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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Legend
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Posted: #8751

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by Upandoher: @fubah2 Out of your 5 plays which has the biggest run advantage? Out of my 5 plays SO FAAR that is...more possible... Baahhstin  +1.5 Washing +1.4 Tampa +1.2 Giants +1.0 CWS +1.0   LEANS:NYY +0.8   and   Twinkies +1.2   Still 5 more games to cap after I took a long break . . .

Adding:

TWINKIES -141 @pinn  *BB ...this bet depends a lot on Bradley not having a BAAD outing and TWINS offense continues per normal avg.

 
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Posted: #8752

umpire marvin hudson in washington game is now 19-1 on the under this season. That is one giant ump bias

 
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Posted: #8753

VERY VERY Lucky Marlins to escape a loss on a last play error...

 
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Posted: #8754

@fubah2

 Ya wtf was that

 
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Posted: #8755

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by Upandoher: @fubah2 Out of your 5 plays which has the biggest run advantage? Out of my 5 plays SO FAR that is...more possible...

Baahhstin  +1.5

Just took a 7 - 3 lead off a slammy top 11th an_clap

 
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Posted: #8756

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by Pacdaddy6969: Whats your top pick today    

 

Close call, bud.......but maybe GIANTS as long as the odds stay low

I have then for a +1.0 run edge on cheap odds. A bargain, but no guarantees!an_shake

My Giants take an early 2 - 0 lead

 
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Posted: #8757

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Upandoher: @fubah2 Out of your 5 plays which has the biggest run advantage? Out of my 5 plays SO FAR that is...more possible... Baahhstin  +1.5 Just took a 7 - 3 lead off a slammy top 11th

 

My bets are unlikely to win today....looking more like a 3 - 4 LOSING effort.....proving to me that regression on two fronts - as I discussed earlier - is still with me and I can't seem to shake it....

an_ref TAILING anyone during his "looming regression" is a BAD IDEA. fingershake

 
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Posted: #8758

Tuesday:
Also known as "Fubah is really hoping regression is done" an_nailbiter 

 L  Nationals -144 @pinn
 L  NYY -140 @pinn        *BB loss
 L  Tampa -125 @B365    *BB loss
W  BoSox -140 @B365

pending...CWS +102 @B365  *BB
pending...GIANTS -107 @pinn *BB
pending...TWINS -141 @pinn   *BB

 
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Posted: #8759

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: It seems ridiculous to consider an UNDER when it's already a LOW number to begin with but that is what my capping is suggesting for the Cleveland/ANGELS game.  Two weak offenses facing two VERY GOOD starters and better than avg pens!   My estimate suggests 4.8 to 7.0 total runs is the most likely range and so I am wondering why Vegas doesn't have a line of 6 or 6.5..... If I was an UNDER bettor (NOT! ) I might like that under 7.5 that is widely available for a small bet...but personally I PASS and this a bet on my capping for an under is NOT recommended because I LOSE more than win...  

 

BTW, in this game, while I DO have Cleveland for an edge to win, but it's thin.  It's not a coin-flipper per se but fairly close.... maybe +0.3 edge or so....Cleveland should have around a 53% - 55% chance to win, imho.   But those who like "value bets" when it's estimated to be close while one team is getting significant PLUS $$$ (Angels!!!) might consider this...

 

Angels lead 5 - 0 early and threatening more an_eek2  So the PLUS $$$ value bet looks good at the moment for anyone who was so inclined.....  Meanwhile the UNDER is in serious danger - which is why I completely avoid UNDERS when my capping suggests it . . .

 
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Posted: #8760

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

My capping shows CUBBIES with about a +0.6 run edge

Normally I would bet this but I pass entirely due to being more selective.

So this "woulda" that I passed on, is up 3 - 0 after 4 innings.

 
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Posted: #8761

ELITE Cleveland starter, Williams, has a horrible outing, his 2nd in 3 games! an_speechless

In only 1.1 ip he allowed 7 baserunners and 5 earnies new_jaw_drop

 
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Posted: #8762

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: My capping shows CUBBIES with about a +0.6 run edge Normally I would bet this but I pass entirely due to being more selective. So this "woulda" that I passed on, is up 3 - 0 after 4 innings.

 

Now CUBS are up 4 - 0 and bases loaded!

 
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Posted: #8763

3 - 4     tonight as my regression continues....

 
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Posted: #8764

@fubah2

 Betting 7 games will not win you..pick 1 a day

 
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Posted: #8765

@fubah2

 Of course I tailed every game luckily I put a bunch on Seattle Live!!! Phew..even.

 
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Posted: #8766

Quote Originally Posted by Pacdaddy6969:

@fubah2  Betting 7 games will not win you..pick 1 a day
 

 

Start your own thread and bet the way you want.

 
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Posted: #8767

.cool It's HUMPING DAY! an_boggienight 

 

              ...unless you're married and over 35,  in which case,  it's just another Wednesday.

 

 

                                                                                                             Tiggers -115 @B365  *BB

                                                                             Looming regression; tailing is not recommended fingershake

 
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Posted: #8768

Quote Originally Posted by CCO687:

clover

 

TY and BoL with your bets today! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #8769

Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

GL clover on your plays,  stay classy as always mah man an_cheers@fubah2peace_5

@Macwestie1

TY and BoL continuing your run today! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #8770

Tuesday:
an_lightAlso known as "Fubah is really hoping regression is done" an_nailbiter 

 L  Nationals -144 @pinn
 L  NYY -140 @pinn        *BB loss
 L  Tampa -125 @B365    *BB loss
W  BoSox -140 @B365

W  CWS +102 @B365  *BB
W  GIANTS -107 @pinn *BB P.O.D
 L  TWINKIES -141 @pinn  *BB loss

  3 - 4   -2.48u     [2 - 3 *BB]

 
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Posted: #8771

@fubah2

 Today we get it. Thanks 

peace_5

 
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Posted: #8772

LIVE hedge BET mid 2nd, 2 - 0; Tampa -228 @pinn *BB

 
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Posted: #8773

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

LIVE hedge BET mid 2nd, 2 - 0; Tampa -228 @pinn *BB
clover

 
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Posted: #8774

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

.cool It's HUMPING DAY! an_boggienight 

              ...unless you're married and over 35,  in which case,  it's just another Wednesday.

                                                                                                                                       

CUBS -113 @pinn  Looming regression; tailing is not recommendedfingershake 

 
 
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Posted: #8775

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

.cool It's HUMPING DAY! an_boggienight 

              ...unless you're married and over 35,  in which case,  it's just another Wednesday.

 

Looming regression; tailing is not recommended an_shake

  Giants -110 @pinn  *BB

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