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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Legend
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Posted: #2226

YTD: 38 - 30

 

Tor +124       should have a +0.5 run edge here

 
Legend
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Posted: #2227

Seattle +102 @pin   

I have Mariners with a +0.5 run edge ....mind you I thought that yesterday and they lost 3 - 10

 
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Posted: #2228

Sacramento Athletics +134 @pin   I have them with a +0.5 run edge too!

 
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Posted: #2229

@fubah2

 I can't put money on the Dodgers on the road, let alone this season. Their pitching staff is really patch work again this season.

 
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Posted: #2230

GL clover on your plays @fubah2 peace_5

 

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
Legend
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Posted: #2231

. June 11

an_police an_blowhorn  HOT STREAK WARNING!

 

                                Littell,  Rays

 

             This STARTER is riding a tenuous  10-game  HOT STREAK, 

                    WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

 

       ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

 

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  It happens to the best of them.  Just CAN NOT be avoided.

When???  We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens!  But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day.  There's other games to look at.  I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts! an_2drinks

 

CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team loses! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe

 
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Posted: #2232

an_blowhornFade is a serious consideration when the HOT STARTER hits double-digits!!

 
Legend
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Posted: #2233

. June 11

an_police an_blowhorn  HOT STREAK WARNING!

 

                                Pederson,  Mets

 

             This STARTER is riding a tenuous  12-game  HOT STREAK, 

                    WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

 

       ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

 

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  It happens to the best of them.  Just CAN NOT be avoided.

When???  We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens!  But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day.  There's other games to look at.  I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts! an_2drinks

 

CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team loses! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe

 
Legend
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Posted: #2234

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

YTD: 38 - 30  

Tor +124       should have a +0.5 run edge here

 

Yankees -123 @pin

 
Legend
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Posted: #2235

. June 11

an_police an_blowhorn  HOT STREAK WARNING!

 

                                RAY,  Giants

 

             This STARTER is riding a tenuous  9-game  HOT STREAK, 

                    WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

 

       ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

 

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  It happens to the best of them.  Just CAN NOT be avoided.

When???  We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens!  But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day.  There's other games to look at.  I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts! an_2drinks

 

CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team loses! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe

 
Legend
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Posted: #2236

Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

GL  on your plays @fubah2

cool TY, Mac! peace_5  BoL tonight with your bets!

 
Legend
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Posted: #2237

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: YTD: 38 - 30   Tor +124       should have a +0.5 run edge here   Yankees -123 @pin

BUBIC (Royals) has really good numbers entering tonight vs the Yankees. In 12 starts he only had 2 "bad outings" and was on a 6 game hot streak before tonight.

He's struggling tonight "bigly" allowing 7 baserunners in just 2 innings an_speechlesspaint_help

 
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Posted: #2238

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

. June 11   HOT STREAK WARNING!                                   Littell,  Rays                This STARTER is riding a tenuous  10-game  HOT STREAK,                      WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!          ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!               

Littell's 10 game hot streak without a bad outing, comes to an end today with 4 homeruns! This is regardless the final score, although fading his team was a serious consideration with low odds....but I passed due to the NATS offense being as hot as they are...

 

 
Legend
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Posted: #2239

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: . June 11   HOT STREAK WARNING!                                   Littell,  Rays                This STARTER is riding a tenuous  10-game  HOT STREAK,                      WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!          ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!                Littell's 10 game hot streak without a bad outing, comes to an end today with 4 homeruns! This is regardless the final score, although fading his team was a serious consideration with low odds....but I passed due to the NATS offense being as hot as they are...

 

Ooops I mixed up RAYS with NATS...

Anyway, Littel's RAYS lost due to those 4 earned runs given up 

 
Legend
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Posted: #2240

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

. June 11   HOT STREAK WARNING!                                   RAY,  Giants                This STARTER is riding a tenuous  9-game  HOT STREAK,                      WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!          ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!               

Ray's streak of 9 straight starts WITHOUT a bad outing ended tonight.

He allowed 8 on base and 4 runs scored before being yanked after just 4 ip.

 
Legend
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Posted: #2241

Wed, June 11 results

L Cinci -118
W Tor +124
L Sea +102
L Athletics +134
W Yankees -123 @pin

 

3rd consecutive losing day this week.  Either it is random chance or I have these early week series pegged all wrong.

YTD: 40 - 33

 
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Posted: #2242

 

Thursday, June 12:

NYMets -235 overnight line @pin

 

Tailing not recommended during my cold streak! an_lightening

 
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Posted: #2243
Twins to get back on track with series win over Texas
 
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Posted: #2244

@fubah2

Fubah you’re not wrong been handicapping just the way we always do and just not clicking can’t change our methods it’s just random it should correct itself 

 
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Posted: #2245

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Thursday, June 12: NYMets -235 overnight line @pin   Tailing not recommended during my cold streak!

 

SP SENGA leaves in 6th with apparent leg injury surprised

Through 5.2 ip he allowed only 2 on base! an_clap

 
Legend
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Posted: #2246

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Thursday, June 12:

NYMets -235 overnight line @pin  

 

Tailing not recommended during my cold streak! an_lightening

Giants -187 @pin

I have SF with a 2.4 run edge....as long as Senzatela doesn't defy the odds and have a rare good game.

 
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Posted: #2247

UGLY  surprised

The weakass Texas bats are having their way with the Twinkies, having 18 reach base and 13 runs in only 6 innings an_speechless

 
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Posted: #2248
My twins are done!!! Not if but when they fall under .500!!! Our season is over!!!
 
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Posted: #2249

@fubah2

 Unbelievable 

 
 
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Posted: #2250

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Thursday, June 12: NYMets -235 overnight line @pin   Tailing not recommended during my cold streak!   SP SENGA leaves in 6th with apparent leg injury  Through 5.2 ip he allowed only 2 on base!

 

Looked to be a hamstring injury, probably at least a month, just as the Mets have been rolling.  He's a nice pitcher but gets injured often .

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