type of wagering but it is intriguing to say the least.  Will be following and may jump in on games from time to time.  Only fun for me.
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    Thanks Semper for posted 231 and 232, new concept in wagering for me and I don't think my local even has this type of wagering but it is intriguing to say the least.  Will be following and may jump in on games from time to time.  Only fun for me.
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 3:59 PM ET #260

    Hey sorry Tad...We use the Series odds as a way of Oddsmakers "tipping" their hat on what kind of odds will be posted for individual games. Ex: if a team Series Odds are +155, I expect them to be the dog for each game. Kinda of a way of not being juiced on the final game by surprise.
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    Hey sorry Tad...We use the Series odds as a way of Oddsmakers "tipping" their hat on what kind of odds will be posted for individual games. Ex: if a team Series Odds are +155, I expect them to be the dog for each game. Kinda of a way of not being juiced on the final game by surprise.
     
    ShadowWarrior
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 4:15 PM ET #261

    I see your thinking as LAA is probably too crappy to sweep and St. L. Is probably unable and the dogs you are backing are not that bad.  Do you win anything if Baltimore sweeps, or would your last bet be on Angels if Baltimore wins the first two games?  To prevent the sweep?  Seems like you can probably hedge also?  Sorry if my questions are not making sense.
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    I see your thinking as LAA is probably too crappy to sweep and St. L. Is probably unable and the dogs you are backing are not that bad.  Do you win anything if Baltimore sweeps, or would your last bet be on Angels if Baltimore wins the first two games?  To prevent the sweep?  Seems like you can probably hedge also?  Sorry if my questions are not making sense.
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 4:20 PM ET #262

    I hear ya now Shadow, we are not waging on a Series Price. We are betting on one team playing individual games each day til they win during a 3 game series. You follow?
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    I hear ya now Shadow, we are not waging on a Series Price. We are betting on one team playing individual games each day til they win during a 3 game series. You follow?
     
    ShadowWarrior
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 5:04 PM ET #263

    I think so and thanks a lot!
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    I think so and thanks a lot!
     
    kevin_ngxxx
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 5:59 PM ET #264

    GL guys
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    GL guys
     
    Deetch2123
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 6:37 PM ET #265

    Do the royals fit the system?
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    Do the royals fit the system?
     
    bikemcr
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 7:33 PM ET #266

    Reds  Another good call McShady . 7-0 now with no game 3s and only one game 2 .  Good luck on the White Sox .
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    Reds  Another good call McShady . 7-0 now with no game 3s and only one game 2 .  Good luck on the White Sox .
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 8:10 PM ET #267

    MLB CHASE 12'

    Haha. I figured it out...thx for the tips, Semperfi
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    MLB CHASE 12'

    Haha. I figured it out...thx for the tips, Semperfi
     
    psalera24
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 8:20 AM ET #268

    Nice system, been reading the posts and applied yesterday to two teams that actually won game 1 of their series (both evenly matched).  Quick question, if you win game one, do you ever go the other way for games 2&3 to try to double your winnings on one series.

    GL today with Pitt & Bal, may jump on for 2nd game.
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    Nice system, been reading the posts and applied yesterday to two teams that actually won game 1 of their series (both evenly matched).  Quick question, if you win game one, do you ever go the other way for games 2&3 to try to double your winnings on one series.

    GL today with Pitt & Bal, may jump on for 2nd game.
     
    23Fisher
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 8:29 AM ET #269

    Just started reading system ^^^ but, psalera , If it hits the first game of series , I would consider the 'Zig Zag theory' that some bettors use....
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    Just started reading system ^^^ but, psalera , If it hits the first game of series , I would consider the 'Zig Zag theory' that some bettors use....
     
    BESTPICKSNOW
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 9:08 AM ET #270

    SYSTEM RED OR BLACK ROULLET....

     

    IS VERY GOOD...!

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    SYSTEM RED OR BLACK ROULLET....

     

    IS VERY GOOD...!

     
    athlete1010
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 11:21 AM ET #271

    Quote Originally Posted by semperfi19:

    Looking at 2 series for the weekend.

    #14  Pirates     +125           Bet  1   100 to win 125

    #15 Orioles     +135           Bet 1    100 to win 135

     Good Luck!  

    BMatusz (L)
    at LAA
    JWilliams (R)
    JArrieta (R)
    at LAA
    JWeaver (R)
    WChen (L)
    at LAA
    DHaren (R)

    LLynn (R)
    at Pit
    CMorton (R)
    JWestbrook (R)
    at Pit
    KCorreia (R)
    KLohse (R)
    at Pit
    EBedard (L)
    JGarcia (L)
    at ChC

     



    Both lost game one so what is that play today?
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    Quote Originally Posted by semperfi19:

    Looking at 2 series for the weekend.

    #14  Pirates     +125           Bet  1   100 to win 125

    #15 Orioles     +135           Bet 1    100 to win 135

     Good Luck!  

    BMatusz (L)
    at LAA
    JWilliams (R)
    JArrieta (R)
    at LAA
    JWeaver (R)
    WChen (L)
    at LAA
    DHaren (R)

    LLynn (R)
    at Pit
    CMorton (R)
    JWestbrook (R)
    at Pit
    KCorreia (R)
    KLohse (R)
    at Pit
    EBedard (L)
    JGarcia (L)
    at ChC

     



    Both lost game one so what is that play today?
     
    ShadowWarrior
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 11:40 AM ET #272

    If I understand correctly, they back these teams just twice more.  Through their study they feel these two teams give them a chance of winning at least once in a three game when looking at pitching matchups, line ups,etc. home away, etc. Two game series is too short and four too long.  There are other series but these give them a statistical edge versus some of the others.  The concept is somewhat new for me.
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    If I understand correctly, they back these teams just twice more.  Through their study they feel these two teams give them a chance of winning at least once in a three game when looking at pitching matchups, line ups,etc. home away, etc. Two game series is too short and four too long.  There are other series but these give them a statistical edge versus some of the others.  The concept is somewhat new for me.
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 2:36 PM ET #273

     Cash em' today Chasers!
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     Cash em' today Chasers!
     
    moneymaker14
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 2:44 PM ET #274

    GL
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    GL
     
     
    bikemcr
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 3:34 PM ET #275

    Pitching change for the Pirates A. J. Burnett for Corriea .

    Semperfi : Is it still a play ?

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    Pitching change for the Pirates A. J. Burnett for Corriea .

    Semperfi : Is it still a play ?

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