At one unit per play,
2012 Regular Season - 51.23 units, + 6.72% RoR
2013 Regular Season – 29.12 units, + 1.18% RoR
2014 Regular Season – No “units”, 170-172-38, +$197.33, .3% RoR
2014 Playoffs – 8-4, +$766.10, +30.4% RoR
As I have stated for years; the only method of tracking that cannot be manipulated or deceiving is Return on Risk. If a guy is playing a -125 favorite his return on risk is 80 cents per dollar wagered (if he wins). Period. Finis. End of the line. End of story. Sayonara brother. It matters not whether he is risking 2, 10, or 40 “units”, nor does it matter whether he lays the juice and wagers $125 to win $100 or flat plays his standard wager of $100 to win $80, he is still playing for 80 cents on the dollar of risk. Every handicapper should be rated by Return on Risk, but to the best of my knowledge there are only two of us doing so (I was alone until last year but Birds on Bat has joined me); therefore….
This year I will again play with an established bankroll of $10,000 and begin the season at 2% of bankroll or $200 per play, FLAT. Anyone that knows me knows I am not an “add the juice on favorites” player, and will never be, but that is another subject for another day.
I will track only that which is relevant and cannot be manipulated in any way,
W-L-P record, money earned or lost, and Return on Risk.
The $200 per wager is adjustable depending on results, as a guy that is making or losing money is an idiot if he does not snowball the effect on his bankroll, but the first adjustment will not come until at least Monday, May 4, when we are four weeks into the season.
This is a good method of bankroll management worthy of study because as we must never, ever forget “Bad money management has ruined more sports gamblers than bad picks ever did”
BOL
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