🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

@OO7CRUSHER

@Premian

@yourpalhal

@TDHCentral

I'll be watching the "lineup cards" closely to see if star slugger for the Yankees, Juan SOTO, is inserted back in.  If so, I will lean to NYY but only for a smallish price.......

If he remains OUT I will pass on the game....

Saturday: Twinkies -114 @Pinnacle (Woods/Mlodzinski)

Cardinals are a *Best Bet now

There are  NO  "Streaker alerts" on the card today.

VALUE BETS?

50-50 coin-flippers worthy of a look if getting good PLUS MONEY!

I have 3 in my handicapping sheets but it's likely 2 won't come into a play.

I need at bare minimum +120 or it just isn't worth it.

Royals game .....I bet KC, as they gain SIGNIFICANT PLUS MONEY

Reds game .... likely won't qualify with small ML

Yankees game ....dead even if SOTO is not in the lineup for NYY but I would still need at least +120 ML, which is NOT available at this time

Like the BB today fubah.

Good luck on today's plays. 

@Coloneljim

THANKS, Jim!    Sh*t that reminds me, I forgot to check to see if you have a POD ready yet....

My handicapped edges for selective games today:

Cardinals  +2.1 runs

Red Sox   +1.3 runs    ....but ML a bit too high to justify a bet

Brewskys  +1.3 runs

Orioles    +1.2 runs

Twinkies  +1.1 runs

Padres    +1.0 runs   ... yes, the Padres!....but not worse than -145 max ml

Cleveland +0.8 runs     ....but ML too high to justify the risk

The rest is the usual crapshoot

ROYALS are my "value" bet today

GL Fub!!

Very interesting stats from my capping sheets...

Beginning May 01 through Friday, June 06,

these are how the HEAVY FAVS have fared (does not include April)

I define HEAVY FAVS as a closing moneyline of at least  -170

6 - 4   -7.10u    SUPER HEAVY FAVS -300 to -350  = BIG FAT LOSER!
            (this range had 1 winner by one run, ie a loss on RL)

48 - 24   HEAVY FAVS in -200 to -299 range  = BIG FAT LOSER!
           (this range had 5 winners by one run, ie, 43 - 29 on RL)

42 - 28   HEAVY FAVS in -170 to -199 range  = BIG FAT LOSER!
           (this range had 10 winners by one run, ie, 32 - 38 on RL)

@yourpalhal

 Thanks, Hal!      BoL with your bets today!

Giants +108

I’ll tell you as I said with the Dodgers 2 weeks ago, Major Yankee hitting slump in progress.. basically have 2 hitters without Soto.. Stanton is highly useless even if good hitter counts destroying rallies.. 

Ohtani's last 12 games have been bad too

I like the Dodgers and under

@fubah2

Thanks for the Brewers bet idea.  I almost passed them up.  

YOU ARE WELCOME!!

On Thursday, my capping sheet identified Pittsburgh +159 as the 50-50 coinflipper "value" bet, ...but it lost

Friday, the pick was Oakland +140. WINNER!

Today, the pick was Royals +123. WINNER!

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]Very interesting stats from my capping sheets...  

Beginning May 01 through Saturday, June 08, these are how the HEAVY FAVS have fared (does not include April)

I define HEAVY FAVS as a closing moneyline of at least  -170

UPDATED:

6 - 4   -7.10u    SUPER HEAVY FAVS -300 to -350  = BIG FAT LOSER!
            (this range had 1 winner by one run, ie a loss on RL)

48 - 26   HEAVY FAVS in -200 to -299 range  = BIG FAT LOSER!
           (this range had 5 winners by one run, ie, 43 - 31 on RL)

44 - 28   HEAVY FAVS in -170 to -199 range  = BIG FAT LOSER!
           (this range had 11 winners by one run, ie, 33 - 39 on RL)

@fubah2

Thanks for the information.  I have noticed that my results above -170 are not as good as hoped.

I think I'll try to not go above -170 on my Baseball bets.

Best of Luck on your picks today.  

@fubah2

Do you know who is starting for the Braves today?  Covers has Fried, but MLB.com has Waldrep.

All my sources say Waldrep, from AAA.....will monitor......

If so, what happened to FRIED is my Q?