MLB - Thursday 4/8
Love the O's.....great value on Matusz....the Rays have been life or death to win the first two games and the O's have the pitching advantage today.
How do the O's have pitching advantage game? Niemann is a much more proven pitcher than Matusz and rays have the better pen. Niemann is my LONG sleeper pick to win the cy. His 2nd half numbers last year were outstanding and he was absolutely lights out this spring. My biggest bet of the year is this under however. No action on rays as I like matusz as well.
Love the O's.....great value on Matusz....the Rays have been life or death to win the first two games and the O's have the pitching advantage today.
How do the O's have pitching advantage game? Niemann is a much more proven pitcher than Matusz and rays have the better pen. Niemann is my LONG sleeper pick to win the cy. His 2nd half numbers last year were outstanding and he was absolutely lights out this spring. My biggest bet of the year is this under however. No action on rays as I like matusz as well.
How do the O's have pitching advantage game? Niemann is a much more proven pitcher than Matusz and rays have the better pen. Niemann is my LONG sleeper pick to win the cy. His 2nd half numbers last year were outstanding and he was absolutely lights out this spring. My biggest bet of the year is this under however. No action on rays as I like matusz as well.
I just bet the over at +105 because of the high number and the good pitchers,along with the recent unders the last 2 days.
Someone getting pounding today. IMO
How do the O's have pitching advantage game? Niemann is a much more proven pitcher than Matusz and rays have the better pen. Niemann is my LONG sleeper pick to win the cy. His 2nd half numbers last year were outstanding and he was absolutely lights out this spring. My biggest bet of the year is this under however. No action on rays as I like matusz as well.
I just bet the over at +105 because of the high number and the good pitchers,along with the recent unders the last 2 days.
Someone getting pounding today. IMO
Gamehunter,
I have a quick question, if you would be so kind....
I also liked the Cubs, O's, and Mariners for values as dogs today. However, the line has moved pretty drastically in all three games. With the Cubs game, it has moved a full 20 points since early this morning. My question is this, with a line moving down on the dogs, I assume this represents heavy betting on these dogs and therefore means that a majority of the public is on the same side as you. Now, this may be completely off-base, but I try to stay away from the same side as the public due to the majority's talent for picking the loser of a contest. Is this solid logic or not? I know that the dogs still represent a value (even at the reduced line) and your system is based on betting values, not picking winners, but does it concern you at all to see the public on the same side that you are on?
I am simply trying to learn more about BB handicapping, not questioning your method at all.... just trying to gain a better perspective. If you have the time, I would really be interested in your response.
Excellent question sir ![]()
Gamehunter,
I have a quick question, if you would be so kind....
I also liked the Cubs, O's, and Mariners for values as dogs today. However, the line has moved pretty drastically in all three games. With the Cubs game, it has moved a full 20 points since early this morning. My question is this, with a line moving down on the dogs, I assume this represents heavy betting on these dogs and therefore means that a majority of the public is on the same side as you. Now, this may be completely off-base, but I try to stay away from the same side as the public due to the majority's talent for picking the loser of a contest. Is this solid logic or not? I know that the dogs still represent a value (even at the reduced line) and your system is based on betting values, not picking winners, but does it concern you at all to see the public on the same side that you are on?
I am simply trying to learn more about BB handicapping, not questioning your method at all.... just trying to gain a better perspective. If you have the time, I would really be interested in your response.
Excellent question sir ![]()
I just bet the over at +105 because of the high number and the good pitchers,along with the recent unders the last 2 days.
Someone getting pounding today. IMO
I agree KS,,, I'm on OV 9.5 for 1 unit @ +115 and for 1 unit @ +105... Lets hit this BEEEaaaaTTTCH. ![]()
I just bet the over at +105 because of the high number and the good pitchers,along with the recent unders the last 2 days.
Someone getting pounding today. IMO
I agree KS,,, I'm on OV 9.5 for 1 unit @ +115 and for 1 unit @ +105... Lets hit this BEEEaaaaTTTCH. ![]()
GH has that one habit of taking a team a third time if he has lost with them the first two games of a series..tonight's example..CUBS again....the Braves will win again cause they are just better than the Cubs..plus you are getting nice value on the Braves cause the sheep are betting it down...this is a real nice price for a home sweep
GH has that one habit of taking a team a third time if he has lost with them the first two games of a series..tonight's example..CUBS again....the Braves will win again cause they are just better than the Cubs..plus you are getting nice value on the Braves cause the sheep are betting it down...this is a real nice price for a home sweep
Gamehunter,
I have a quick question, if you would be so kind....
