2020 Hot Stove

I agree, Cardinals will take some time to get their timing back, after off so long.

I am 0-3 betting Gio this year....he doesnt seem engaged . Cards are sitting and waiting . Doesnt warrant this F5 line but i hope im wrong 

You're right. Giolitto is all over the place. The Cardinals have only one legitimate hit so far and scored 3. I figured the Cardinals road trip in 41 separate cars after zero practice for weeks would keep their bats cold. So another under burns, I really have to lay off the totals. Or just blind bet overs from here on out.

Nice work yesterday! Good luck today 

I haven't liked many lines lately but two I like for today:

Cubs -105 - They will let Rea get in a full load today hopefully.  Lets see that he is over the injury and back to being the stud he was suppose to be 

Dodgers over 9 - Just feels like this series will produce a lot of runs.  Pitching won't matter with these two clubs.  Both really good offenses. 

Steven Matz UNDER 4.5 K's(+115) *1/1.15

This guy gets a lot of batters into a 2 strike count, but has difficulty getting that 3rd, so this one will be a nail biter. Other book has the under at -135.

James Paxton OVER 6.5 K's(even) *1.00

Rough start to the year for Paxton. But the signs are there of an older guy who should be stretched out by now.

First game: 1 inning, 1 K, 41 pitches. Got rocked by the Nats who hit lefties at .328/.910 with a 17% k rate in the first 5 innings.

Second game: 3 innings, 4 K's, 62 pitches. Vs Boston on 8-2-20, so he got 4 but today the book says 6.5...that's a nasty hook.

Third game: 6.1 innings, 11 K's, 87 pitches. Vs Tampa who whiffs 29.1% vs LHP in the first 5. That's high, but we need only 7 today.

Nathan Eovaldi UNDER 5 K's(+110) *1/1.10

He's pitched 4 games, gone 5 innings twice, and 6 innings twice, averaging 88.5 pitches per outing. He has been the only sure thing for Boston's rotation this year. And you know what happens in baseball when you think you know what a sure thing is right? That sure thing flips on it's a s s so fast and you don't know wtf happened.

His K count has gone like this, 4,4,6,10. So why does the bookie say only 5 today? In his first two games vs NYM and BAL they had a lower k rate vs RHP in the first 5 at 20.3% and 20.6%. Then he got 6 vs Tampa(24.3%) and 10 vs TOR(23.7%).

The Yankees are at 20.1%. But in the last 7 days the Yankees are at 17.1%, hitting .329/1.074, and this is without Giancarlo Stanton who's last game was on 8-8-20 before getting hurt. Aaron Judge went down on 8-11-20, worrisome? I don't think I will miss his 26.5% k rate in the lineup.

Best of Luck

Giants 1st 5 ML(-105) *1.05/1.00

Kevin Gausman OVER 5 K's(-129) *1/.78

Rockies ML(-178) *1/.56

That's all, 9 plays and all ready in a 0-3 hole. Good Luck

How is everyone doing,SAC how the Ks going,must still be hitting them as you got a few going,

Cinn.ppd,anyone know why?

Have not been betting so been off of Covers,plus do not like new set up,the urge to play could come back so might just be me trying to figure out how these seasons are going to play out with no fans,I saw where someone mentioned they thought it was different without the heckling and other things Fans do and seemed to be affecting some players.

need more info maybe.

From mlb.com:

After it was learned that a Reds player tested positive for COVID-19, Major League Baseball postponed the final two games of Cincinnati's series vs. the Pirates for Saturday and Sunday.

It has not been revealed which Cincinnati player tested positive. Both teams have off days on Monday for possible makeup games, but no dates have been announced to complete the games.

One caveat about the Eovaldi play sac, for whatever reason he has great number against the Yankees, but i guess the number is so low because of Stanton and Judge both being out, which only lead Gary as a free swinger, maybe also Gardner.

BOL with the plays

Let's make it 10.

Walker Buehler UNDER 5.5 K's(+110) *1/1.10

He's not exactly himself this year, he has been keeping the ball up and producing a lot of fly balls. His velo is ever so slightly down compared to last year as well. Normally, he is a ground ball machine. So something is up with him mechanically. It may not be major but something is different.

He has never pitched at Angels Stadium. He has never had Jim Reynolds behind the dish who is averaging a lowly 16.6 K's per game. The Angels vs RHP in the last week or so are raking with a super low K rate. Especially the 4 lefty's in the lineup today.

Good Luck

For Sunday:

Mets ML(+125) *1.25/1.56

Porcello/Wheeler listed

Wheeler is one of the most over rated pitchers the last 3 or 4 years. Mostly hype, and the Mets know him better than anyone. Ricky Porkchop is a good veteran getting disrespectful odds. The Mets bullpen has been cleaning up their act while the Phillies seem to have no regard to the guys they use out of the pen.

Best of Luck 

Thoughts on White Sox,  Cubs and Rockies for today? Thanks Sac.

GL , sac 

The White Sox injuries are taking a toll. Especially in the bullpen. Leury Garcia was on fire, hurt his hand.  Aaron Bummer might be the best relief pitcher in baseball, he's been out. If you back Keuchel to stop the bleeding, I wouldn't disagree with you.

The Cubs bullpen reared it's ugly head the last 2 days. Alec Mills and Colin Rae spun great outings, and they still lost. David Ross has managed/hid his bullpen brilliantly this year, but who knows how long that can last. If you back Lester to stop the bleeding, I wouldn't disagree.

The Rockies are 12-8, and I think I'm 0-4 betting on them. That's how sh*tty my read on them is. I rarely get a good read on Jon Gray, his outcomes are all over the map. They made Kyle Gibson look like Greg Maddux yesterday. Maybe they'll make Kolby Allard look like Randy Johnson today, I have no clue with them.

Good luck today....will probably be on the Rays either -1 or F5 -½ at some point also ...dont believe in Shoe for my Jays

Hit submit too early....you may want to check the Under K also

Awesome insight. The Rockies I can't seem to get a handle either for some reason there bats are non existent whenever I bet them, but once i stop they score 10 in one inning. Good luck today.

ML 28-30(-1.63)

O/U 9-16(-7.99)

RL 6-6(+0.55)

K's 42-22(+17.67)

YTD=85-74(+8.60)

4-6 for -2.02 yesterday. Steven Matz pulled off a 5th K while getting hammered, a 2.15 unit swing. I really have to stop betting unders this day and age.

Danger...

Max Scherzer OVER 8 K's(-115) *2.30/2.00

Max Scherzer OVER 8.5 K's(+110) *1/1.10

Max Scherzer OVER 9.5 K's(+156) *.50/.78

Max Scherzer OVER 10.5 K's(+274) *.25/.69

Blue Jays ML(+107) *1/1.07

Chirinos/Shoemaker scheduled

Giants 1st 5 ML(-105) *1.05/1.00

Fiers/Webb scheduled

Dodgers TT OVER 5.5(-135) *1.50/1.11

Out till later, GL everyone 

BOL Sac 

why danger sac?

Cause I could lose my a s s 

gotcha! Best of luck!