Milw came thru yesterday evening - let's see if we can get it today. Let's look at some numbers:
- 108 TB Martinez 6
Clev Armstrong 5
Line opened at -108 currently 106-114 at various sites. Martinez is a starter, Last pitched against the Yankees on Oct 7. He got a No Decision and had given up 2 runs in that game. I give him a rating of 6. Armstrong is starting for Clev. he's a relief pitcher but has pitched great in the post season. With this Opening Starter business - I had to switch how I handicap games and use a different formula for calculating ratings to ensure it's apples to apples when dealing with opening starters. In this case Armstrong is a 5. With an opening line of 108 for the away team - I don't have any recent playoff data with that line. However, during the season that line has appeared several times and often the home team taking it.
I have found even with an opening starter - the teams have won games during this playoff season. We saw that yesterday in the Dodgers game. I don't feel as strong about this play as I did about Milw. and Clev yesterday but I think they take it.
My Play:
1. Clev -107
Good luck all
