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Will be an outstanding ending to the 2023 season….BOL with your wagers fellas.  Cant beat this matchup…

What's the factor going into the Championship game, after a 24-4 loss the previous day ?

that is the question

Yep actually a good coaching decision to "concede" the game saving the much better pitchers for the grand finale. 

So are you saying when a team scores 10 or more runs game 1 of the championship series historically speaking in game 2 those teams are 2-0. Conversely when a team scored 10 or more runs in game 2 of the championship series historically speaking in game 3 those teams are 3-0? If so good info. 

@jesron1269

 Yes, interesting, but not a big sample size. 

And then you have the recent example of the Angels scoring 25 runs on Saturday and losing with 3 runs on Sunday. Momentum is the next days starting pitcher.

This is a tough one. Skenes could be the wild card. 

@Sladerunningfox

Right be we are only taking CWS trends not MLB right? Big difference in the two. College trends tend to be truer. 

@jesron1269

 Yes, college trend, but was just pointing out the recent comparison of scoring over 20 runs. 

Still a good trend to provide. Thank you.  Yes Schenes is a wild card. But great info. 

We have gotten to Florida's stud starters first 2 games but it's ridiculous how many runners we have left on base. That's the main issue for tonight's game I think. Once we have gotten past the 5 hole in our lineup it's turned into a dead zone.  We left bases loaded first 3 innings yesterday.

Leaning LSU and under. 
Skenes goes 4 innings leaving a small window for Fla. 

Fla. still has most of their strong pitchers left. LSU has some decent bull pen guys left. 

Coaches have talked numerous times about manufacturing runs in the larger ballpark etc.

The Tigers are battle tested and ready for this big stage. 
Just my opinions. Good luck. 

This is the great unknown. The guy is the 1st or 2nd overall pick. He is worth millions already. None of us know if his "agent", parents or even the top two teams in MLB draft are telling him to shut down the arm. Hell Coach Johnson out of respect to Paul might shut him down and that is why he won't say. It was well known and publicized that he was pitching vs Wake to get to the finals. This game not so much.

But yeah lets say he goes 4 innings. So far Jac Caglianone hasn't exactly impressed this CWS with his pitching. He is due up for Florida. He has electric stuff to say the least but his control has been erratic. But in fairness to him it was over 2 weeks between toeing the rubber so as I mentioned in my write up he might have been a little rusty. He last pitched June 21 so 5 days ago. He was pulled after 85 pitches but still had the lead after giving up a lead off single in the bottom of the fifth. If he comes in and shuts down (relatively speaking) the LSU offense for 6-7 innings (about half his starts go that deep and half far shorter) with Florida using their top two relievers the rest of the way this could a be a tough game for LSU regardless if Paul Skenes pitches or not.

I agree with you! LSU will not light up the scoreboard with their lineup but Florida will be tight at the plate knowing what’s at stake resulting in a low scoring game. LSU just seems to have the championship TEAM swagger about them and not Florida. LSU has a few characters on that team that crack me up. Night time game with the majority of fans being for LSU gets them the championship. I look for Herring to be the hero on the mound for LSU. 

Throw last night out the door. LSU mailed that game in early so the score means nothing. That being said, FL offense who has been struggling for the most part finally came alive so you better believe the confidence is sky high. Cags just needs to go 4-5 innings giving up less than 3. His control is always questionable and these umps have been horrendous so yes I’m worried. As for Skenes, the game plan should be simple for UF, make him pitch deep into counts. They did a good job eliminating the stupid high fastball swings as they were all swinging for the fences gm1 making that LSU pitcher look like he was a future cry young winner. UF can outscore LSU in a tight 5-4 game tonight. Love that the public is all over LSU and Skenes, he’s good but he’s not going to help the weak 4-9 LSU hitters. 

This is a fair assessment too. Many reasons why this game is a bit of a toss up. Game 1 was for me as I leaned LSU +1.5 figuring that if Florida wins it won't be by much but went with the over instead. Game 2 I was all over Florida as I saw as a no brainer. Immediately put the bet in after game one figuring the line would rise (it did a little but not much). Game 3 is very tough. I could see it go either way. Very much undecided. I can't play an under in this game as game one should have gone over x2 and game 2 did go over x3.

Finish strong buddy

@jesron1269

Spot on, I’m a Gator so I’m pulling for them. The series has been bizarre, our two best pitchers couldn’t throw a strike to save their lives and were irrelevant in both games. Cags is a slightly better than average pitcher and could come out throwing a gem or fall into the same situation of bad counts to pitch against or walks. I feel like if he can limit the damage from the 1st 3 LSU hitters he can keep the Gators in the game. Regardless, looking forward to the game and what better way to win than to beat the best pitcher in college baseball. 

That statement right there has me leaning Florida. In CWS history when you have a highly touted college pitcher as a generational talent they rarely ride into the sunset as the big winner. Florida woke up big yesterday. I don't care how people want to spin it. But LSU basically bought out the stadium. Its insane the level of fan involvement and support. But yes the back half of the LSU offense isn't very scary, especially for an LSU team. While if firing the Gator offense as a whole is very powerful.

Using O/U of 9.5, the last game of the CWS (2003-2022) is:

Over: 4/19 (21.0%)

Under: 15/19 (79.0%)

3 game series only:

Over: 3/10 (30.0%)

Under: 7/10 (70.0%)

Hey guys Skenes isn't starting tonight...it's Thatcher Hurd for us.

Thank you for the info. Interesting. They might bring Skenes in relief. Hurd pitched twice this CWS. Both in relief vs Wake Forest. First time allowed one run and second time zero runs. Looks like a solid choice. Never the less I am going to go with my gut on this one before the line dives off the map. Something tells me Florida shows up again today. Maybe Jac even pitches to his potential. Maybe Skenes isn't even available to pitch. Too much uncertainty. I will go with the home team for my final bet...

Florida +120 risking $500 to win $900 with the 50% profit bonus promo provided by Caesars. BOL to all!

That was predictable. It is actually smart to "save him" in the event Lsu gets down by hopefully only a run if they do at all. Save him for later innings to finish the game is the plan

Hmmm I am not sure. Skenes hasn't come in relief since his Freshman year from what I can tell. Very different animal than starting the game out. That being said he is a pro probably will be fine. Hurd has pitched 4 innings or more only 5 times this year. So unless his arm is stretched out probably expect 3-4 innings from him. Of course depending on how quickly he gets out of the innings or how extended the innings are.

I think by not starting Skenes they are in effect limiting his pitch count. One thing for sure, if he starts he doesn't finish the game which i think is the coaching plan. 

I guess we will see but I am 99% sure we see Skenes in for a 3 inning or less stint