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Prior Results & 2015 MLB Format

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Views: 3709
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Joined: Aug, 2008
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Posted: #26
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Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2013
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by Louis_IV:


win percent is useless in baseball with money lines, its all about accurately documenting the games you play and the amount risk and won or lost.  Sounds like my why or your using the Risk are the same.  Win/Loss alone is no indicator.  I agree.  Good luck

Translation: Duhh... math not so gewd for me.

What are you talking about? Accurately documenting plays with transparency + bankroll ROI are important for all sports knucklehead. Furthermore, win percentage is USELESS primarily if you lack context for it. They do not tell the whole story (without understanding if they're a dog/fav bettor) (flat bet/eat the juice). But to make a blanket statement like that seems ignorant.

The lines are set to imply probability and the job of the bettor is to find advantages on the line compared to their expected value and use their Kelly criterion (or set % of bankroll) to determine the value of that play. As Key stated earlier, ROR is highly indicative of the success of an individual's season as it is not a number is as easily skewed as (win %, "units"). Equally possible to have a dog bettor going 4-6 betting +150 as a 6-4 guy betting -150. 

It's cute that there are so many kids on here that have advice to give other established cappers while contributing little to nothing to the forum with their "stellar" undocumented records and small sample sizes begging for attention by hopping into more popular threads daily.
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