Posted:
#2201
gl today
glta
🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵
Posted:
#2205
. June 09
HOT STREAK WARNING!
SALE, Braves
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! 
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts! 
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team loses! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe
Posted:
#2207
. June 09
HOT STREAK WARNING!
Berrios, Blew-it Jays
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts!
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team loses! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe
THANKS, guys! Appreciated!
Posted:
#2216
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Tuesday, June 10: Tiggers +119 @pin *BBCinci -105 @pinPirates -144 @pinTampa +100 @pinMets -140 @pin *BBNYY -188 @pin
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Tuesday, June 10: Tiggers +119 @pin *BBCinci -105 @pinPirates -144 @pinTampa +100 @pinMets -140 @pin *BBNYY -188 @pin
Cards -121 @pin
Twins -120 @pin
NYY/KC un 9 -127 alt-line @pin *BB
Under 8.5 isn't as good but acceptable....
Posted:
#2218
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Tuesday, June 10: Tiggers +119 @pin *BBCinci -105 @pinPirates -144 @pinTampa +100 @pinMets -140 @pin *BBNYY -188 @pin Cards -121 @pinTwins -120 @pinNYY/KC un 9 -127 alt-line @pin *BB Under 8.5 isn't as good but acceptable....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Tuesday, June 10: Tiggers +119 @pin *BBCinci -105 @pinPirates -144 @pinTampa +100 @pinMets -140 @pin *BBNYY -188 @pin Cards -121 @pinTwins -120 @pinNYY/KC un 9 -127 alt-line @pin *BB Under 8.5 isn't as good but acceptable....
Dodgers -103 @pin
Posted:
#2219
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Tuesday, June 10: Tiggers +119 @pin *BBCinci -105 @pinPirates -144 @pinTampa +100 @pinMets -140 @pin *BBNYY -188 @pin Cards -121 @pinTwins -120 @pinNYY/KC un 9 -127 alt-line @pin *BB Under 8.5 isn't as good but acceptable.... Dodgers -103 @pin
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Tuesday, June 10: Tiggers +119 @pin *BBCinci -105 @pinPirates -144 @pinTampa +100 @pinMets -140 @pin *BBNYY -188 @pin Cards -121 @pinTwins -120 @pinNYY/KC un 9 -127 alt-line @pin *BB Under 8.5 isn't as good but acceptable.... Dodgers -103 @pin
Seattle +125 @pin
Posted:
#2222
Quote Originally Posted by Betterthanu:
I added on Tampa and St Louis and they both crapped the bed lol. MLB is tough.
I added on Tampa and St Louis and they both crapped the bed lol. MLB is tough.
Yep, random chance frequently swings the opposite way. 
I had both those teams pegged at almost 60% chance to win. But that still leaves a large 40% of the time when those odds fail me.
Posted:
#2223
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by Betterthanu: I added on Tampa and St Louis and they both crapped the bed lol. MLB is tough. Yep, random chance frequently swings the opposite way. I had both those teams pegged at almost 60% chance to win. But that still leaves a large 40% of the time when those odds fail me.
Quote Originally Posted by Betterthanu: I added on Tampa and St Louis and they both crapped the bed lol. MLB is tough. Yep, random chance frequently swings the opposite way. I had both those teams pegged at almost 60% chance to win. But that still leaves a large 40% of the time when those odds fail me.
I also pegged that Dodgers at 58% chance and Seattle at 55% chance.....but both seem determined to LOSE tonight...which makes for a losing day...
However, I did manage 2 - 1 with *Best Bets
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