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Mavin's MLB Contest

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Posted: #1101
22/2

Big Unit 6-5 -1$

OAK A's ML +104

AZ Diamondbacks ML +110

CLE Indians ML -106

Cuben2006 10-10-2 -190$      

STL Cardinals ML -115 

Ridibet 3-5-0 -385

NO score in 1st inning TB Rays - NY Yankees -150

NO score in 1st inning HOU Astros - SEA Mariners -140

MIL Brewers -120

KCsFinest829 25-30 -487$

CLE Indians ML -117

NY Yankees ML +113

Over 8 BOS Red Sox - OAK Athletics -110

AshyLarryMP 29-29-4 -$520

STL Cardinals TT Over 3.5 -130

HOU Astros TT Under 3 -115

BOS Redsox TT Under 4 -110

 
Prospect
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Posts: 226
Posted: #1102
Ugh. Stranded runners like woah in Jays/O's game. Not a start I wanted.
 
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Posted: #1103

cuben2006 10-10-2 -190$

HOU Astros TT Under 3 -105

felix has an 1.21 era in nite games and houston struggle with great pitcher , so i expect a low scoring game

 
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Posted: #1104
Quote Originally Posted by Hekili1:




Apr 2221143ASTROS TOTAL RUNS
o3½+110
8:10 PM 21144ASTROS TOTAL RUNS
u3½-140

It's a local online book as gambling in Hawaii (even online) is illegal.  I wish I could use Bovada or 5dimes, can't do it.  As you can see, the juice jumped since I posted a few hours ago, it's now -140.

wow, thanks for response man! appreciated.  love the bet then! felix going for 100 wins only way this loses is if he goes 6ip due to pitch count. on 2nd thought, this book can either know something we don't, or is straight silly.. hope we're right 
 
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Posted: #1105
Quote Originally Posted by Hekili1:



Apr 22130.00 USD / 100.00 USD

ashylarry...guess you won't like this either, I got Bo-Sox under 4.5 but with higher juice.  I can buy it down to 4 but I don't think the 20% is worth the push.

well now i don't like either of our bets haha.. will middlebrooks hurt us bad.. knew i should of put under 3.5 TT giants instead.. really feel wade miley handles us tonight, under probably good too, but see giants at 3 runs or less.. but if you got under 4.5 redsox praying for you man!, i'll take a hedge.
 
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Posted: #1106
MikeTizzy  25-19-1  +781$

i feel u Hekii, yep Yanks blew it even tho it wasnt lookin great even with 2 run lead.  And wow Harang got bashed in for the big Over. OK need to get my best 3 here today.

CLE Indians ML -118

Under 8.5 CLE Indians - CHI Whitesox  - 115

Over 8 LA Angels - TEX Rangers  -110

Masterson always done very well vs sox, and on a roll. Shutdown pen, wins blowing in, anemic CWS bats. Axelrod has been surprisingly effective, and very good pen as well.

Holland always get hit hard by Angels, Blanton just not getting it done.
Bats been surging on both sides with their loaded talent. Usually a hit fest with 2 pitchers not fairing well here. Winds blowing out to left at 13.8 could only help big flies. Lineups fair very well vs pens as well.


 
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Posted: #1107
0-0 first 5 innings in Baltimore. Ouch.
 
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Posted: #1108
22/2

MikeTizzy  25-19-1  +781$

CLE Indians ML -118

Under 8.5 CLE Indians - CHI Whitesox  - 115

Over 8 LA Angels - TEX Rangers  -110

Big Unit 6-5 -1$

OAK A's ML +104

AZ Diamondbacks ML +110

CLE Indians ML -106

Cuben2006 10-10-2 -190$      

STL Cardinals ML -115 

HOU Astros TT Under 3 -105

Ridibet 3-5-0 -385

NO score in 1st inning TB Rays - NY Yankees -150

NO score in 1st inning HOU Astros - SEA Mariners -140

MIL Brewers -120

KCsFinest829 25-30 -487$

CLE Indians ML -117

NY Yankees ML +113

Over 8 BOS Red Sox - OAK Athletics -110

AshyLarryMP 29-29-4 -$520

STL Cardinals TT Over 3.5 -130

HOU Astros TT Under 3 -115

BOS Redsox TT Under 4 -110
 
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Posted: #1109
Quote Originally Posted by KCsFinest829:

KCsFinest829 25-30 -487$

CLE Indians ML -117

Masterson is an ace and the least known ace in the league. Cleveland bats are streaky, but after a poor performance in his last outing I think they may only need 2-3 in this one.

NY Yankees ML +113

I like CC in this one. Yankees bats are playing well lately and Tampa has been one giant garbage show in my opinion this year.

Over 8 BOS Red Sox - OAK Athletics -110

Games the day after a double header last year went over 10 out of 14 that were clearly above or below the number. There were 5 around the number but I was too lazy to look up what the number was. Assumed a split there.

good stat! noted, clearly it prevailed today 
 
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Posted: #1110
Quote Originally Posted by ridibets:

Ridibet 3-5-0 -385

NO score in 1st inning TB Rays - NY Yankees -150
two good pitchers on the mound expecting both to start strong


NO score in 1st inning HOU Astros - SEA Mariners -140
king felix on the mound, and seattle bats are certainly not to be trusted 


down -290 on what is seemingly two 50/50 bets in my mind.  Once again playing high juice vs both teams best hitters just doesn't make money.   I think you would be better off laying that juice on some favourable game matchups or avoiding those bets all together.  Trying to offer helpful advice.  I don't think those bets are smart in the long run or short term.  BoL I'm with you on Brewers.
 
