. May 25
HOT STREAK WARNING!
Ober, Twinkies
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! 
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that! 
. May 25
HOT STREAK WARNING!
Luzardo, Phillies
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 10-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that!
. May 25
HOT STREAK WARNING!
Senga, NY Mets
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that!
Dodgers , just the team that could end it too. I put a buch on Yankees RL yesterday - very high risk but I was that confident w the situation, teams and pitching match up. Worst team in history that beat them the day before and Yanks Ace going against meat. That's 101 gambling to me, yeah we can forse bets every day and think a team should win but to make money you have find situations that are so strong with a probability % that is extremely high or amazing odds for a dog that has a decent chance( that's where the real talent is, MATH) :)
Yesterday the Wolves were a great bet and their TT Over 107(I took) - Next game the Thunder should be a solid bet after losing by 40- if not certainly the game after that :) 
Although the Twinkies lost 2 - 1 at home, OBER pitched VERY WELL again!
Allowed only 8 on base and 1 run over 6.2 ip!!!
His STREAK without a "bad outing" now stretches precariously to 10 straight.
Luzardo, Phillies
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 10-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
Phillies lost 4 - 5, but LUZARDO pitched decent!
Allowed only 10 on base and 3 runs over 7.0 ip! NOT a "bad outing" for him.
His STREAK without a "bad outing" now stretches precariously to 11 straight.
Interesting! Keep up that good work, Ray!
. May 26, 4pm ET
HOT STREAK WARNING!
deGROM, Texas
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 7-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts!
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team loses! His team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe
YAMAMOTO (Dodgers) had 7 consecutive good pitching starts from the beginning of the season - then imploded on his 8th start yielding 5 earned runs in a loss. He has had 2 good starts since ...
. May 26, 7pm ET
HOT STREAK WARNING!!!
Paddack, Twinkies
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts!
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team loses! Just seriously weakens their chances. But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe
Although the Rangers lost 2 - 1, deGrom himself pitched well, allowing only 7 baserunners and 2 runs in 5.1 ip ....DeGrom's HOT STREAK "without a bad outing" moves on to 8 straight games ...
It is common for many if not most bettors to want to bet on the pitcher with the hot hand. Had we done that in this case with deGROM, it would have caused a LOSS...... Hot streaks DO NOT last.
Starting to make a little headway with my private handicapping results...
Tonight, LEAN to Yankees on RL
They have the better starter....better bullpen....stronger offense....and Angels are weak when facing lefties, let alone a better than avg lefty.......So we shall see. Not a bet though; just a LEAN. (ie, not included in my 0 - 1 losing record)
If this LEAN fails it will send me back to the drawing board to tweak my methods once again.... 
< sigh > ....
Despite the score, both Paddack and Littel pitched well tonight, so their consecutive HOT STREAK continues ("without pitching any bad outings in that stretch")
YANKEES 5 - 1 
YTD record: 0 - 1 -285 juice (0 - 1 *BB) Padres, from May 11
Tuesday, May 27 risky bets:
(overnight lines)
Tiggers +105
Sf/Det un 7 -107
Philly -110
Min/TB un 9 -140 alt total
Cubbies -1.5 -150 RL
Cin/KC un 8 -110
Tor/Tex un 8 -114
Astros -205
Yankees -182
Pitt/AZ un 9 -121 alt total
Tracking privately my handicapped selections I have spent the past 4 weeks in utter mediocrity, only forging slightly ahead recently - but that could be a random result.
Until or unless I establish a POSITIVE posted record, I do not recommend tailing my bets! 
Too risky for you UNLESS my picks are fully supported by a solid winning record this season. Every season is different. A good season last year could become a major flop this year. None of these are good enough to be listed as *Best Bets...
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