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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    CHASE THE PLAYOFFS...RD.2

    «First Previous 212223 ... 262728 Next Last»
    Angle4U999
    js4u
    TurnstoneMoney
    Codearmani
    PIGGY_S
    ...
    Participants:
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    Posts: 684
    «First Previous 212223 ... 262728 Next Last»
     
    Angle4U999
    Angle4U999
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 1:41 PM ET #501

    Plus, the champs are a little overvalued on the spread.
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    Plus, the champs are a little overvalued on the spread.
     
    js4u
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 1:42 PM ET #502

    McShady  I love that prop bet.  Thats great odds.  BOL
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    McShady  I love that prop bet.  Thats great odds.  BOL
     
    TurnstoneMoney
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 1:47 PM ET #503

    Quote Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

    NBA...Write this down.

    Always fade the defending NBA champion the night of the ring/banner ceremony. That is usually the first home game.

    It won last year with Mia at Dallas, Clips at Lakers before that and I can't remember how far back. Maybe at least 5 years. I know it has won every year I have played it.

    Maybe somebody can back check this.

    The visiting team gets motivated by playing the champs and seeing the rings/banner etc. just lights a fire under them that much more!


    I get what your saying but both LA and Dallas weren't nearly as good the next year.

    I wouldn't fuck with Miami. They got better.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

    NBA...Write this down.

    Always fade the defending NBA champion the night of the ring/banner ceremony. That is usually the first home game.

    It won last year with Mia at Dallas, Clips at Lakers before that and I can't remember how far back. Maybe at least 5 years. I know it has won every year I have played it.

    Maybe somebody can back check this.

    The visiting team gets motivated by playing the champs and seeing the rings/banner etc. just lights a fire under them that much more!


    I get what your saying but both LA and Dallas weren't nearly as good the next year.

    I wouldn't fuck with Miami. They got better.
     
    Codearmani
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 1:58 PM ET #504

    I agree with Turnstone

    Miami still have the best team on the paper in NBA, i think they will show off first game. But i hope you prove me wrong and win some money
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    I agree with Turnstone

    Miami still have the best team on the paper in NBA, i think they will show off first game. But i hope you prove me wrong and win some money
     
    PIGGY_S
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 1:58 PM ET #505

    So if i am correct our plans are------ Under 7 in sf game, prop bet on home run, and than the first team to loose bet?

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    So if i am correct our plans are------ Under 7 in sf game, prop bet on home run, and than the first team to loose bet?

     
    Codearmani
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 2:00 PM ET #506

    well piggy, thats up to you. What you believe in. But i am on the under chase
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    well piggy, thats up to you. What you believe in. But i am on the under chase
     
    randognsac
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 2:44 PM ET #507

    I decided to chase the under in the Giants game. I also am playing a smaller chase on the Giants to win one away.
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    I decided to chase the under in the Giants game. I also am playing a smaller chase on the Giants to win one away.
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 2:54 PM ET #508

    One of the funniest things I see on Covers is posters +20 units and their daily card has 20 units In Play or more...Whats the point?
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    One of the funniest things I see on Covers is posters +20 units and their daily card has 20 units In Play or more...Whats the point?
     
    semperfi19
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:08 PM ET #509

    No time for write ups: LEANS ONLY

    Cards -125......   Lohse is having a career year and I see the Cards getting to Cain. 

    Tigers/yanks...Under 3.5 F5   I have run the numbers here and I have a total of 5 runs for thr game.   I now it's and elimination game so there may be some added bonus runs in the late innings so I will stick with a F5 bet only.

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    No time for write ups: LEANS ONLY

    Cards -125......   Lohse is having a career year and I see the Cards getting to Cain. 

    Tigers/yanks...Under 3.5 F5   I have run the numbers here and I have a total of 5 runs for thr game.   I now it's and elimination game so there may be some added bonus runs in the late innings so I will stick with a F5 bet only.

     
    Codearmani
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:08 PM ET #510

    Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

    One of the funniest things I see on Covers is posters +20 units and their daily card has 20 units In Play or more...Whats the point?

    It is completely nonsense. I have noticed it as well, and i doesn't make sense. Just divide it by 20. Think they feel more important when they do it like that.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

    One of the funniest things I see on Covers is posters +20 units and their daily card has 20 units In Play or more...Whats the point?

    It is completely nonsense. I have noticed it as well, and i doesn't make sense. Just divide it by 20. Think they feel more important when they do it like that.  
     
    Codearmani
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:10 PM ET #511

    interesting semper, will look into that f5 bet. Thanks for the bet
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    interesting semper, will look into that f5 bet. Thanks for the bet
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:26 PM ET #512

    Working on NFL BYE week Trendz....

    If you FADED a team the game b4 their BYE
    If you FOLLOWED a team G1 after their BYE
    If you FADED a team G2 after their BYE 


    18-2 ATS
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    Working on NFL BYE week Trendz....

    If you FADED a team the game b4 their BYE
    If you FOLLOWED a team G1 after their BYE
    If you FADED a team G2 after their BYE 


    18-2 ATS
     
    Codearmani
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:29 PM ET #513

    Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

    Working on NFL BYE week Trendz....

    If you FADED a team the game b4 their BYE
    If you FOLLOWED a team G1 after their BYE
    If you FADED a team G2 after their BYE 


    18-2 ATS

    Great work, is that ATS? 
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    Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

    Working on NFL BYE week Trendz....

    If you FADED a team the game b4 their BYE
    If you FOLLOWED a team G1 after their BYE
    If you FADED a team G2 after their BYE 


    18-2 ATS

    Great work, is that ATS? 
     
