🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

. May 27,  8pm ET

  HOT STREAK WARNING!!!

                            Eovaldi,  Texas

         This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-game  HOT STREAK,

                    WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!            

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  It happens to the best of them.  Just CAN NOT be avoided.

When???  We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens!  But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day.  There's other games to look at.  I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts!

CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team loses! Just seriously weakens their chances. But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe

Taking your advice on the Yanks Fubah  I can't pass up on the price I'm getting with the Angels. Yanks might be a risky play tonight. Maybe.

BOL on your plays sir.   

@Coloneljim

 I’m an Angel fan but as a gambler I think it’s worth the risk we had hot bats during 8 game win streak now the bats have cooled and I think will continue to cool just my opinion 

EOVALDI , better take the bat himself, cause if he has a bad day and is counting on texas bats to bail him out, he better hope those bats wake up from their coma they have been in

Bets.  Always indicated with posted odds I bet into.

LEANS will always be stated specifically as LEANS

@cd329

 Yep.  Rangers are struggling at the plate! ....although the Blew-it Jays might be even worse (on the road)  Overall, run-scoring (RPG) is quite weak so far in MLB.   The "unders" are winning bigly!

@Fuse

 TY, Fuse.....and BoL with your bets! 

. May 27,  940pm ET

  HOT STREAK WARNING!!!

                              Burnes,  Arizona

            This STARTER is riding a tenuous 7-game  HOT STREAK, 

                    WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET! 

...but this should be anticipated to end anytime!             

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify, are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says " pitching streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will - sooner or later - have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. Just CAN NOT be avoided.

When???  We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some starter HOT STREAKS may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens!  But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day.  There's other games to look at.  I can simply skip his starts until *AFTER* the inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts!

CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" it doesn't guarantee his team loses! Just seriously weakens their chances! His team's bats could come thru with runs to save the day....... maybe 

            Caveat Emptor 

 Interesting shtats from Fubah!

Breakdown of MLB schedule if YOU bet on HEAVY FAVS.
May 1 - 26 only.  Based on closing odds.

FAVS of  -160  to -199:

Home teams:  21 - 21  (HUGE loser!!) 
8 won by only 1 run, so RL fav bets = 13 - 29 (HUGE loser!!) 

Away teams: 16 - 12  (big loser on juice!!) 
4 won by only 1 run, so RL fav bets  = 12 - 16  (big loser!) 

FAVS of -200 to -249:

Home teams:  19 - 8  (break-even on juice?!) 
6 won by only 1 run, so RL fav bets = 13 - 14 (big loser!)

Away teams:  7 - 4 (juice loser!) 
1 won by only 1 run, so RL fav bets = 6 - 5 (juice loser)

Have a great season partner. 

HEAVY FAVS of  -250  to -299:

Home teams:  13 - 2   (BIG WINNER!!!)   

...but 7 won by only 1 run, so RL fav bets = 6 - 9 (big loser!)

Away teams:   4 - 0   (WINNER!!!)  

...but 2 won by only 1 run, so RL fav bets = 2 - 2 (small juice loser)

VERY HEAVY FAVS of  -300 and up:

Home teams:    7 - 2   (break-even!)
All won by at least 2 runs so -1.5 RL favs = 7 - 2  +4.0u WINNER! 

Away teams:  1 - 2 (BIG juice loser!) 
Lone winner won by 2+ runs so RL favs = 1 - 2 (BIG loser!)

TY, JJ!   Hope you have a great run as well!  

    Texas ace Nathan Eovaldi departed the Rangers' Tuesday game against the visiting Toronto Blue Jays after two innings due to right triceps fatigue.

The Rangers revealed the diagnosis shortly after Eovaldi needed 39 pitches to get through two scoreless frames. The club also announced that the 35-year-old right-hander is not expected to miss a start.

Technically his streak continues at 9 straight without a "bad outing"

Eight lefty starters on Wednesday!

@fubah2   thanks for sharing your work        

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]YTD record:  0 - 1    -285 juice   (0 - 1 *BB)   Padres, from May 11

Tuesday, May 27  risky  bets:  (overnight lines)

W  Tiggers +105
W  Sf/Det un 7 -107
W  Philly -110
W  Min/TB un 9 -140 alt total
L    Cubbies -1.5 -150 RL
L    Cin/KC un 8 -110
W  Tor/Tex un 8 -114
W  Astros -205
W  Yankees -182
L    Pitt/AZ un 9 -121 alt total

= 7 - 3

Tracking privately my handicapped selections I have spent the past 4 weeks in utter mediocrity, only forging slightly ahead recently - but that could be a random result. Until or unless I establish a POSITIVE posted record, I do not recommend tailing my bets!   Too risky for you UNLESS my picks are fully supported by a solid winning record this season.  Every season is different.  A good season last year could become a major flop this year. 

FUB 

DG following NG ....be sure and check who is sitting out  in the early games!

Make that 9

Hmmmm  Interesting...Dodgers 25-12 vs starting RHP and 7-9 vs LHP.  Worth noting Dodgers have a strong OPS vs lefties though. Today's starter for Guardians is LHP in what looks to be a bullpen game for Cleveland.

Wednesday's risky bets:  @pinnacle

Tiggers -105

SF/Det un 8 -105