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Posted: #1111
Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:


good stat! noted, clearly it prevailed today 

Ya it worked well today, will have an opportunity to try it out again in two days for the Braves/Rockies game. I'm not sure how I feel about betting an Atlanta over but we will see how things shake out.
 
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Posted: #1112
Cardinals had sooo many opportunities to score that 4th run for me.. including a bases loaded no outs, in which they got 0 runs outta it..had to be at least 10 runners left on, chalk it up as a bad beat.. Cardinals Offense a disappointing 3 runs.
 
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Posted: #1113
SimonDogg and Musicmatt,do you guys play other games besides the 3 picks you do for Mavins contest? I would love your other picks or even what you guys have for tonight? Thanks, I need as much help in baseball as I can, I'm an NBA fanatic and fare pretty well but have no knowledge what so ever of MLB.
 
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Posted: #1114
SimonDogg and Musicmatt,do you guys play other games besides the 3 picks you do for Mavins contest? I would love your other picks or even what you guys have for tonight? Thanks, I need as much help in baseball as I can, I'm an NBA fanatic and fare pretty well but have no knowledge what so ever of MLB.
 
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Posted: #1115
Close it out Pere and pen CLE! i scouted the hell out of this game!
 
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Posted: #1116
Great cap on that chisox game tizzy! its a good thing when you can hit two winners on one game!
 
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Posted: #1117
Nice job Mike Tizzy ! Looking at you THANKS!
 
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Posted: #1118
Thanks mr. Pedroia!! I've noticed u improved ur scouting,angles, metrics as well! I finally got my 3-0 day ive been slightly missing recently. Im coming for u Matt and Big dog Simon.  Finally over 1k mark and will keep up the work. 
 
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Posted: #1119
Quote Originally Posted by tonyperaino:

Nice job Mike Tizzy ! Looking at you THANKS!


I got this! I've been very serious and will put my SABR analytics to use. 
 
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Posted: #1120
Giants bail me out of a losing day. Didn't think Hernandez would blow the hold! 2-1 again today and I like that! Looks like a Marlins/Twins double header tomorrow. Gotta love these spring double headers!
 
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Posted: #1121
22/2

MikeTizzy  25-19-1  +781$

CLE Indians ML -118

Under 8.5 CLE Indians - CHI Whitesox  - 115   

Over 8 LA Angels - TEX Rangers  -110

Big Unit 6-5 -1$

OAK A's ML +104

AZ Diamondbacks ML +110

CLE Indians ML -106

Cuben2006 10-10-2 -190$      

STL Cardinals ML -115 

HOU Astros TT Under 3 -105   

Ridibet 3-5-0 -385

NO score in 1st inning TB Rays - NY Yankees -150

NO score in 1st inning HOU Astros - SEA Mariners -140

MIL Brewers -120

KCsFinest829 25-30 -487$

CLE Indians ML -117

NY Yankees ML +113

Over 8 BOS Red Sox - OAK Athletics -110

AshyLarryMP 29-29-4 -$520

STL Cardinals TT Over 3.5 -130

HOU Astros TT Under 3 -115

BOS Redsox TT Under 4 -110
 
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Posts: 19509
Posted: #1122

Taking Red Sox, Aceves 3-1 vs A's career, Oakland only hitting righties .235.  Live dog Royals, Davis 2-0, 2.25 era thus far this season.  KC better bullpen.  Think Price breaks out today, He is 7-3, 3.77 career vs Yankees.  Yankees hitting lefties a dismal .189.

Big Unit 7-7 -101$

BOS RedSox ML -117

KC Royals ML +166

TB Rays RL(-1.5) +128

P.S.  We can only post 3 here but Im betting under 8.5 in the Rangers Angel game.

 
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Posted: #1123
Ridibet 4-7-0 -575

TOR Blue Jays -111
i think dickey gets his 3rd straight and the jays bats will get to gonzalez.

SF Giants -130
i dont see cain losing 3 in a row and bouncing back from that bad performance.

Under 6.5 LA Dodgers - NY Mets -120
i think kershaw shuts down the mets here.
 
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Posted: #1124
Quote Originally Posted by greengiants:

 

too close too call for me, I like pitt personally....

checking to see if there might be a trend to play the under or fade teams that played the sunday night game who play on the monday night or day.Think about it, pittsburgh and washington were probably watching philly and st-louis play comfortably from home or their hotel room.But I'm thinking it might be more relevant for day games on monday.We shall see   

I might be onto something with the under, both games went under the total.....
 
 
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Posted: #1125

SimonDog Tuesday

41-22-3 (+$1545)

PHI Phillies  ML -135

Pirates on the road, start of a long road trip..Good chance for Hamels to get on track at home....

KC Royals  ML  +157

I see good value in this as Wade Davis is off to great start and the royals are actually playing good baseball. Expect a 5-6 run game here ... I don't play many totals but this might be an under spot for ya..

SEA Mariners  ML -127

I love love love Hisashi Iwakuma.. I might play him every outing.. Just love him.. and he is holding opponents to .135 batting average.. Not good for Houston which can't this their way out of paper bag..


This Seattle game is one of the best play I have seen this season..LOVE LOVE LOVE IT

 

 

 

 

 

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