*EdgeHunter Week 11 — Hunting Edges, Not Chasing Lines!*

Overall Record Posted (29-19) — 60.42% — +34.10U 

NFL (7-8) — 46.67%

NCAAF (22-11) — 66.67%

Huge Target 5U (12-5) — 70.59% — +32.50U (Huge Target units are already included in the overall unit profit, not additional earnings.)

Hello Cover Friends, 

Saturday is finally here! Plenty of games on the board and plenty of edges to find. With so many matchups to go through and it already being this late, I'm going to try to keep my analysis a little shorter than usual. Knowing myself, we'll see how that goes! Haha! I'm still trying to get used to this late night posting routine. Had a long day at work, and all I really want to do right now is get some sleep, but the grind doesn't stop, though! Let's pray for a big day tomorrow, fellas! Hopefully we can find ourselves on the right side of some good matchups and come away with a profitable Saturday!

GOLDEN PLAYS; 

Wake Forest Demon Deacons+1.5 (Huge Target)

Wake Forest First Half +1.5 (Huge Target)

Why??

I like Wake Forest in this matchup because I believe they have the stronger defense, and that's where I see the biggest edge. The Demon Deacons have been outstanding against the run, allowing just 2.69 yards per carry. Their defensive front has been disruptive all season, led by Langston Hardy, who has 13.5 tackles for loss and 5.5 sacks. With SMU dealing with several defensive injuries, I think Wake Forest has a real opportunity to control this matchup.

Offensively, Gio Lopez has done an excellent job taking care of the football, throwing just one interception in eight appearances. He's developed great chemistry with Carlos Hernandez, and Wake has enough explosive playmakers to challenge SMU's defense.

SMU has the more experienced quarterback in Kevin Jennings, but I believe Wake Forest's combination of defensive physicality, quarterback efficiency, and ability to protect the football gives them the edge. That's why I believe Wake Forest is the better side in this matchup.

GIVE ME THE DEMONS DEACONS HUGE!! 

UAB Blazers+2.5 (small target)

UAB First Half +1.5 (small target)

Why??

UAB has the stronger defense in this matchup, and that's where I see the biggest edge. Their defensive front has been impressive all season, especially Marlin Dean, who has 10.5 sacks and five forced fumbles. The Blazers have recorded 21 sacks through nine games and haven't allowed a single opponent to throw for 200 yards.

That's going to be a tough matchup for a Temple offensive line that has already allowed 20 sacks. On the other side, Temple has struggled stopping the run, and UAB has three capable running backs who can take advantage of that weakness.

Looking at their common opponents, UAB went 3-1 while Temple went 1-3. UAB beat Navy, East Carolina and Charlotte, while Temple lost to all three.

I know UAB has struggled on the road, but when I break down the personnel, defensive front and overall matchups, I believe UAB is the better football team here.

LET'S GOOO UAB!!

Tennessee Volunteers -1.5 (small target)

Tennessee First half -1.5 (small target)

Why??

Tennessee's biggest edge in this matchup is its rushing attack. DeSean Bishop has rushed for 1,066 yards and 13 touchdowns, including five straight 100-yard games. With 661 of those yards coming in the second half, Tennessee has shown it can wear defenses down.

Texas A&M has struggled offensively against quality SEC competition, scoring just nine points against South Carolina and 20 against Alabama. Tennessee also has the stronger defensive production, led by Arion Carter, and has done a great job forcing turnovers.

I believe Tennessee's ability to control the ground game and create turnovers will be the difference here.

WOOOO VOLUNTEERS! 

Rice -3 (small target)

Rice First Half -2.5 (small target)

WHY??

What really stands out to me in this matchup is how poorly Tulane has defended the run, especially against a Rice offense built around running the football. Scott Abell's option system has multiple weapons, including Jacurri Brown, Gael Ochoa, Tyvonn Byars and D'Andre Hardeman Jr.

Rice showed just how dangerous this rushing attack can be when they piled up 499 yards on the ground against Florida Atlantic. Their offensive line has done a great job creating running lanes, and with Tulane struggling to control the line of scrimmage, I see plenty of opportunities for the Owls to move the football.

I believe Rice has the personnel and offensive scheme to exploit Tulane's biggest defensive weakness. That's what separates these two teams for me.

GOT RICE?? YES I GOT RICE!! 

That's it for now, fellas! I've got more plays lined up for the afternoon, and I'll post them as the day goes on. I'm done for the night and ready to hit the hay! BUT LOOKING AHEAD, MORE OF THE HUGE TARGETS ARE AT NIGHT!!

Bets in, eyes shut! Haha!  goodnight!

Where are you on the usc indiana game? Im riding with USC ATS

@EdgeHunterGuru

BOL!!

@Khostfacd

I only cap games that are -3 or less. That's my approach and strategy when it comes to college football. 

Rocky Top all the way brother! Thanks for the pics 

Great matchup GL with Wake (the more complete team imo)  

Good luck EHG.  

BOL to you today!  

GL 

@Titans1111

 No problemo! GOOD MORNING ALL! 

@UntamedWolf

Thanks brother! I agree, Wake Forest looks like the more complete team overall. I like what they bring on both sides of the ball, and I think their overall balance gives them the edge in this matchup. Now it's just a matter of going out there and executing. GL to us! 

Thank you sir 

LFG Edge. 

@EdgeHunterGuru

 Love it! Don't like taking a team that just scored 77 nor playing a team undefeated at home but if they lose I'm willing to go down with the ship. Superior team, let's go! 

@kewlassht

I’m with you brother! Definitely a couple things that make me nervous, but I still think we’re on the better team. Sometimes you just gotta trust the matchup and roll with it. Let’s get this one!

 Congrats on the solid record brother… but annoyed with the AI middleman mumbo….new pet peeve of mine…I see it at work enough, hate that I see it here. Keep the record going, but typos and misspelled words needs to be preserved.

@LB_Dirtbags

 Wassup bags!! Bruh, I love your honesty brother!! I’ll keep that in mind moving forward!! Sometimes it just makes life so much easier. But heck , where’s the personality, right! 

Thanks for the Arizona pick yday too! 

Wake is +2.5 now!

Would you buy to + 3 or does the line movement concern you?

Deacons!!!

I bought the fh and game to +4.5 and went larger than normal fingers crossed gl!

Wake Forest let gooooooooooo 

@EdgeHunterGuru

 Is this "nickel"??  One of the best cappers i know uses this rule, only -3 or less.  His name was "NB's"(initials of the 2 words). He got off thr forums back in 2018/19 id say.  Assholes putting their whole paycheck on a play he posts, then bash him in the thread after one of 34% of losses over years of posting.  "I heard you were the best, with a rant after", is what got him to stop.