How you can tell a Straight game from a Vegas trap game?
You sound like a guy who has the entire gambling world figured out.
Because of this, you should be a millionaire on an island counting your winnings. Yet, you are on covers explaining trap lines.
Yikes.
You sound like a guy who has the entire gambling world figured out.
Because of this, you should be a millionaire on an island counting your winnings. Yet, you are on covers explaining trap lines.
Yikes.
Amazing how many morons there are on covers. Where do you come up with all this "trap lines" garbage. Do you really think oddsmakers can predict the outcome of a freaking baseball game!!!
They can't predict it with 100% certainty. Do you ever watch poker tournaments on TV and two guys go all in, then they show the percentages on the side next to their hands? Say one guy is 70% to win and the other guy is 30% to win. The guy who got his chips in the middle with the 70% chance to win did the right thing, obviously. But does that mean we can predict if he's going to win the hand or not? No.
This is what I think line makers do on certain games. They can't predict the outcome with certainty but they get their money in good 70% of the time, and in the long run that's big profit, regardless of the fact they'll get unlucky 30% of the time. I'm making these percentages up just to illustrate the point of how they can likely predict outcomes with a reasonable amount of error.
Amazing how many morons there are on covers. Where do you come up with all this "trap lines" garbage. Do you really think oddsmakers can predict the outcome of a freaking baseball game!!!
They can't predict it with 100% certainty. Do you ever watch poker tournaments on TV and two guys go all in, then they show the percentages on the side next to their hands? Say one guy is 70% to win and the other guy is 30% to win. The guy who got his chips in the middle with the 70% chance to win did the right thing, obviously. But does that mean we can predict if he's going to win the hand or not? No.
This is what I think line makers do on certain games. They can't predict the outcome with certainty but they get their money in good 70% of the time, and in the long run that's big profit, regardless of the fact they'll get unlucky 30% of the time. I'm making these percentages up just to illustrate the point of how they can likely predict outcomes with a reasonable amount of error.
You sound like a guy who has the entire gambling world figured out.
Because of this, you should be a millionaire on an island counting your winnings. Yet, you are on covers explaining trap lines.
Yikes.
You sound like a guy who has the entire gambling world figured out.
Because of this, you should be a millionaire on an island counting your winnings. Yet, you are on covers explaining trap lines.
Yikes.
I have a play called,
I have a play called,
I have been following you Taft and I must say that you are pretty darn good. Thanks for your plays.
Thanks AW...
I thought it was ironic that HutchemAll was wanting Pasteur to have 50 to 75 plays as evidence. The Shiny lures play just made it to 50 plays recently.
BTW, 50 to 75 still isn't enough, and even if it stops working, it doesn't mean to throw it away. It only means to use it in certain spots of the season, IMO.
I have been following you Taft and I must say that you are pretty darn good. Thanks for your plays.
Thanks AW...
I thought it was ironic that HutchemAll was wanting Pasteur to have 50 to 75 plays as evidence. The Shiny lures play just made it to 50 plays recently.
BTW, 50 to 75 still isn't enough, and even if it stops working, it doesn't mean to throw it away. It only means to use it in certain spots of the season, IMO.
I think people misunderstand the concept of "trap." It doesn't mean the trap side will win 100% of the time. That's impossible.
But OTOH, bookies set a pointspread for a reason. In almost all games one side has a higher probability of winning. So they create a pointspread. Supposedly, the pointspread handicaps the stronger team so that both teams have an equal chance at "covering" the bet.
Plenty of time, I imagine the collective betting public correctly perceives the pointspread. But occasionally I believe oddsmakers (who make a living analyzing sports) believe there's a different probability than what the public perceives. That, IMHO, is what makes a "trap."
For example, let's say bookies set a pointspread on an NBA game, such as LA Lakers -6 at NO Hornets. But let's say the bookies know the Lakers have only a 40% chance of covering. And the Hornets have a 60% chance. If 70% of the betting action is on the Lakers.... then why move the line??? Why make the line higher and attract NO Hornet bettors??? That's stupid. You're giving away money.
Will Vegas lose sometimes? Sure. The Lakers will cover 40% of the time. But if oddsmakers are right -- and I don't know any casino that's ever shut down its sportsbook b/c it lost $$$ -- then they'll make waaaay more money than trying to get equal action on both sides.
That IMO, defines a trap game.
I think people misunderstand the concept of "trap." It doesn't mean the trap side will win 100% of the time. That's impossible.
But OTOH, bookies set a pointspread for a reason. In almost all games one side has a higher probability of winning. So they create a pointspread. Supposedly, the pointspread handicaps the stronger team so that both teams have an equal chance at "covering" the bet.
Plenty of time, I imagine the collective betting public correctly perceives the pointspread. But occasionally I believe oddsmakers (who make a living analyzing sports) believe there's a different probability than what the public perceives. That, IMHO, is what makes a "trap."
For example, let's say bookies set a pointspread on an NBA game, such as LA Lakers -6 at NO Hornets. But let's say the bookies know the Lakers have only a 40% chance of covering. And the Hornets have a 60% chance. If 70% of the betting action is on the Lakers.... then why move the line??? Why make the line higher and attract NO Hornet bettors??? That's stupid. You're giving away money.
Will Vegas lose sometimes? Sure. The Lakers will cover 40% of the time. But if oddsmakers are right -- and I don't know any casino that's ever shut down its sportsbook b/c it lost $$$ -- then they'll make waaaay more money than trying to get equal action on both sides.
That IMO, defines a trap game.
Here is a Trap Line:
Here is a Trap Line:
I don't see anything off about that cle/oak line. Two good pitchers, and Oaktown is a pretty consistent under venue. I expect most of the public to be on the under in this one
I don't see anything off about that cle/oak line. Two good pitchers, and Oaktown is a pretty consistent under venue. I expect most of the public to be on the under in this one
What amazing to me is that most ppl notice a "trap" line but tend not to pay it any attention, two examples that were crystal clear who was going to win.
Astros second game againt the Cubs on the road where the are a joke, yet they were at even money, make no sense right? Houston won
Last night pre season football.....how are the sorry ass browns ever with in 3 pts of Green Bay, whole word jumped on GB and they lost straight up.
If you know what to look for Vegas is telling you which side to go.
What amazing to me is that most ppl notice a "trap" line but tend not to pay it any attention, two examples that were crystal clear who was going to win.
Astros second game againt the Cubs on the road where the are a joke, yet they were at even money, make no sense right? Houston won
Last night pre season football.....how are the sorry ass browns ever with in 3 pts of Green Bay, whole word jumped on GB and they lost straight up.
If you know what to look for Vegas is telling you which side to go.
What amazing to me is that most ppl notice a "trap" line but tend not to pay it any attention, two examples that were crystal clear who was going to win.
Astros second game againt the Cubs on the road where the are a joke, yet they were at even money, make no sense right? Houston won
Last night pre season football.....how are the sorry ass browns ever with in 3 pts of Green Bay, whole word jumped on GB and they lost straight up.
If you know what to look for Vegas is telling you which side to go.
What amazing to me is that most ppl notice a "trap" line but tend not to pay it any attention, two examples that were crystal clear who was going to win.
Astros second game againt the Cubs on the road where the are a joke, yet they were at even money, make no sense right? Houston won
Last night pre season football.....how are the sorry ass browns ever with in 3 pts of Green Bay, whole word jumped on GB and they lost straight up.
If you know what to look for Vegas is telling you which side to go.
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