Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Eight lefty starters on Wednesday! Hmmmm Interesting...Dodgers 25-12 vs starting RHP and 7-9 vs LHP. Worth noting Dodgers have a strong OPS vs lefties though. Today's starter for Guardians is LHP in what looks to be a bullpen game for Cleveland.
Interesting ...
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Quote Originally Posted by McXmaster:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Eight lefty starters on Wednesday! Hmmmm Interesting...Dodgers 25-12 vs starting RHP and 7-9 vs LHP. Worth noting Dodgers have a strong OPS vs lefties though. Today's starter for Guardians is LHP in what looks to be a bullpen game for Cleveland.
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-gameHOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end anytime!
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify, are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says " pitching streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will - sooner or later - have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some starter HOT STREAKS may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip his starts until *AFTER* the inevitableBAD outing, then resume looking at his starts!
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" it doesn't guarantee his team loses! Just seriously weakens their chances! His team's bats could come thru with runs to save the day....... maybe
1
. May 28
HOT STREAK WARNING!!!
Mikolas, St.Louis
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-gameHOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end anytime!
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify, are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says " pitching streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will - sooner or later - have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some starter HOT STREAKS may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip his starts until *AFTER* the inevitableBAD outing, then resume looking at his starts!
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" it doesn't guarantee his team loses! Just seriously weakens their chances! His team's bats could come thru with runs to save the day....... maybe
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 7-gameHOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end anytime!
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify, are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says " pitching streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will - sooner or later - have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some starter HOT STREAKS may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip his starts until *AFTER* the inevitableBAD outing, then resume looking at his starts!
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" it doesn't guarantee his team loses! Just seriously weakens their chances! His team's bats could come thru with runs to save the day....... maybe
0
. May 27, 940pm ET
HOT STREAK WARNING!!!
Wheeler, Phillies
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 7-gameHOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end anytime!
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify, are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says " pitching streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will - sooner or later - have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some starter HOT STREAKS may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip his starts until *AFTER* the inevitableBAD outing, then resume looking at his starts!
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" it doesn't guarantee his team loses! Just seriously weakens their chances! His team's bats could come thru with runs to save the day....... maybe
Normally, I would have the Cardinals with a solid +1 run edge.....but Mikolas is on an 8-game consecutive streak WITHOUT a "bad outing" and that more or less makes this a coin-flipper - and therefore not worth a bet
1
Normally, I would have the Cardinals with a solid +1 run edge.....but Mikolas is on an 8-game consecutive streak WITHOUT a "bad outing" and that more or less makes this a coin-flipper - and therefore not worth a bet
[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Tracking privately my handicapped selections I have spent the past 4 weeks in utter mediocrity, only forging slightly ahead recently - but that could be a random result. Until or unless I establish a POSITIVE posted record, I do not recommend tailing my bets! Too risky for you UNLESS my picks are fully supported by a solid winning record this season. Every season is different. A good season last year could become a major flop this year.
YTD: 7 - 4
Wednesday's risky bets: @pinnacle
W Tiggers -105
W SF/Det un 8 -105
1
[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Tracking privately my handicapped selections I have spent the past 4 weeks in utter mediocrity, only forging slightly ahead recently - but that could be a random result. Until or unless I establish a POSITIVE posted record, I do not recommend tailing my bets! Too risky for you UNLESS my picks are fully supported by a solid winning record this season. Every season is different. A good season last year could become a major flop this year.
Quote Originally Posted by McXmaster: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Eight lefty starters on Wednesday! Hmmmm Interesting...Dodgers 25-12 vs starting RHP and 7-9 vs LHP. Worth noting Dodgers have a strong OPS vs lefties though. Today's starter for Guardians is LHP in what looks to be a bullpen game for Cleveland. Interesting ...
Nice +145 winner!
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by McXmaster: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Eight lefty starters on Wednesday! Hmmmm Interesting...Dodgers 25-12 vs starting RHP and 7-9 vs LHP. Worth noting Dodgers have a strong OPS vs lefties though. Today's starter for Guardians is LHP in what looks to be a bullpen game for Cleveland. Interesting ...
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by McXmaster: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Eight lefty starters on Wednesday! Hmmmm Interesting...Dodgers 25-12 vs starting RHP and 7-9 vs LHP. Worth noting Dodgers have a strong OPS vs lefties though. Today's starter for Guardians is LHP in what looks to be a bullpen game for Cleveland. Interesting ...
Nice +145 winner!
@McXmaster
1
Quote Originally Posted by McXmaster:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by McXmaster: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Eight lefty starters on Wednesday! Hmmmm Interesting...Dodgers 25-12 vs starting RHP and 7-9 vs LHP. Worth noting Dodgers have a strong OPS vs lefties though. Today's starter for Guardians is LHP in what looks to be a bullpen game for Cleveland. Interesting ...
According to ESPN, it is Smith vs Sanchez (-135) in the 1:00pm early game
and Sale/WHEELER (-130) in the 6:45 pm game #2
Be aware: the managers may likely to rest key people in one of the games, so I would hesitate to make bets now without knowing FOR CERTAIN who will be sitting and when!
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Braves/PHILLIES will be a DH on Thursday....
According to ESPN, it is Smith vs Sanchez (-135) in the 1:00pm early game
and Sale/WHEELER (-130) in the 6:45 pm game #2
Be aware: the managers may likely to rest key people in one of the games, so I would hesitate to make bets now without knowing FOR CERTAIN who will be sitting and when!
Braves/PHILLIES will be a DH on Thursday.... According to ESPN, it is Smith vs Sanchez (-135) in the 1:00pm early game and Sale/WHEELER (-130) in the 6:45 pm game #2 Be aware: the managers may likely to rest key people in one of the games, so I would hesitate to make bets now without knowing FOR CERTAIN who will be sitting and when!
Final lineup confirmation is typically 1.5 hrs pre-game....
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Braves/PHILLIES will be a DH on Thursday.... According to ESPN, it is Smith vs Sanchez (-135) in the 1:00pm early game and Sale/WHEELER (-130) in the 6:45 pm game #2 Be aware: the managers may likely to rest key people in one of the games, so I would hesitate to make bets now without knowing FOR CERTAIN who will be sitting and when!
Final lineup confirmation is typically 1.5 hrs pre-game....
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-gameHOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end anytime!
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" it doesn't guarantee his team loses! Just seriously weakens their chances! His team's bats could come thru with runs to save the day....... maybe
Mikolas pitched poorly today, allowing 9 on base and 4 ER in just 4 ip....his hot streak of 8 consecutive starts without a bad outing ENDS.
Fortunately for St.Louis, the Orioles pitching was even worse than Mikolas.
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
HOT STREAK WARNING!!!
Mikolas, St.Louis
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-gameHOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end anytime!
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" it doesn't guarantee his team loses! Just seriously weakens their chances! His team's bats could come thru with runs to save the day....... maybe
Mikolas pitched poorly today, allowing 9 on base and 4 ER in just 4 ip....his hot streak of 8 consecutive starts without a bad outing ENDS.
Fortunately for St.Louis, the Orioles pitching was even worse than Mikolas.
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Interesting ... 
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" it doesn't guarantee his team loses! Just seriously weakens their chances! His team's bats 
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