    Codearmani
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:30 PM ET #514

    Jeses, sorry, overlooked the last line :)
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    Jeses, sorry, overlooked the last line :)
     
    tailing
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:38 PM ET #515

    so atlanta would have fell into fade b4 bye and also -9.5 trend. prob should of ended being no play with contradicting trends






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    so atlanta would have fell into fade b4 bye and also -9.5 trend. prob should of ended being no play with contradicting trends






     
    ChipsNVouchers
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:41 PM ET #516

    Semper- the Giants are 35-0 and the over in Det f5 is 16-0 with these umpires! Play ball! ;)
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    Semper- the Giants are 35-0 and the over in Det f5 is 16-0 with these umpires! Play ball! ;)
     
    kinggeorge27
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:41 PM ET #517

    Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

    Working on NFL BYE week Trendz....

    If you FADED a team the game b4 their BYE
    If you FOLLOWED a team G1 after their BYE
    If you FADED a team G2 after their BYE 


    18-2 ATS

    Amazing. Well done, you just keep finding the niche to succeed. First of all, thanks for the research. Mostly, thanks for sharing. Much appreciated. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

    Working on NFL BYE week Trendz....

    If you FADED a team the game b4 their BYE
    If you FOLLOWED a team G1 after their BYE
    If you FADED a team G2 after their BYE 


    18-2 ATS

    Amazing. Well done, you just keep finding the niche to succeed. First of all, thanks for the research. Mostly, thanks for sharing. Much appreciated. 
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:41 PM ET #518

    Thats the problem with football matchups...conflicting TRENDz and only one game to play it out. But it helps trim the fat
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    Thats the problem with football matchups...conflicting TRENDz and only one game to play it out. But it helps trim the fat
     
    tailing
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:43 PM ET #519

    not a big difference but i believe bears pounded jags before bye week.
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    not a big difference but i believe bears pounded jags before bye week.
     
    billyloco
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:44 PM ET #520

    Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

    @billyloco

    Hope u feel better soon 

    Thanks Shady...everyday I get stronger, tomorrow is my Heart Surgeon's appt....all I want is to be able to drive and ride the gym bike.....PLUS, all of you if ya got Diabetes OR a sibling, parent, has/had it....get yourselves checked out ... IT CAN BE CONTROLLED!!
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    Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

    @billyloco

    Hope u feel better soon 

    Thanks Shady...everyday I get stronger, tomorrow is my Heart Surgeon's appt....all I want is to be able to drive and ride the gym bike.....PLUS, all of you if ya got Diabetes OR a sibling, parent, has/had it....get yourselves checked out ... IT CAN BE CONTROLLED!!
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:46 PM ET #521

    Quote Originally Posted by tailing:

    not a big difference but i believe bears pounded jags before bye week.

    they cancel each other out...both share the same bye week 
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    Quote Originally Posted by tailing:

    not a big difference but i believe bears pounded jags before bye week.

    they cancel each other out...both share the same bye week 
     
    Go_Nads
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:49 PM ET #522

    Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

    Working on NFL BYE week Trendz....

    If you FADED a team the game b4 their BYE
    If you FOLLOWED a team G1 after their BYE
    If you FADED a team G2 after their BYE 


    18-2 ATS

    I'd be careful.  Using https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query

    Since 2006:
    If you FADED a team the game b4 their BYE: 97-96-3 ATS
    If you FOLLOWED a team G1 after their BYE: 92-70-4 ATS

    Haven't figured out how to get the query right for Game 2 after a bye.  Might just be looking at a statistical anomaly with the YTD stats
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    Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

    Working on NFL BYE week Trendz....

    If you FADED a team the game b4 their BYE
    If you FOLLOWED a team G1 after their BYE
    If you FADED a team G2 after their BYE 


    18-2 ATS

    I'd be careful.  Using https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query

    Since 2006:
    If you FADED a team the game b4 their BYE: 97-96-3 ATS
    If you FOLLOWED a team G1 after their BYE: 92-70-4 ATS

    Haven't figured out how to get the query right for Game 2 after a bye.  Might just be looking at a statistical anomaly with the YTD stats
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:54 PM ET #523

    Thx for that Nads..

    I NEVER have bet one of my Trendz blindly. Just a starting point to look into a game

    And I dont really follow any stat that doesnt pertain to the current season

    And I wish we were watching NFL from 2006-2010...This current style football with rule changes and team dynamics....These guys are PUSSIES!
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    Thx for that Nads..

    I NEVER have bet one of my Trendz blindly. Just a starting point to look into a game

    And I dont really follow any stat that doesnt pertain to the current season

    And I wish we were watching NFL from 2006-2010...This current style football with rule changes and team dynamics....These guys are PUSSIES!
     
    tailing
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:54 PM ET #524

    ur research is ridiculous. by the time i look something up its already on ss.i love it. are u going to chase all 3 under till one comes in and stop after first one. sorry i know thats sometghing everyone knows
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    ur research is ridiculous. by the time i look something up its already on ss.i love it. are u going to chase all 3 under till one comes in and stop after first one. sorry i know thats sometghing everyone knows
     
     
    Go_Nads
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    Posts: 199
    Posted: Oct. 17, 2012 - 3:57 PM ET #525

    Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

    And I wish we were watching NFL from 2006-2010...This current style football with rule changes and team dynamics....These guys are PUSSIES!

    I agree with that.  The fact that the rules keep changing, makes it difficult to put alot of faith in the results you get from back testing.  Its a completely different game now than it was 6-7 years ago.
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    Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

    And I wish we were watching NFL from 2006-2010...This current style football with rule changes and team dynamics....These guys are PUSSIES!

    I agree with that.  The fact that the rules keep changing, makes it difficult to put alot of faith in the results you get from back testing.  Its a completely different game now than it was 6-7 years ago.
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