The Brewers are 29-7 at American Family Field since the All-Star break. That's just an .806 winning percentage, no big deal. All the dead bats of the Dodgers have to do today is beat this home team when the Brewers are trying their absolute hardest. Oh, and the Brewers have yet to lose at home when 24-year old Logan Henderson is the starter (11-0).
Logan Henderson has pitched 60 career innings at American Family Field (49 this season) and has an ERA there of 1.65. In none of of those starts did he allow more than 2 runs. He threw 5 shutout innings at the dead bats of the Dodgers back on May 22nd in a 5-1 win. A similar score is expected today.
The dead bats of the tired and fading Dodgers came up with fewer hits (3) today than runs scored. More defensive miscues from the Brewers gifted the visitors 3 of their runs. Otherwise this was a lopsided game with the Brewers breaking the Dodgers backs by breaking down their very best pitcher.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto is probably steaming right now. Several times he indicated that he wanted his catcher to challenge a call, but Will Smith never did. The result was 37 pitches thrown in one inning and the end of his day on the mound. It just goes to show that things don’t always go smoothly even for those who are the best at what they do.
By now most people will realize that it was wacky for the Dodgers to be favored in this series (and at -160!!), but that was the premium the oddsmakers charged.
l’m not saying this series is over, but I don’t see the Dodgers regrouping in time to take Game 3. The Brewers aren’t out to simply advance. They want to sweep these bastards and will play in Game 3 with maximum intensity, something seldom seen in a road team that’s up 2-0 in a best-of-7.
I was interested in betting on the Brewers to sweep, but the bookies hardly ever offer us competitive odds on that prop. Most books had +1800, which is terrible. Circa offered a far superior +2320, but even that isn’t great.
So I decided to do it game-by-game. Instead of betting $5,000 to win $116,000 on the Brewers +2320, I bet that $5,000 on the Brewers at even money in Game 1. Today I rolled that over and risked that $10,000 on the Brewers +120.
So on Wednesday I will risk $22,000 on the best Brewers moneyline I can get. And that has to be IN ADDITION to whatever l choose to bet on the Brewers to win Game 3. I did the same with the first two games.
The early line on Game 3 is around +150.
Any opinion on the WNBA finals series? Will you be playing that at all?
I decided I was finished following the WNBA after being in attendance on October 1st to watch a fixed game in which corrupt refs orchestrated the ouster from the playoffs of the Indiana Fever.
Late on Sunday night (actually it was almost 1am on Monday morning here in Vegas), a certain Nevada-only sportsbook had the adjusted series price backwards on their app. They had the Brewers +110 and the Dodgers -130 when it was supposed to be Brewers -130/Dodgers +110. I tried an $8,000 bet and much to my surprise it was accepted. They adjusted the line to -110 for either team, which was still incorrect. By the next morning they had it right with Brewers -130 and Dodgers +110.
So that makes $73,000 on the Brewers to win the NLCS to win $107,560. The previous 65k worth of series bets were posted in 007CRUSHER's thread which he started on October 4th.
Less than an hour ago, I committed what I feel are two more Brewers-related thefts on a different sportsbook app. These were Series Spread bets. I bet the Brewers -1.5 -130 for $6,500, so I need the Brewers to win this series 4-0, 4-1, or 4-2. I also bet the Brewers -2.5 +175 for $3,000, and for that prop I need the Brewers to win this series 4-0 or 4-1.
@HarDix
I know you are already in at a good +number. But if you still like them and are in a position to add to it you can get a great number now.
I posted this for example:
I think this is a very good time to get a future on LAD if you like them to even up the series and potentially win the WS.
This is the absolute best price that you could have gotten at any time this year.
Even if LAD wins the next two games I think the odds will go to only around +120 or so.
LAD wins WS +350
This is the absolute best price that you could have gotten at any time this year.
Even if LAD wins the next two games I think the odds will go to only around +120 or so.
LAD wins WS +350
Given that the last 38 teams to fall behind 2-0 in a best-of-7 baseball postseason series have gone on to lose the series 36 times, +350 is no value at all.
Last night at a different book I added $5,000 on the Brewers -2.5 +165.
Established in 1995,
punches old man sitting on barstool .... what a guy 
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