🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

@OO7CRUSHER

THANKS

@OO7CRUSHER

THANKS, and BoL with your picks today!!

Yowzers.  REDS starter Montas yanked after only 1.1 ip having allowed 8 on base

PADRES -126  *BB

Fingers crossed that Cleveland holds their 3 run lead in the 9th as I also have that series bet riding on them too

Oh man......3 teams I was leaning heavy toward betting today but ultimately hesitated long enough that I just relented and didn't bet them:

Braves, Giants, and Brewskys

Leaning ASTROS for a possible live bet......maybe.....

BoSox BERNARDINO has already allowed 6 on in only 1.1 ip

...yanked.....

in comes KELLER

Just got waaaaay fortunate in bottom of 9th, 2 out, KC trailing by 2.....and they tie it!!  But game not going according to plan at all, as we head to extras....LIVE HEDGE BET:  Seattle +110  *BB

YTD:  174 - 113   +45.20u   (67 - 42 *BB)

--------------------------------------------------------------------

RESULTS for Sunday, June 09:

W   Cleveland series -135 (pending from Friday)
W   Cleveland -116                    *BB
W   Orioles -143                         *BB
W   LIVE BET 1st inn: "Cardiac CUBS" -185
W   BoSox -139
  L   LIVE HEDGE BET: CWS -120
  L   ROYALS -131                          *BB
W   LIVE HEDGE BET: Seattle +110 *BB

= 6 - 2   +3.59u    (3 - 1 *BB)

     ... pending:  PADRES -126   *BB

@fubah2

Hi, my winning percentage is 53.7%, but I am losing to the spread.  No more betting on the Astros, Padres, or Red Sox I think.  For Monday 6-10, my only bet is the Orioles at -150.

I am going to have to increase my winning percentage to 71% by betting on favorites up to -195.  Is that possible?

I have been betting mostly low line favorites and a few underdogs.

Good luck on your picks.  

WARNING:  STREAKER alert!

      This STARTER is riding a tenuous 13-game  HOT STREAK,

                     WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak ....YET!

      ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!   

              BURNES,  Orioles    @Tampa

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  It happens to the best of them.  Just CAN NOT be avoided.

When???  We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens!  But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day.  There's other games to look at.  I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that!

ADDED NOTE:  not ALL of BURNES' outings have been stellar.   He's had a few mediocre games too!  It's just that he has NOT YET been roughed up (a BAD outing) according to my capping sheets.  He's definitely one of the finest in MLB this year.  And his streak might well continue!

But probability catches up to every starter sooner or later. Might be Monday; might not.  However, according to my stats from over the years, AFTER a starter reaches 7 consecutive without a bad outing, the chances of an imminent BAD OUTING accelerates "bigly" with each successive game!

13 consecutive without a BAD OUTING in the bunch is really pushing the boundaries of good fortune...

I will skip this one even though I have the O's with a decent edge to win.

@fubah2

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

YTD was: 174 - 113   +45.20u   (67 - 42 *BB)

--------------------------------------------------------------------

RESULTS for Sunday, June 09:

W   Cleveland series -135 (pending from Friday)
W   Cleveland -116                    *BB
W   Orioles -143                         *BB
W   LIVE BET 1st inn: "Cardiac CUBS" -185
W   BoSox -139
  L   LIVE HEDGE BET: CWS -120
  L   ROYALS -131                          *BB
W   LIVE HEDGE BET: Seattle +110 *BB

 L    PADRES -126   *BB

= 6 - 3   +2.33u    (3 - 2 *BB)

 YTD:  180 - 116   +47.53u      (70 - 44 *BB)

Thanks, Jim!  BoL with your POD!

Yesterday BOTH those teams with the largest edges LOST!

Monday, the team with the largest edge is ORIOLES (+1.8 run edge)

Next largest edge today is PADRES (yep, those Padres!)  with +1.6 run edge

@fubah2

Why do the teams with the largest edge struggle so much?

I have a total of 4.23 Units on the Orioles.  Including 0.5 Unit on the -1.5

That, I have no idea...