I also liked the Cubs, O's, and Mariners for values as dogs today. However, the line has moved pretty drastically in all three games. With the Cubs game, it has moved a full 20 points since early this morning. My question is this, with a line moving down on the dogs, I assume this represents heavy betting on these dogs and therefore means that a majority of the public is on the same side as you. Now, this may be completely off-base, but I try to stay away from the same side as the public due to the majority's talent for picking the loser of a contest. Is this solid logic or not? I know that the dogs still represent a value (even at the reduced line) and your system is based on betting values, not picking winners, but does it concern you at all to see the public on the same side that you are on?
I am simply trying to learn more about BB handicapping, not questioning your method at all.... just trying to gain a better perspective. If you have the time, I would really be interested in your response.
i won't speak for GH but i have been told playing opposite of public money in baseball is a not something you should factor in the handicap. "public money" in baseball is a non factor is what he was getting at. this man was a professional handicapper but would like to hear what GH has to say about it.
Gamehunter,
I have a quick question, if you would be so kind....
I also liked the Cubs, O's, and Mariners for values as dogs today. However, the line has moved pretty drastically in all three games. With the Cubs game, it has moved a full 20 points since early this morning. My question is this, with a line moving down on the dogs, I assume this represents heavy betting on these dogs and therefore means that a majority of the public is on the same side as you. Now, this may be completely off-base, but I try to stay away from the same side as the public due to the majority's talent for picking the loser of a contest. Is this solid logic or not? I know that the dogs still represent a value (even at the reduced line) and your system is based on betting values, not picking winners, but does it concern you at all to see the public on the same side that you are on?
I am simply trying to learn more about BB handicapping, not questioning your method at all.... just trying to gain a better perspective. If you have the time, I would really be interested in your response.
i won't speak for GH but i have been told playing opposite of public money in baseball is a not something you should factor in the handicap. "public money" in baseball is a non factor is what he was getting at. this man was a professional handicapper but would like to hear what GH has to say about it.
OVER STL/CINCY 8.5 RUNS (-110) (1.5 units) LOSER -1.61
SEATTLE +145 (1UNIT) LOSER -1
OUCH. BETTER LUCK NEXT TIME!
Beatoff ![]()
OVER STL/CINCY 8.5 RUNS (-110) (1.5 units) LOSER -1.61
SEATTLE +145 (1UNIT) LOSER -1
OUCH. BETTER LUCK NEXT TIME!
Beatoff ![]()
GH has that one habit of taking a team a third time if he has lost with them the first two games of a series..tonight's example..CUBS again....the Braves will win again cause they are just better than the Cubs..plus you are getting nice value on the Braves cause the sheep are betting it down...this is a real nice price for a home sweep
GH has that one habit of taking a team a third time if he has lost with them the first two games of a series..tonight's example..CUBS again....the Braves will win again cause they are just better than the Cubs..plus you are getting nice value on the Braves cause the sheep are betting it down...this is a real nice price for a home sweep
GH has that one habit of taking a team a third time if he has lost with them the first two games of a series..tonight's example..CUBS again....the Braves will win again cause they are just better than the Cubs..plus you are getting nice value on the Braves cause the sheep are betting it down...this is a real nice price for a home sweep
I usually don't enter into people's threads but i've to chime in on this one because what this guy says is very true about GH's betting patterns.
Baseball is SO EASY. Just take small faves and underdogs throughout the season and you'll show profit at the end of the season.
But you must wager on 8-10 games per day to soak in the value of underdogs throughout the season. You must.
![]()
GH has that one habit of taking a team a third time if he has lost with them the first two games of a series..tonight's example..CUBS again....the Braves will win again cause they are just better than the Cubs..plus you are getting nice value on the Braves cause the sheep are betting it down...this is a real nice price for a home sweep
I usually don't enter into people's threads but i've to chime in on this one because what this guy says is very true about GH's betting patterns.
Baseball is SO EASY. Just take small faves and underdogs throughout the season and you'll show profit at the end of the season.
But you must wager on 8-10 games per day to soak in the value of underdogs throughout the season. You must.
![]()
NATIONALS +135 (1.5 UNITS)
OVER PHIL/WASH 10.5 RUNS (-110) (1.25 UNITS)
CUBS +165 (1 UNIT)
SEATTLE +145 (1UNIT)
BALTIMORE +152 (1.75 UNITS)
CLEVELAND +125 (1.5 UNITS)
MINNESOTA +115 (1.5 UNITS)
Will be a very nice day if you can get a cleveland or minny win
NATIONALS +135 (1.5 UNITS)
OVER PHIL/WASH 10.5 RUNS (-110) (1.25 UNITS)
CUBS +165 (1 UNIT)
SEATTLE +145 (1UNIT)
BALTIMORE +152 (1.75 UNITS)
CLEVELAND +125 (1.5 UNITS)
MINNESOTA +115 (1.5 UNITS)
Will be a very nice day if you can get a cleveland or minny win
he destroys everyone again tonight and they go back in their holes.
GAFL you geeks.
he destroys everyone again tonight and they go back in their holes.
GAFL you geeks.
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