Posted:
#51
Yes Hoyasaxa
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General Sharps MLB Picks
Posted:
#53
Great day today going 7-3!
ARI@WAS O7.5 1.82 - LOSE $100
SD@LAD U6.5 1.91 - WIN $191
HOU@NYY U8 1.85 - WIN $185
CLE@MIN U7 1.82 - WIN $182
DET@TB U6.5 1.95 - WIN $195
SF ML 1.65 - WIN $165
LAD ML 1.61 - WIN $161
CLE ML 1.69 - LOSE $100
LAA ML 1.79 - WIN $179
DET ML 1.83 - LOSE $100
Overall cost of bets: $1000
Overall winnings: $1258
Overall profit: $258, +2.58U
Record to Date: 45W - 22L, +10.72U
Starting Bankroll: $10,000
Current Bankroll: $11,072, +$1,072
Total Profit to Date (after 8 days of betting): +$1072, +10.72U flat betting $100 per pick.
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Posted:
#55
Quote Originally Posted by GeneralSharp:
Great day indeed! especially your O/U playsGreat day today going 7-3!
ARI@WAS O7.5 1.82 - LOSE $100
SD@LAD U6.5 1.91 - WIN $191
HOU@NYY U8 1.85 - WIN $185
CLE@MIN U7 1.82 - WIN $182
DET@TB U6.5 1.95 - WIN $195
SF ML 1.65 - WIN $165
LAD ML 1.61 - WIN $161
CLE ML 1.69 - LOSE $100
LAA ML 1.79 - WIN $179
DET ML 1.83 - LOSE $100
Overall cost of bets: $1000
Overall winnings: $1258
Overall profit: $258, +2.58U
Record to Date: 45W - 22L, +10.72U
Starting Bankroll: $10,000
Current Bankroll: $11,072, +$1,072
Total Profit to Date (after 8 days of betting): +$1072, +10.72U flat betting $100 per pick.
(4-1)
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Posted:
#59
Thanks Bizarro. I am always happy with averaging 7 Units profit per week. Totals are great to bet, just have to pick the right spots.
Sounds good dcrich. Good luck. I am not on Bal. Arrieta is solid during the day, and especially at home while Gausman is terrible in day games.
I do like the WAS pick though. One of my plays. Fister hasn'tallowed a run in the last 3 games, while Hudson has gotten hit well. He seems to have lost command on some of his pitches. SF has been on the road for a while too.
Good luck to both of you guys.
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Posted:
#62
Not a good night, but this is why i love flat betting. Heavy juice, but since we stick to the same bet, we don't lose to much.
STL ML 1.59 - LOSE $100
WAS ML 1.69 - LOSE $100
CLE ML 1.50 - LOSE $100
TOR ML 1.76 - LOSE $100
KC ML 1.70 - WIN $170
Overall cost of bets: $500
Overall winnings: $170
Overall profit: -$330
Record to Date: 46W - 26L, +7.42U
Starting Bankroll: $10,000
Current Bankroll: $10,742, +$742
Total Profit to Date (after 9 days of betting): +$742, +7.42U flat betting $100 per pick.
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Posted:
#71
Thanks xfinity and AlohaJoe. A great night going 7-3 overall.
ATL@CIN UNDER 7.5 2.02 -WIN $202
NYM@LAD UNDER 7 1.78 - LOSE $100
PIT@MIL UNDER 8 1.99 - LOSE $100
SD@ARI UNDER 8 1.84 - WIN $184
DET@MIN OVER 9 1.87 - WIN $187
LAD ML 1.61 - WIN $161
OAK ML 1.63 - WIN $163
WAS ML 1.59 - WIN $159
ATL ML 1.81 - LOSE $100
SEA ML 1.95 - WIN $195
Overall cost of bets: $1000
Overall winnings: $1251
Overall profit: $251, +2.51 Units
Record to Date: 53W - 29L, +9.93U
Starting Bankroll: $10,000
Current Bankroll: $10,993, +$993
Total Profit to Date (after 10 days of betting): +$993, +9.93U flat betting $100 per pick.
Thus after 10 days of betting, we have a profit of ~1 Unit per day (0.993) and are on pace
for our goal of 28 units profit over 28 days. (4 weeks total)
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Posted:
#72
I am getting a lot of PMs asking me why I don't bet the American method with regards to bankroll. For example, since I bet a lot of favorite money liness, and the line is -161 (1.62:1 in decimal format) that it's a lot more profitable for me to bet $161 to win $100 profit as opposed to flat betting $100 to win $61.
Now it is true, with my current record of 53W and 29L that I would be up a lot more than 9.93 Units, I just prefer flat betting because over the long haul, it keeps the variance swings at bay. There are periods where I can lose for weeks, but overall, with a 1% flat bet unit size, it doesn't phase me. Meaning the swings don't piss me off and upset my mental state. It keeps me from tilting, and it keeps me sticking to a plan that I can follow. This is extremely important if you want to do this long term.
I am going to have my morning coffee and begin capping today's games. I will be back in a few hours to post picks.
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