College World Series Thread...

And another one!! 

Congrats to all the LSU backers...

Florida taking on TCU for the morning game and Wake taking on LSU for the late one. Florida and Wake definitely the advantage being rested, more pitching options available (especially Florida).

This will be LSU's third game in a row and fourth game in what 5 days. That pitching staff has to be taxed. Lucky for them Wake has used their top two starting pitching options. Their first option would be on 4 days rest and their second option would be only on two. Also with LSU having to win two games versus Wake you can guarantee they are going to rest both of those starters no matter what the outcome is here. Both Keener and Sullivan who are the other two starting options came in relief in game one for a little over an inning. Will be interesting to see who starts today. Keener came in and literally struck every batter he saw out. Sullivan got out of a jam. If Wake loses this game then Lowder will be ready for game two. This leads me to believe they will start Sullivan and quickly come to Keener if he struggles. But I bet they hope Sullivan gets them 5 and Keener can bring it home with his over powering stuff late in the game. LSUs bats haven't exactly been mighty this tourney. They did look better late against Tennessee's bullpen but lets be honest who in the SEC hasn't. Skenes threw 123 pitches 4 days ago. I wouldn't be shocked if LSU give him the start and askes him to throw say around 80 pitches and then turn it over to the bullpen which has been pretty solid. If they do this then this game could be a really nip and tuck game. But if the manager decides to gamble and hope LSU can pull it off and save Skenes for a full rest to bring it home and advance what a gamble but boy if it pays off. In summary I am very interested to see what the pitching matchup is here.

This tourney has been mostly an under and 1 run game with a lot of late come backs. Yesterday was the first day with two relative blow outs. With pitching staffs taxed I am not sure if the run games are going to be a thing in the past and the overs finally hit or not. But I know I likely won't be playing a +1.5 line again. Its either -1.5 for a favorite or ML or simply ML for the dog.

I haven't really looked in the Florida game yet as I am much more interested in this Wake/LSU game. Back later.

Looks like Jac Caglianone is facing off vs Kole Klecker. In case you don't know Jac Caglianone is NCAAB version of Showtime. The guy is probably Florida's best pitcher and hitter. You can argue both that is why I said probably. He is slumping (by his standards) in the hitting department so far this tourney so we will see if he can break out on the mound. He hasn't pitched in nearly 3 weeks so definitely well rested but also might be a little rusty. He has been in a grove pitching for the better part of the past two months dominating nearly every start. If his control is off it could be a long day for Florida. Klecker is TCUs best starting pitcher by far. He is coming off of five days rest so he would be ready to roll. Rumor was he was gonna start yesterday on 4 days rest and the main reason I was on TCU yesterday but as it turned out it didn't matter and brillant move by the manager. TCU still remains one of the hottest teams in college baseball. But something tells me they run into a buzzsaw with Florida today. As good as Klecker is he has stuggled against some of the bettter teams in the Big 12 and perhaps one of the top teams in the country I think will prove too much. My bets in this game are as follows:

$840 to win $400 on Florida -210 and $260 to win $200 on Florida -1.5. As well as under 10.5 -120 parlayed with Pittsburg +100 with $75 winning $275. BOL to all!

don’t think skenes available today - tigers will likely work by committee again w/ coleman/guidry/money in some order

I have a feeling runs are going to be scored today in the tcu - fla game.  I’ll most likely wait and grab a live line after the first team scores… if it’s the gators, the line will balloon for tcu and you’ll get great value.  On the other hand; if it’s tcu, you will can a much cheaper line for the gators if tcu scores first.  Personally feel like this could be the best bet as I refuse to pay almost 2:1 odds on Florida before the start of the game.  

Yeah this is a very fair analysis but I have court today so I have no choice and I vowed to bet every game. BOL on your plays!

Could cost them. I am a strong lean to Wake. But we will see. BOL!

@jesron1269

Thoughts on the line movement

Florida -220 to -180

TCU +175 to +145

This is what I said in another thread.  I still show -210 at Caesars and -215 at Draft Kings so not seeing where you are showing such a line move. But I do see the total dropped a point. I got my under at 10.5 -120 and now it is 9.5 -120 to the under.

Beyond that I don't know. Unless there is a change in the starting pitchers (only thing that would make sense is if Jac isn't going to pitch) or someone got hurt in warm ups. Or frankly there just is value in the dog. So far big streams haven't meant much. Both success with the stream and against it. So who really knows for sure.

Checked again... still see -210 and 9.5 -130 to the under at Caesars and -215 and 9.5 -110 at Draft Kings.

For what it's worth, Bookmaker's line on Florida dropped from -210 to -175. Appears a whale or two came in heavy on TCU.

Good luck all!

Give them FROGS!!! LET'S GO!!

@Kaufee

Could be. No idea. But what is odd is that Caesars, Draft Kings, Bet MGM, William Hill and Fan Duel all have between -200 to as much as -230 for Florida. Odd that not one would follow suit. So the only thing I can think of is that one online book took a big bet and only that one has adjusted their line to get equal action. So I can rule out something happened to someone I think.

@jesron1269

That would be my guess too Jesron. Books just trying to get even action 

Don’t love what I saw from Caglianone in that 1st inning.  Hopefully it was just nerves/rust.  

Yeah I mentioned this exact scenario in my write up. 36 pitches and only 13 for strikes in the first inning (with the lead off hitter being struck out) not a good start. Hopefully he settles in. But liking the Florida offense so far. 

Both pitchers settled in now but Jac still a little wild. Hit batters, wild pitches and walks are really the only reason TCU has a run on the board. Kole has really settled in for TCU too and his pitch count is a hell of a lot lower than Jacs. That Florida bullpen is going to have to come through.

Well Jac was pulled after 83 pitches and Slater who really was a shit show against Oral Roberts is in not helping the cause. Hope he can get out of this.

...and despite loading the bases he gets a strike out and a pop out to end the inning. The under 10.5 is looking better by the inning. Sadly it died with the parlay due to Pitt being worthless. Oh well. Lets go Gators!

Kleckler taken out with 64 pitches. It is now a bullpen game. Live line is 7 if you want the over. I think between 5 and 10 runs will be scored so lets see how effective the bullpens are. Remember Florida's are well rested too. Hopefully they perform that way.

Under continues to look good but Florida has me biting my nails. They can't seem to be able to get anything going against this TCU bullpen which is a little odd. They have 9 more outs to record but that won't be easy ones.

I got to say Rivera is killing it today. He is a triple away from the cycle. But the guy immediately after him is like a one man rally killer. 4 at bats, three Ks and 1 double play. Wow. Alright 6 more outs. Lets go Gators!

@jesron1269

 Tight game.   7pm wake forest vs Lsu +115  Taking Tigers tonight

I am still leaning Wake. But will dig into that one more later. BOL today!

Closer for the gators is imploding right now.  I was lucky and got ahold of tcu at +375 when they were down 2-0… didn’t look good until… right now.  Still probably fools gold but I’ll take it.